Major League Soccer
Sep 14, 2026 2.00am
Snapdragon Stadium

San Diego vs Philadelphia Union - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

San Diego

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 10, 2026 3.30am
San Diego 2 - 3 Earthquakes
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Marcus Ingvartsen

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 10, 2026 12.45am
Philadelphia 5 - 0 Cincinnati
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Milan Iloski

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a San Diego win with a probability of 47.57%. A win for Philadelphia Union has a probability of 28.82% and a draw has a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Diego win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.38%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win is 1-2 (7.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.8%).

Result

San Diego 47.57%
Draw 23.6%
Philadelphia Union 28.82%

Both Teams to Score: 

65.75%

Goals

Over 1.5 85.14%
Under 1.5 14.86%
Over 2.5 65.89%
Under 2.5 34.11%
Over 3.5 43.46%
Under 3.5 56.54%
Over 4.5 27.42%
Under 4.5 72.58%

First Half Winner

San Diego 35.75%
Draw 38.88%
Philadelphia Union 25.37%

Team To Score First

San Diego 55.21%
No Goal 3.84%
Philadelphia Union 40.95%

Corners

Over 8 59.68%
Equal 8 10.83%
Under 8 29.5%
Over 9 48.48%
Equal 9 11.2%
Under 9 40.32%
Over 10.5 37.82%
Under 10.5 62.18%

San Diego Goals

Over 1.5 54.44%
Under 1.5 45.56%
Over 2.5 28.36%
Under 2.5 71.64%
Over 3.5 12.31%
Under 3.5 87.69%

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5 67.91%
Under 0.5 32.09%
Over 1.5 38.34%
Under 1.5 61.66%
Over 2.5 16.49%
Under 2.5 83.51%
Over 3.5 5.85%
Under 3.5 94.15%

Score analysis

San Diego 47.58%
Draw 23.61%
Philadelphia Union 28.85%
San Diego
2-1 @ 9.49%
1-0 @ 6.38%
2-0 @ 6.1%
3-1 @ 5.6%
3-2 @ 4.2%
3-0 @ 3.98%
Other @ 11.83%
Total : 47.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.8%
2-2 @ 7.22%
0-0 @ 3.84%
3-3 @ 2.27%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 23.61%
Philadelphia Union
1-2 @ 7.11%
0-1 @ 4.68%
0-2 @ 3.32%
2-3 @ 3.27%
1-3 @ 3.23%
0-3 @ 1.87%
Other @ 5.37%
Total : 28.85%