Major League Soccer
Sep 21, 2026 12.00am
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Chase Stadium
  • Lionel Messi  24' goal
  • Yannick Bright 64' yellowcard
  • Luis Suárez 74' goal
  • Alexander Shaw 81' yellowcard
  • goal Anders Dreyer 12'
  • yellowcard Ian Murphy 33'
  • goal Anders Dreyer 82'

Inter Miami vs San Diego - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 12.30am
Inter Miami 2 - 2 Nashville
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Lionel Messi 

San Diego

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 14, 2026 2.00am
San Diego 0 - 5 Philadelphia
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Marcus Ingvartsen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 56.72%. A draw had a probability of 22.09% and a win for San Diego had a probability of 21.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%) , while for a San Diego win it was 1-2 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result

Inter Miami 56.72% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 22.09%
San Diego 21.19%

Both Teams to Score: 

59.78%

Goals

Over 1.5 82.27% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 17.73% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 62.97%
Under 2.5 37.03%
Over 3.5 41.39%
Under 3.5 58.57%
Over 4.5 27.4%
Under 4.5 72.6%

First Half Winner

Inter Miami 47.65%
Draw 32.6%
San Diego 19.75%

Team To Score First

Inter Miami 62.27% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 4.75% ▲ (+0.01)
San Diego 32.98%

Corners

Over 8 62.36%
Equal 8 11.23%
Under 8 26.41%
Over 9 50.49%
Equal 9 11.87%
Under 9 37.64%
Over 10.5 39.03%
Under 10.5 60.97%

Inter Miami Goals

Over 1.5 58.86% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 41.14% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 33.43% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 66.57% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 15.83%
Under 3.5 84.17%

San Diego Goals

Over 0.5 58.39%
Under 0.5 41.61%
Over 1.5 28.58%
Under 1.5 71.42%
Over 2.5 11.39%
Under 2.5 88.61%
Over 3.5 3.67%
Under 3.5 96.33%

Score analysis

Inter Miami 56.71%
Draw 22.1%
San Diego 21.2%
Inter Miami
2-1 @ 9.62%
1-0 @ 8.4%
2-0 @ 7.7% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 6.32%
3-0 @ 5.4% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.9%
Other @ 15.37%
Total : 56.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.28%
2-2 @ 5.63%
0-0 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.98%
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 22.1%
San Diego
1-2 @ 5.34%
0-1 @ 4.59%
2-3 @ 2.48%
0-2 @ 2.32%
1-3 @ 2.05%
0-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 21.2%