Major League Soccer
Sep 10, 2026 3.30am
Snapdragon Stadium

San Diego vs San Jose Earthquakes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

San Diego

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 12.30am
Orlando City 1 - 0 San Diego
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Marcus Ingvartsen

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 1.30am
Austin 1 - 1 Earthquakes
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Preston Judd

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a San Diego win with a probability of 54.21%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes has a probability of 23.76% and a draw has a probability of 22.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Diego win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win is 1-2 (6.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.48%).

Result

San Diego 54.21% (+0.61)
Draw 22.03% (-0.13)
San Jose Earthquakes 23.76% (-0.47)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.15% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.96% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 15.04% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 65.85% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 34.15% (-0.14)
Over 3.5 43.72% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 56.28% (-0.13)
Over 4.5 28.18% (+0.17)
Under 4.5 71.82% (-0.17)

First Half Winner

San Diego 42.42%
Draw 36.69%
San Jose Earthquakes 20.88%

Team To Score First

San Diego 60.75% (+0.03)
No Goal 3.63% (-0.04)
San Jose Earthquakes 35.62% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 64.2%
Equal 8 10.37%
Under 8 25.43%
Over 9 53.11%
Equal 9 11.1%
Under 9 35.8%
Over 10.5 42.19%
Under 10.5 57.81%

San Diego Goals

Over 1.5 58.68% (+0.53)
Under 1.5 41.32% (-0.53)
Over 2.5 32.53% (+0.44)
Under 2.5 67.47% (-0.44)
Over 3.5 15.22% (+0.29)
Under 3.5 84.78% (-0.29)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5 62.75% (-0.43)
Under 0.5 37.25% (+0.43)
Over 1.5 32.8% (-0.42)
Under 1.5 67.2% (+0.41)
Over 2.5 12.95% (-0.27)
Under 2.5 87.05% (+0.26)
Over 3.5 4.28% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 95.72% (+0.11)

Score analysis

San Diego 54.23%
Draw 22.03%
San Jose Earthquakes 23.77%
San Diego
2-1 @ 9.94% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 7.24% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6.84% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 6.33% (+0.08)
3-0 @ 4.71% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 4.31% (+0.02)
Other @ 14.86% (+0.29)
Total : 54.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.48% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 6.6% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 3.63% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.96% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.36% (-0.02)
Total : 22.03%
San Jose Earthquakes
1-2 @ 6.17% (-0.09)
0-1 @ 4.2% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 2.77% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.77% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.63% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.92% (-0.10)
Total : 23.77%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Apr 5, 2026 3.30am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT PayPal Park
  • Niko Tsakiris 13' goal
  • Niko Tsakiris 33' yellowcard
  • Niko Tsakiris 34' yellowcard
  • Preston Judd 45'+3' goal
  • Paul Marie 57' yellowcard
  • Dave Romney 69' yellowcard
  • Jonathan González 69' yellowcard
  • Nick Fernandez 69' yellowcard
  • Nick Fernandez 70' yellowcard
  • Jonathan González 70' yellowcard
  • Ian Harkes 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Wilson Eisner 40'
  • yellowcard Bryan Zamblé 57'
  • yellowcard Aníbal Godoy 57'
  • yellowcard Aníbal Godoy 59'
  • yellowcard Alex Mighten 78'
  • yellowcard Willy Kumado 78'
Club Friendlies 3
Jan 24, 2026 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Snapdragon Stadium
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Sep 28, 2025 3.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Aug 18, 2025 12.00am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT