Major League Soccer
Philadelphia
Sep 10, 2026 12.45am
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT Subaru Park
Cincinnati
  • Quinn Sullivan  43' goal
  • Bruno Damiani 45'+1' goal
  • Bruno Damiani 49' goal
  • Bruno Damiani 61' goal
  • Milan Iloski 89' goal
  • redcard Obinna Nwobodo 16'
  • yellowcard Evander 40'
  • yellowcard Tah Anunga 87'

Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 12.30am
Philadelphia 2 - 0 Montreal
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Milan Iloski

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 12.30am
Cincinnati 0 - 0 DC United
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Kévin Denkey

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 57.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.28% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 20.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.89%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%) , while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 1-2 (5.53%).

Result

Philadelphia Union 57.02% ▲ (+3.09)
Draw 22.28% ▼ (-1.20)
FC Cincinnati 20.73% ▼ (-1.85)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.23% ▼ (-0.87)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.3% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 1.5 20.7% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 2.5 57.53% ▲ (+0.40)
Under 2.5 42.47% ▼ (-0.40)
Over 3.5 35.32% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 3.5 64.68% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 4.5 21.94% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 4.5 78.06% ▼ (-0.30)

First Half Winner

Philadelphia Union 45.74% ▲ (+3.71)
Draw 34.78% ▼ (-2.25)
FC Cincinnati 19.48% ▼ (-1.47)

Team To Score First

Philadelphia Union 63.78% ▲ (+4.49)
No Goal 5.37% ▼ (-0.30)
FC Cincinnati 30.85% ▼ (-4.18)

Corners

Over 8 59.98% ▼ (-3.29)
Equal 8 10.66% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 8 29.36% ▲ (+3.02)
Over 9 48.94% ▼ (-3.29)
Equal 9 11.04%
Under 9 40.02% ▲ (+3.29)
Over 10.5 38.39% ▼ (-3.04)
Under 10.5 61.61% ▲ (+3.04)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 1.5 55.5% ▲ (+1.86)
Under 1.5 44.5% ▼ (-1.86)
Over 2.5 29.77% ▲ (+1.58)
Under 2.5 70.23% ▼ (-1.58)
Over 3.5 13.45% ▲ (+0.92)
Under 3.5 86.55% ▼ (-0.93)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5 57.29% ▼ (-2.14)
Under 0.5 42.71% ▲ (+2.14)
Over 1.5 25.36% ▼ (-2.04)
Under 1.5 74.64% ▲ (+2.05)
Over 2.5 8.21% ▼ (-1.07)
Under 2.5 91.79% ▲ (+1.08)
Over 3.5 2.39% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 3.5 97.61% ▲ (+0.38)

Score analysis

Philadelphia Union 57.02%
Draw 22.28%
FC Cincinnati 20.74%
Philadelphia Union
2-1 @ 10.14% ▲ (+0.34)
1-0 @ 9.89% ▲ (+0.49)
2-0 @ 8.63% ▲ (+0.42)
3-1 @ 6.1% ▲ (+0.28)
3-0 @ 5.6% ▲ (+0.56)
3-2 @ 3.4%
Other @ 13.26% ▲ (+1.01)
Total : 57.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.21% ▼ (-0.31)
0-0 @ 5.37% ▼ (-0.30)
2-2 @ 5.29% ▼ (-0.33)
3-3 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.18)
Other @ 0.19% ▼ (-0.10)
Total : 22.28%
FC Cincinnati
1-2 @ 5.53% ▼ (-0.39)
0-1 @ 5.48% ▼ (-0.39)
0-2 @ 2.93% ▼ (-0.26)
1-3 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.12)
2-3 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 2.2% ▼ (-0.30)
Total : 20.74%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Cincinnati
Aug 31, 2025 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Philadelphia
Major League Soccer
Philadelphia
Mar 2, 2025 12.30am
4
1
HT : 4 0
FT Subaru Park
Cincinnati
  • Tai Baribo 6' goal
  • Tai Baribo 6' goal
  • Tai Baribo 30' goal
  • Tai Baribo 30' goal
  • Tai Baribo 52' goal
  • Tai Baribo 52' goal
  • Bruno Damiani 90'+3' goal
  • Bruno Damiani 90'+3' goal
  • goal Evander 58'
  • goal Evander 58'
  • yellowcard Obinna Nwobodo 75'
  • yellowcard Obinna Nwobodo 75'
Major League Soccer
Philadelphia
Oct 19, 2024 11.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Subaru Park
Cincinnati
  • Quinn Sullivan 2' goal
  • Tai Baribo 59' yellowcard
  • Jack Elliott 66' yellowcard
  • Kai Wagner 80' yellowcard
  • goal Jakob Glesnes 46' (OG)
  • goal Yamil Rodrigo Asad 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Obinna Nwobodo 64'
  • yellowcard Yamil Rodrigo Asad 68'
  • yellowcard Luca Orellano 80'
Leagues Cup
Cincinnati
Aug 14, 2024 12.30am
2
4
HT : 0 1
FT Dr. DY Patil Stadium
Philadelphia
  • Miles Robinson 43' yellowcard
  • Miles Robinson 43' yellowcard
  • Pavel Bucha 66' goal
  • Pavel Bucha 66' goal
  • DeAndre Yedlin 80' goal
  • DeAndre Yedlin 80' goal
  • goal Mikael Uhre 4'
  • goal Mikael Uhre 52'
  • goal Mikael Uhre 52'
  • goal Tai Baribo 61'
  • goal Tai Baribo 61'
  • goal Tai Baribo 81'
  • goal Tai Baribo 81'
  • goal Quinn Sullivan 84'
  • goal Quinn Sullivan 84'
  • yellowcard Kai Wagner 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Kai Wagner 90'+2'
Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
Jun 20, 2024 12.45am
4
3
HT : 2 2
FT Dr. DY Patil Stadium
Philadelphia
  • Kipp Keller 6' yellowcard
  • Kipp Keller 6' yellowcard
  • Kevin Kelsy 29' goal
  • Kevin Kelsy 29' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 49' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 49' goal
  • Luca Orellano 60' goal
  • Luca Orellano 60' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 90'+10' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 90'+10' goal
  • yellowcard Kai Wagner 12'
  • yellowcard Jack Elliott 12'
  • yellowcard Kai Wagner 12'
  • yellowcard Jack Elliott 12'
  • goal Tai Baribo 43'
  • goal Tai Baribo 43'
  • goal Jesus Bueno 55'
  • goal Jesus Bueno 55'
  • yellowcard Jack McGlynn 81'
  • yellowcard Jack McGlynn 81'
  • goal Tai Baribo 90'+1'
  • goal Tai Baribo 90'+1'
Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
Nov 26, 2023 1.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Nippert Stadium
Philadelphia
  • Ray Gaddis 30' yellowcard
  • Aaron Boupendza 76' yellowcard
  • Aaron Boupendza 76' yellowcard
  • Yerson Mosquera 90'+4' goal
  • Yerson Mosquera 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Damion Lowe 11'
  • yellowcard Julian Carranza 51'

Form Data

Philadelphia 2 - 0 Montreal
NY Red Bulls 1 - 3 Philadelphia
Austin 1 - 1 Philadelphia
Philadelphia 2 - 2 Inter Miami
NY City 2 - 3 Philadelphia
Philadelphia 0 - 2 Santos Laguna
Cincinnati 0 - 0 DC United
Nashville 4 - 0 Cincinnati
Cincinnati 1 - 1 Seattle
Cincinnati 2 - 1 NY City
Orlando City 1 - 1 Cincinnati
Cincinnati 1 - 2 Atlas