Major League Soccer
Sep 21, 2026 12.00am
Chase Stadium

Inter Miami vs San Diego - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 12.30am
Inter Miami 2 - 2 Nashville
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Lionel Messi 

San Diego

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 14, 2026 2.00am
San Diego 0 - 5 Philadelphia
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Marcus Ingvartsen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Inter Miami win with a probability of 54.48%. A draw has a probability of 23.01% and a win for San Diego has a probability of 22.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.69%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.3%) , while for a San Diego win it is 1-2 (5.38%).

Result

Inter Miami 54.48% (-1.27)
Draw 23.01% (+1.59)
San Diego 22.52% (-0.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.6% (-1.68)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.1% (-1.61)
Under 1.5 16.9% (+1.60)
Over 2.5 64.3% (-1.88)
Under 2.5 35.73% (+1.90)
Over 3.5 43.61% (-1.40)
Under 3.5 56.39% (+1.40)
Over 4.5 28.81% (-1.00)
Under 4.5 71.19% (+1.00)

First Half Winner

Inter Miami 46.08% (-3.90)
Draw 33.7% (+1.23)
San Diego 20.21% (+2.68)

Team To Score First

Inter Miami 63.3% (-2.10)
No Goal 4.57% (+0.76)
San Diego 32.13% (+1.35)

Corners

Over 8 63.22% (-1.77)
Equal 8 11.29% (+0.86)
Under 8 25.49% (+0.92)
Over 9 51.17% (-2.57)
Equal 9 12.05% (+0.81)
Under 9 36.78% (+1.76)
Over 10.5 39.47% (-3.15)
Under 10.5 60.53% (+3.15)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 1.5 58.85% (-1.08)
Under 1.5 41.15% (+1.08)
Over 2.5 33.19% (-1.85)
Under 2.5 66.81% (+1.85)
Over 3.5 15.99% (-0.96)
Under 3.5 84.01% (+0.96)

San Diego Goals

Over 0.5 60.56% (-0.24)
Under 0.5 39.44% (+0.24)
Over 1.5 31.02% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 68.98% (+0.22)
Over 2.5 12.86% (+0.38)
Under 2.5 87.14% (-0.38)
Over 3.5 4.37% (+0.34)
Under 3.5 95.63% (-0.33)

Score analysis

Inter Miami 54.48%
Draw 23%
San Diego 22.52%
Inter Miami
2-1 @ 9.37% (+0.11)
1-0 @ 7.69% (+0.59)
2-0 @ 7.04% (+0.28)
3-1 @ 6.23% (-0.54)
3-0 @ 4.8% (-0.17)
3-2 @ 4.01% (-0.33)
Other @ 15.34% (-1.20)
Total : 54.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.3% (+0.14)
2-2 @ 6.32% (+0.33)
0-0 @ 4.57% (+0.76)
3-3 @ 2.16% (+0.14)
Other @ 0.65% (+0.25)
Total : 23%
San Diego
1-2 @ 5.38% (-0.46)
0-1 @ 4.64% (+0.27)
2-3 @ 2.93% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 2.45% (-0.14)
1-3 @ 2.26% (-0.18)
0-3 @ 1.14% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.72% (+0.09)
Total : 22.52%