Major League Soccer
Nov 1, 2026 9.30pm
1
0
LIVE Atlanta Stadium
  • Miguel Almirón 22' goal

Atlanta United vs Toronto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 28, 2026 11.30pm
NY City 2 - 1 Atlanta
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Aleksey Miranchuk

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 28, 2026 11.30pm
Toronto 2 - 1 DC United
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Dániel Sallói

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atlanta United win with a probability of 43.92%. A win for Toronto has a probability of 31.67% and a draw has a probability of 24.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atlanta United win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Toronto win is 1-2 (7.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.06%).

Result

Atlanta United 43.92% ▲ (+0.11)
Draw 24.41% ▲ (+0.04)
Toronto 31.67% ▼ (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.94% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.05% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 19.95% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 58.29% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 41.71% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 36.17% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 63.83% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 4.5 21.58% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 4.5 78.42% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Atlanta United 35.93%
Draw 39.91%
Toronto 24.16%

Team To Score First

Atlanta United 54.69% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 5.2% ▲ (+0.03)
Toronto 40.11% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 60.11%
Equal 8 11.31%
Under 8 28.57%
Over 9 48.36%
Equal 9 11.75%
Under 9 39.89%
Over 10.5 37.19%
Under 10.5 62.81%

Atlanta United Goals

Over 1.5 46.68% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 53.32% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 22.54% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 77.46% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 8.93% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 91.07% ▼ (-0.02)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5 68.06% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 0.5 31.94% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 1.5 36.59% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 1.5 63.41% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 2.5 14.98% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 85.02% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 3.5 5.12% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 94.88% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Atlanta United 43.9%
Draw 24.41%
Toronto 31.66%
Atlanta United
2-1 @ 8.86% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 8.1% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6.3% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.93%
3-0 @ 3.63% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.4%
Other @ 8.68% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 43.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.06% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 6.25% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.2% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.41%
Toronto
1-2 @ 7.54% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.62% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.42% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.39% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.87% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 31.66%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Apr 25, 2026 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT BMO Field
  • Lazar Stefanović 20' yellowcard
  • Derrick Etienne Jr. 30' yellowcard
  • Emilio Aristizábal 71' goal
  • Jules-Anthony Vilsaint 72' yellowcard
  • Antone Bossenberry 72' yellowcard
  • Malik Henry 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Latte Lath 27'
  • goal Aleksey Miranchuk 48'
  • yellowcard Fafà Picault 59'
  • yellowcard Fafà Picault 60'
  • goal Tristan Muyumba 67'
  • yellowcard Matías Galarza Fonda 77'
  • yellowcard Will Reilly 77'
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Aug 24, 2025 9.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Jul 13, 2025 12.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Jun 30, 2024 12.30am
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Thiago Almada 45'+2' goal
  • Thiago Almada 45'+2' goal
  • Ajani Fortune 48' yellowcard
  • Ajani Fortune 48' yellowcard
  • Stian Rode Gregersen 72' yellowcard
  • Stian Rode Gregersen 72' yellowcard
  • Jamal Thiare 90'+8' goal
  • Jamal Thiare 90'+8' goal
  • goal Lorenzo Insigne 25'
  • goal Federico Bernardeschi 46'
  • goal Federico Bernardeschi 46'
  • yellowcard Kevin Long 52'
  • yellowcard Kevin Long 52'
Major League Soccer
Mar 23, 2024 11.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT BMO Field
  • Kevin Long 30' yellowcard
  • Tyrese Spicer 35' goal
  • Prince Osei Owusu 71' goal
Major League Soccer
Apr 16, 2023 12.30am
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT BMO Field
  • Richie Laryea 43' goal
  • Brandon Servania 90'+4' goal
  • goal Giorgos Giakoumakis 4'
  • goal Machop Chol 76'