Major League Soccer
Philadelphia
Sep 10, 2026 12.45am
Subaru Park
Cincinnati

Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 12.30am
Philadelphia 2 - 0 Montreal
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Milan Iloski

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 12.30am
Cincinnati 0 - 0 DC United
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Evander

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 53.94%. A draw has a probability of 23.48% and a win for FC Cincinnati has a probability of 22.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.52%) , while for a FC Cincinnati win it is 1-2 (5.92%).

Result

Philadelphia Union 53.94% ▲ (+0.63)
Draw 23.48% ▼ (-0.31)
FC Cincinnati 22.58% ▼ (-0.38)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.09% ▲ (+0.27)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.05% ▲ (+0.44)
Under 1.5 20.95% ▼ (-0.45)
Over 2.5 57.13% ▲ (+0.61)
Under 2.5 42.87% ▼ (-0.61)
Over 3.5 35.16% ▲ (+0.53)
Under 3.5 64.84% ▼ (-0.54)
Over 4.5 21.64% ▲ (+0.45)
Under 4.5 78.36% ▼ (-0.44)

First Half Winner

Philadelphia Union 42.04%
Draw 37.02%
FC Cincinnati 20.95%

Team To Score First

Philadelphia Union 59.3% ▲ (+0.12)
No Goal 5.67% ▼ (-0.20)
FC Cincinnati 35.03% ▲ (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 63.26%
Equal 8 10.4%
Under 8 26.34%
Over 9 52.22%
Equal 9 11.04%
Under 9 36.74%
Over 10.5 41.42%
Under 10.5 58.58%

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 1.5 53.64% ▲ (+0.78)
Under 1.5 46.36% ▼ (-0.78)
Over 2.5 28.19% ▲ (+0.68)
Under 2.5 71.81% ▼ (-0.68)
Over 3.5 12.53% ▲ (+0.42)
Under 3.5 87.47% ▼ (-0.43)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5 59.42% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 0.5 40.58% ▲ (+0.29)
Over 1.5 27.4% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 1.5 72.6% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 2.5 9.28% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 90.72% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 2.77% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 97.23% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Philadelphia Union 53.94%
Draw 23.48%
FC Cincinnati 22.58%
Philadelphia Union
2-1 @ 9.81% ▲ (+0.05)
1-0 @ 9.41% ▼ (-0.13)
2-0 @ 8.21% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.82% ▲ (+0.12)
3-0 @ 5.04% ▲ (+0.10)
3-2 @ 3.4% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 12.25% ▲ (+0.43)
Total : 53.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.52% ▼ (-0.12)
0-0 @ 5.67% ▼ (-0.20)
2-2 @ 5.61% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.28% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 23.48%
FC Cincinnati
1-2 @ 5.92% ▼ (-0.07)
0-1 @ 5.87% ▼ (-0.17)
0-2 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.09)
1-3 @ 2.1% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.82%
0-3 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 22.58%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Cincinnati
Aug 31, 2025 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Philadelphia
Major League Soccer
Philadelphia
Mar 2, 2025 12.30am
4
1
HT : 4 0
FT Subaru Park
Cincinnati
  • Tai Baribo 6' goal
  • Tai Baribo 6' goal
  • Tai Baribo 30' goal
  • Tai Baribo 30' goal
  • Tai Baribo 52' goal
  • Tai Baribo 52' goal
  • Bruno Damiani 90'+3' goal
  • Bruno Damiani 90'+3' goal
  • goal Evander 58'
  • goal Evander 58'
  • yellowcard Obinna Nwobodo 75'
  • yellowcard Obinna Nwobodo 75'
Major League Soccer
Philadelphia
Oct 19, 2024 11.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Subaru Park
Cincinnati
  • Quinn Sullivan 2' goal
  • Tai Baribo 59' yellowcard
  • Jack Elliott 66' yellowcard
  • Kai Wagner 80' yellowcard
  • goal Jakob Glesnes 46' (OG)
  • goal Yamil Rodrigo Asad 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Obinna Nwobodo 64'
  • yellowcard Yamil Rodrigo Asad 68'
  • yellowcard Luca Orellano 80'
Leagues Cup
Cincinnati
Aug 14, 2024 12.30am
2
4
HT : 0 1
FT Dr. DY Patil Stadium
Philadelphia
  • Miles Robinson 43' yellowcard
  • Miles Robinson 43' yellowcard
  • Pavel Bucha 66' goal
  • Pavel Bucha 66' goal
  • DeAndre Yedlin 80' goal
  • DeAndre Yedlin 80' goal
  • goal Mikael Uhre 4'
  • goal Mikael Uhre 52'
  • goal Mikael Uhre 52'
  • goal Tai Baribo 61'
  • goal Tai Baribo 61'
  • goal Tai Baribo 81'
  • goal Tai Baribo 81'
  • goal Quinn Sullivan 84'
  • goal Quinn Sullivan 84'
  • yellowcard Kai Wagner 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Kai Wagner 90'+2'
Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
Jun 20, 2024 12.45am
4
3
HT : 2 2
FT Dr. DY Patil Stadium
Philadelphia
  • Kipp Keller 6' yellowcard
  • Kipp Keller 6' yellowcard
  • Kevin Kelsy 29' goal
  • Kevin Kelsy 29' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 49' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 49' goal
  • Luca Orellano 60' goal
  • Luca Orellano 60' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 90'+10' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 90'+10' goal
  • yellowcard Kai Wagner 12'
  • yellowcard Jack Elliott 12'
  • yellowcard Kai Wagner 12'
  • yellowcard Jack Elliott 12'
  • goal Tai Baribo 43'
  • goal Tai Baribo 43'
  • goal Jesus Bueno 55'
  • goal Jesus Bueno 55'
  • yellowcard Jack McGlynn 81'
  • yellowcard Jack McGlynn 81'
  • goal Tai Baribo 90'+1'
  • goal Tai Baribo 90'+1'
Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
Nov 26, 2023 1.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Nippert Stadium
Philadelphia
  • Ray Gaddis 30' yellowcard
  • Aaron Boupendza 76' yellowcard
  • Aaron Boupendza 76' yellowcard
  • Yerson Mosquera 90'+4' goal
  • Yerson Mosquera 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Damion Lowe 11'
  • yellowcard Julian Carranza 51'

Form Data

Philadelphia 2 - 0 Montreal
NY Red Bulls 1 - 3 Philadelphia
Austin 1 - 1 Philadelphia
Philadelphia 2 - 2 Inter Miami
NY City 2 - 3 Philadelphia
Philadelphia 0 - 2 Santos Laguna
Cincinnati 0 - 0 DC United
Nashville 4 - 0 Cincinnati
Cincinnati 1 - 1 Seattle
Cincinnati 2 - 1 NY City
Orlando City 1 - 1 Cincinnati
Cincinnati 1 - 2 Atlas