Major League Soccer
Sep 14, 2026 2.00am
0
5
HT : 0 1
FT Snapdragon Stadium
  • Alejandro Alvarado  45'+2' yellowcard
  • Oscar Verhoeven 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bruno Damiani 27'
  • goal Cavan Sullivan 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Neil Pierre 45'+7'
  • goal Cavan Sullivan 61'
  • goal Bruno Damiani 67'
  • goal Aníbal Godoy 87' (OG)
  • goal Malik Jakupović 90'+4'

San Diego vs Philadelphia Union - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

San Diego

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 10, 2026 3.30am
San Diego 2 - 3 Earthquakes
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Marcus Ingvartsen

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 10, 2026 12.45am
Philadelphia 5 - 0 Cincinnati
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Milan Iloski

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Diego win with a probability of 43.79%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Diego win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.82%) and 2-0 (5.46%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (7.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.33%).

Result

San Diego 43.79% ▼ (-3.79)
Draw 23.47% ▼ (-0.14)
Philadelphia Union 32.77% ▲ (+3.96)

Both Teams to Score: 

67.06% ▲ (+1.32)

Goals

Over 1.5 85.59% ▲ (+0.46)
Under 1.5 14.41% ▼ (-0.45)
Over 2.5 67.23% ▲ (+1.35)
Under 2.5 32.77% ▼ (-1.34)
Over 3.5 44.37% ▲ (+0.91)
Under 3.5 55.63% ▼ (-0.91)
Over 4.5 27.94% ▲ (+0.52)
Under 4.5 72.06% ▼ (-0.52)

First Half Winner

San Diego 33.63% ▼ (-2.12)
Draw 38.82% ▼ (-0.07)
Philadelphia Union 27.56% ▲ (+2.19)

Team To Score First

San Diego 54.85% ▼ (-0.36)
No Goal 3.81% ▼ (-0.03)
Philadelphia Union 41.34% ▲ (+0.40)

Corners

Over 8 61.2% ▲ (+1.53)
Equal 8 11.03% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 8 27.78% ▼ (-1.72)
Over 9 49.66% ▲ (+1.18)
Equal 9 11.54% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 9 38.8% ▼ (-1.53)
Over 10.5 38.57% ▲ (+0.75)
Under 10.5 61.43% ▼ (-0.75)

San Diego Goals

Over 1.5 51.96% ▼ (-2.48)
Under 1.5 48.04% ▲ (+2.48)
Over 2.5 26.35% ▼ (-2.01)
Under 2.5 73.65% ▲ (+2.02)
Over 3.5 11.1% ▼ (-1.22)
Under 3.5 88.9% ▲ (+1.22)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5 70.72% ▲ (+2.82)
Under 0.5 29.28% ▼ (-2.82)
Over 1.5 42.41% ▲ (+4.07)
Under 1.5 57.59% ▼ (-4.07)
Over 2.5 19.34% ▲ (+2.86)
Under 2.5 80.66% ▼ (-2.86)
Over 3.5 7.15% ▲ (+1.31)
Under 3.5 92.85% ▼ (-1.31)

Score analysis

San Diego 43.79%
Draw 23.47%
Philadelphia Union 32.77%
San Diego
2-1 @ 9.01% ▼ (-0.49)
1-0 @ 5.82% ▼ (-0.56)
2-0 @ 5.46% ▼ (-0.64)
3-1 @ 5.16% ▼ (-0.44)
3-2 @ 4.12% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 3.59% ▼ (-0.40)
Other @ 10.63% ▼ (-1.20)
Total : 43.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.33% ▼ (-0.48)
2-2 @ 7.48% ▲ (+0.27)
0-0 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 0.47% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 23.47%
Philadelphia Union
1-2 @ 7.89% ▲ (+0.78)
0-1 @ 4.81% ▲ (+0.13)
1-3 @ 3.79% ▲ (+0.57)
2-3 @ 3.66% ▲ (+0.40)
0-2 @ 3.58% ▲ (+0.27)
0-3 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.49)
Other @ 6.68% ▲ (+1.31)
Total : 32.77%