Sep 20, 2026 1.30am

2

2

HT : 1 0

FT Shell Energy Stadium

Guilherme 38'
Mateusz Bogusz 51'

Bryan Ramírez 73'
Kévin Denkey 90'+7'

Houston Dynamo vs FC Cincinnati - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

L
W
D
D
L
W

Major League Soccer

L
W
D
D
L
W

Last game

Sep 13, 2026 3.30am

Earthquakes 1 - 0 Houston

Goals scored

34

Top scorer

Guilherme

FC Cincinnati

All competitions

D
L
D
L
D
W

Major League Soccer

D
L
D
L
D
W

Last game

Sep 13, 2026 12.30am

Cincinnati 3 - 3 Charlotte FC

Goals scored

54

Top scorer

Kévin Denkey

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 57.44%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 21.29% and a draw had a probability of 21.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (5.83%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result

Houston Dynamo 57.44% ▲ (+0.04)

Draw 21.27%

FC Cincinnati 21.29% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score:

57.44% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.58% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 1.5 18.42% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 2.5 60.75% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 2.5 39.25% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 3.5 37.25% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 3.5 62.75% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 4.5 23.67%

Under 4.5 76.33%

First Half Winner

Houston Dynamo 43.56% ▼ (-0.04)

Draw 37.2% ▲ (+0.02)

FC Cincinnati 19.23% ▲ (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Houston Dynamo 63.07% ▲ (+0.04)

No Goal 4.57% ▼ (-0.01)

FC Cincinnati 32.36% ▼ (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 62.26%

Equal 8 10.96% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 8 26.78% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 9 50.69% ▼ (-0.02)

Equal 9 11.57% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 9 37.74%

Over 10.5 39.5% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 10.5 60.5% ▲ (+0.01)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 1.5 57.45% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 1.5 42.55% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 2.5 31.44% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 2.5 68.56% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 3.5 14.56%

Under 3.5 85.44%

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5 57.73% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 0.5 42.27% ▲ (+0.04)

Over 1.5 26.8% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 1.5 73.2% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 2.5 9.23% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 2.5 90.77% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 3.5 2.64%

Under 3.5 97.36%

Score analysis

Houston Dynamo 57.44%

Draw 21.27%

FC Cincinnati 21.28%

Houston Dynamo

2-1 @ 10.25%

1-0 @ 8.92%

2-0 @ 8.33%

3-0 @ 6.1% ▲ (+0.02)

3-1 @ 6.04%

3-2 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 14.34%

Total : 57.44%

Draw

1-1 @ 9.72%

2-2 @ 5.48% ▲ (+0.02)

0-0 @ 4.57% ▼ (-0.01)

3-3 @ 1.28%

Other @ 0.22%

Total : 21.27%

FC Cincinnati

1-2 @ 5.83%

0-1 @ 4.92% ▼ (-0.03)

0-2 @ 2.8% ▼ (-0.02)

1-3 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.02)

2-3 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.02)

0-3 @ 1.31%

Other @ 2.42%

Total : 21.28%

Head to Head

Jan 28, 2026 6.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT Shell Energy Stadium

Diadie Samassekou 89'
Diadié Samassékou 89'

Feb 26, 2023 12.30am

2

1

HT : 1 1

FT

Sergio Santos 19'
Obinna Nwobodo 48'

Tate Schmitt 45'+2'

Jul 4, 2021 1.30am

1

1

HT : 1 1

FT

Tyler Pasher 3'
Maynor Figueroa 48'
Zarek Valentin 70'
Boniek Garcia 81'

Alvaro Barreal 5'
Yuya Kubo 55'

Jul 7, 2019 12.30am

3

2

HT : 2 0

FT

Kekuta Manneh 29'
Frankie Amaya 32'
Rashawn Dally 38'
Victor Ulloa 61'

Alberth Elis 19'
Juan Cabezas 25'
Aljaz Struna 74'
Rommel Quioto 79'
Nick Hagglund 81' (OG)

Form Data

Earthquakes 1 - 0 Houston

Houston 2 - 1 Salt Lake

Charlotte FC 0 - 0 Houston

Houston 0 - 0 Earthquakes

St Louis City 2 - 1 Houston

Vancouver 0 - 1 Houston

Cincinnati 3 - 3 Charlotte FC

Philadelphia 5 - 0 Cincinnati

Cincinnati 0 - 0 DC United

Nashville 4 - 0 Cincinnati

Cincinnati 1 - 1 Seattle

Cincinnati 2 - 1 NY City