Major League Soccer
Jul 26, 2026 3.30am
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Providence Park
  • Cole Bassett 10' yellowcard
  • Krzysztof Sierocki 41' yellowcard
  • Felipe Mora 56' goal
  • Felipe Mora 67' goal
  • goal Juan Manuel Sanabria 18'
  • redcard Morgan Guilavogui 34'
  • yellowcard Sergi Solans 55'

Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jul 23, 2026 3.30am
Portland 2 - 2 Dallas
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Kevin Kelsy

Real Salt Lake

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jul 23, 2026 3.30am
Los Angeles 3 - 1 Salt Lake
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Sergi Solans

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 46.95%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 28.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (6.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result

Portland Timbers 46.95% (+0.14)
Draw 24.28% (+0.06)
Real Salt Lake 28.8% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.06% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.98% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 23.02% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 54.06% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 45.94% (+0.17)
Over 3.5 32.37% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 67.63% (+0.21)
Over 4.5 19.11% (-0.15)
Under 4.5 80.89% (+0.15)

First Half Winner

Portland Timbers 34.93% (-0.07)
Draw 37.41% (+0.13)
Real Salt Lake 27.66% (-0.06)

Team To Score First

Portland Timbers 51.47% (+0.04)
No Goal 6.46% (+0.06)
Real Salt Lake 42.07% (-0.11)

Corners

Over 8 65% (-0.19)
Equal 8 10.55%
Under 8 24.45% (+0.18)
Over 9 53.6% (-0.18)
Equal 9 11.39% (-0.02)
Under 9 35% (+0.18)
Over 10.5 42.34% (-0.12)
Under 10.5 57.66% (+0.13)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 1.5 46.52% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 53.48% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 21.2% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 78.8% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 7.92% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 92.08% (+0.02)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5 63.61% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 36.39% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 32.21% (-0.20)
Under 1.5 67.79% (+0.21)
Over 2.5 12.95% (-0.20)
Under 2.5 87.05% (+0.19)
Over 3.5 4.27% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 95.73% (+0.11)

Score analysis

Portland Timbers 46.94%
Draw 24.28%
Real Salt Lake 28.8%
Portland Timbers
1-0 @ 10.08% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.1% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.97% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 4.9% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.09%
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.02)
Other @ 7.81% (+0.01)
Total : 46.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.9% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 6.46% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.11% (-0.03)
Total : 24.28%
Real Salt Lake
1-2 @ 6.7% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.5% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 4.06% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.83% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.74% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.81% (-0.04)
Other @ 4.16% (-0.09)
Total : 28.8%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
May 2, 2026 9.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT America First Field
  • Zavier Gozo 10' goal
  • Diego Luna 28' goal
  • Philip Quinton 61' yellowcard
  • Zach Booth 76' yellowcard
  • Victor Olatunji 76' yellowcard
  • Victor Olatunji 77' yellowcard
  • Pablo Ruiz 89' yellowcard
  • Aiden Hezarkhani 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kamal Miller 46'
  • yellowcard Ian Smith 59'
  • yellowcard Alexander Aravena 59'
  • yellowcard Gage Guerra 90'+1'
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Oct 23, 2025 3.30am
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Jul 17, 2025 3.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
MLS Playoffs
May 15, 2025 2.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Rio Tinto Stadium
  • Bode Davis 21' yellowcard
  • Bode Davis 21' yellowcard
  • Noel Caliskan 64' yellowcard
  • Noel Caliskan 64' yellowcard
  • Diego Luna 69' yellowcard
  • Diego Luna 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cristhian Paredes 46'
  • yellowcard Cristhian Paredes 46'
Major League Soccer
Sep 22, 2024 2.30am
3
3
HT : 4 0
FT Rio Tinto Stadium
  • Dominik Marczuk 10' goal
  • Dominik Marczuk 10' goal
  • Diego Luna 22' goal
  • Diego Luna 22' goal
  • Alexandros Katranis 72' yellowcard
  • Alexandros Katranis 72' yellowcard
  • Diogo Goncalves 90' goal
  • Diogo Goncalves 90' goal
  • yellowcard Eryk Williamson 48'
  • yellowcard Eryk Williamson 48'
  • yellowcard Kamal Miller 55'
  • yellowcard Kamal Miller 55'
  • yellowcard Evander 57'
  • yellowcard Evander 57'
  • goal Antony 62'
  • goal Antony 62'
  • goal Evander 76'
  • goal Evander 76'
  • goal Jonathan Rodriguez 90'+2'
  • goal Jonathan Rodriguez 90'+2'
Major League Soccer
Jul 14, 2024 3.25am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Providence Park
  • Felipe Mora 3' goal
  • Felipe Mora 3' goal
  • Diego Chara 7' yellowcard
  • Diego Chara 7' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Rodriguez 8' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Rodriguez 8' yellowcard
  • Andres Gomez 23' yellowcard
  • Felipe Mora 23' yellowcard
  • Santiago Moreno 48' goal
  • Santiago Moreno 48' goal
  • Claudio Bravo 86' yellowcard
  • Evander 90' goal
  • Evander 90' goal
  • yellowcard Cristian Arango 23'
  • yellowcard Felipe Mora 23'
  • yellowcard Cristian Arango 23'
  • yellowcard Andres Gomez 23'
  • yellowcard Braian Ojeda 37'
  • yellowcard Braian Ojeda 37'
  • yellowcard Matt Crooks 56'
  • yellowcard Matt Crooks 56'
  • yellowcard Diego Luna 63'
  • yellowcard Diego Luna 63'
  • yellowcard Claudio Bravo 86'