Major League Soccer
Atlanta
Oct 11, 2026 12.30am
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT Atlanta Stadium
Cincinnati
  • Tomás Jacob 43' yellowcard
  • Miguel Almirón 69' goal
  • Mauricio Amaro 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Teenage Hadebe 2'
  • goal Kévin Denkey 52'
  • goal Tom Barlow 84'
  • yellowcard Julián Malatini 88'
  • yellowcard Tom Barlow 90'+4'
  • goal Kévin Denkey 90'+7'

Atlanta United vs FC Cincinnati - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 27, 2026 12.30am
Atlanta 2 - 2 NY City
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Aleksey Miranchuk

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 27, 2026 12.30am
Montreal 3 - 1 Cincinnati
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Kévin Denkey

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atlanta United win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for FC Cincinnati has a probability of 31.86% and a draw has a probability of 23.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atlanta United win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.03%) and 2-0 (5.88%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win is 1-2 (7.99%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.44%).

Result

Atlanta United 44.35% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 23.79% ▼ (-0.02)
FC Cincinnati 31.86% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.51% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.09% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 16.91% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 62.7% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 2.5 37.3% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 39.4% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 60.6% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 4.5 24.41% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 4.5 75.59% ▼ (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Atlanta United 37.02% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 35.99% ▼ (-0.01)
FC Cincinnati 26.98% ▼ (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Atlanta United 53.38% ▼ (-0.03)
No Goal 4.3% ▼ (-0.03)
FC Cincinnati 42.32% ▲ (+0.05)

Corners

Over 8 67.81% ▲ (+0.13)
Equal 8 10.48%
Under 8 21.71% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 9 56.18% ▲ (+0.11)
Equal 9 11.63% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 9 32.19% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 10.5 44.44% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 10.5 55.56% ▼ (-0.08)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 1.5 49.51% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 50.49% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 24.46% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 75.54% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 10.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 89.88% ▼ (-0.03)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5 69.38% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 30.62% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 39.03% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 60.97% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 16.62% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 83.38% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 5.86% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 94.14% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Atlanta United 44.36%
Draw 23.8%
FC Cincinnati 31.86%
Atlanta United
2-1 @ 9.39%
1-0 @ 7.03% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.88%
3-1 @ 4.92% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.71%
3-2 @ 3.71% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 9.72% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 44.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.44%
2-2 @ 6.66% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.3% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 2%
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 23.8%
FC Cincinnati
1-2 @ 7.99%
0-1 @ 5.6% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.05%
1-3 @ 3.42%
2-3 @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.22%
Other @ 5.46% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 31.86%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
Feb 21, 2026 9.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT TQL Stadium
Atlanta
  • Gerardo Valenzuela 13' yellowcard
  • Gilberto Flores 71' yellowcard
  • Tom Barlow 71' yellowcard
  • Kévin Denkey 80' goal
  • Obinna Nwobodo 89' yellowcard
  • Alvas Powell 89' yellowcard
  • Nick Hagglund 90' goal
  • yellowcard Aleksey Miranchuk 73'
  • yellowcard Tristan Muyumba 73'
  • yellowcard Luke Brennan 84'
Major League Soccer
Atlanta
May 26, 2025 12.00am
4
2
HT : 4 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Cincinnati
  • Derrick Williams 15' goal
  • Derrick Williams 15' goal
  • Ajani Fortune 20' goal
  • Ajani Fortune 20' goal
  • Bartosz Slisz 66' goal
  • Bartosz Slisz 66' goal
  • Jamal Thiare 90'+4' goal
  • Jamal Thiare 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Miles Robinson 15'
  • yellowcard Miles Robinson 15'
  • yellowcard Obinna Nwobodo 38'
  • yellowcard Obinna Nwobodo 38'
  • goal Miles Robinson 48'
  • goal Miles Robinson 48'
  • goal Gerardo Valenzuela 70'
  • goal Gerardo Valenzuela 70'
  • yellowcard DeAndre Yedlin 90'
  • yellowcard DeAndre Yedlin 90'
Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
Mar 22, 2025 6.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Atlanta
  • Lukas Engel 9' yellowcard
  • Yuya Kubo 27' yellowcard
  • DeAndre Yedlin 59' yellowcard
  • Evander 70' goal
  • Evander 75' goal
  • yellowcard William Reilly 27'
  • goal Emmanuel Latte Lath 50'
  • yellowcard Matthew Edwards 69'
  • goal Alvas Powell 88' (OG)
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Latte Lath 90'+1'
Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
May 16, 2024 12.30am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Nippert Stadium
Atlanta
  • Kevin Kelsy 7' goal
  • Kevin Kelsy 7' goal
  • yellowcard Bartosz Slisz 23'
  • yellowcard Bartosz Slisz 23'
  • yellowcard Giorgos Giakoumakis 74'
  • yellowcard Giorgos Giakoumakis 74'
Major League Soccer
Atlanta
Apr 21, 2024 12.30am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Cincinnati
  • Thiago Almada 59' goal
  • Thiago Almada 59' goal
  • Ajani Fortune 68' yellowcard
  • Ajani Fortune 68' yellowcard
  • goal Luca Orellano 62'
  • goal Luca Orellano 62'
  • goal Luciano Acosta 64'
  • goal Luciano Acosta 64'
  • yellowcard Miles Robinson 83'
  • yellowcard Miles Robinson 83'
  • yellowcard Pavel Bucha 89'
  • yellowcard Pavel Bucha 89'
  • yellowcard Luciano Acosta 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Pavel Bucha 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Luciano Acosta 90'+2'
Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
Oct 21, 2023 11.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT Nippert Stadium
Atlanta
  • Dominique Badji 25' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 45'+2' goal
  • Matt Miazga 73' yellowcard
  • goal Giorgos Giakoumakis 12'
  • goal Giorgos Giakoumakis 32'
  • yellowcard Thiago Almada 36'
  • redcard Thiago Almada 51'
  • yellowcard Jamal Thiare 85'

Form Data

Atlanta 2 - 2 NY City
Portland 0 - 1 Atlanta
DC United 0 - 0 Atlanta
Atlanta 2 - 3 Orlando City
Inter Miami 2 - 2 Atlanta
Atlanta 0 - 2 Charlotte FC
Montreal 3 - 1 Cincinnati
Houston 2 - 2 Cincinnati
Cincinnati 3 - 3 Charlotte FC
Philadelphia 5 - 0 Cincinnati
Cincinnati 0 - 0 DC United
Nashville 4 - 0 Cincinnati