Major League Soccer
Montreal
Sep 27, 2026 12.30am
Stade Saputo
Cincinnati

CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

CF Montreal

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 20, 2026 12.30am
Montreal 0 - 2 Columbus Crew
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Prince Owusu

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 20, 2026 1.30am
Houston 2 - 2 Cincinnati
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Kévin Denkey

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a CF Montreal win with a probability of 41.08%. A win for FC Cincinnati has a probability of 35.3% and a draw has a probability of 23.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.74%) and 2-0 (5.56%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win is 1-2 (8.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.33%).

Result

CF Montreal 41.08% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 23.61% ▼ (-0.02)
FC Cincinnati 35.3% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.56% ▲ (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.3% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 17.7% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 61.51% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 38.49% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 38.28% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 61.72% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 4.5 23.44% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 76.56% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

CF Montreal 38.85% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 36.81% ▲ (+0.07)
FC Cincinnati 24.34% ▼ (-0.09)

Team To Score First

CF Montreal 55.44% ▼ (-0.25)
No Goal 4.63%
FC Cincinnati 39.93% ▲ (+0.25)

Corners

Over 8 67.39% ▲ (+0.21)
Equal 8 10.7% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 21.91% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 9 55.54% ▲ (+0.19)
Equal 9 11.85% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 32.61% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 10.5 43.62% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 10.5 56.38% ▼ (-0.16)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 1.5 46.06% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 53.94% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 22.27%
Under 2.5 77.73%
Over 3.5 9.12% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 90.88% ▲ (+0.01)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5 70.91%
Under 0.5 29.09%
Over 1.5 40.92%
Under 1.5 59.08%
Over 2.5 18.12% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 81.88% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 6.45% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 93.55% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

CF Montreal 41.08%
Draw 23.62%
FC Cincinnati 35.3%
CF Montreal
2-1 @ 8.81% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.74% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.56%
3-1 @ 4.52%
3-0 @ 3.43% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.29%
Other @ 8.73%
Total : 41.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.33%
2-2 @ 6.36%
0-0 @ 4.63%
3-3 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.39% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 23.62%
FC Cincinnati
1-2 @ 8.26%
0-1 @ 6.33% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.89% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.97%
2-3 @ 3.06%
0-3 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 6.06%
Total : 35.3%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
Mar 22, 2026 5.00pm
4
3
HT : 1 2
FT TQL Stadium
Montreal
  • Ender Echenique 40' goal
  • Ayoub Jabbari 52' goal
  • Teenage Hadebe 65' yellowcard
  • Nick Hagglund 65' yellowcard
  • Nick Hagglund 66' yellowcard
  • Tom Barlow 77' yellowcard
  • Samuel Gidi 77' yellowcard
  • Tom Barlow 80' goal
  • Stiven Jimenez 88' yellowcard
  • Kévin Denkey 90'+4' goal
  • goal Wikelman José Carmona Torres 6'
  • goal Prince Owusu 45'
  • yellowcard Mahala Opoku 57'
  • yellowcard Dagur Dan Thórhallsson 58'
  • yellowcard Prince Owusu 64'
  • yellowcard Daniel Ríos 74'
  • yellowcard Samuel Piette   74'
  • yellowcard Olger Escobar 84'
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Cincinnati
Oct 18, 2025 11.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Montreal
Major League Soccer
Montreal
Jun 26, 2025 12.30am
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
Sep 1, 2024 12.30am
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Dr. DY Patil Stadium
Montreal
  • Miles Robinson 22' yellowcard
  • Miles Robinson 22' yellowcard
  • Kevin Kelsy 36' goal
  • Kevin Kelsy 36' goal
  • Ian Murphy 40' yellowcard
  • Ian Murphy 40' yellowcard
  • Luca Orellano 53' goal
  • Luca Orellano 53' goal
  • Luca Orellano 57' goal
  • Luca Orellano 57' goal
  • Sergio Santos 71' goal
  • Sergio Santos 71' goal
  • Gerardo Valenzuela 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Gerardo Valenzuela 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joel Waterman 47'
  • yellowcard Joel Waterman 47'
  • goal Kwadwo Opoku 81'
  • goal Kwadwo Opoku 81'
  • yellowcard Gabriele Corbo 86'
  • yellowcard Gabriele Corbo 86'
  • yellowcard Fernando Alvarez 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Fernando Alvarez 90'+6'
Major League Soccer
Montreal
Apr 14, 2024 12.30am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stade Saputo
Cincinnati
  • Joel Waterman 29' yellowcard
  • Joel Waterman 29' yellowcard
  • Samuel Piette 34' yellowcard
  • Samuel Piette 34' yellowcard
  • Raheem Edwards 38' yellowcard
  • Raheem Edwards 38' yellowcard
  • Josef Martinez 45'+4' goal
  • Josef Martinez 45'+4' goal
  • Ariel Lassiter 62' goal
  • Ariel Lassiter 62' goal
  • yellowcard Luca Orellano 18'
  • yellowcard Luca Orellano 18'
  • yellowcard DeAndre Yedlin 21'
  • yellowcard DeAndre Yedlin 21'
  • goal Yuya Kubo 58'
  • goal Yuya Kubo 58'
  • yellowcard Ian Murphy 66'
  • yellowcard Ian Murphy 66'
Major League Soccer
Montreal
Sep 21, 2023 12.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Saputo
Cincinnati
  • Victor Wanyama 34' yellowcard
  • Victor Wanyama 34' yellowcard
  • Kwadwo Opoku 53' goal
  • Kwadwo Opoku 53' goal
  • Chinonso Offor 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Chinonso Offor 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Sirois 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Sirois 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matt Miazga 90'
  • yellowcard Matt Miazga 90'
  • yellowcard Santiago Arias 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Santiago Arias 90'+2'
  • goal Luciano Acosta 90'+7'
  • goal Luciano Acosta 90'+7'

Form Data

Montreal 0 - 2 Columbus Crew
Colorado 1 - 0 Montreal
Montreal 1 - 2 Charlotte FC
Philadelphia 2 - 0 Montreal
Inter Miami 7 - 1 Montreal
Montreal 2 - 2 LA Galaxy
Houston 2 - 2 Cincinnati
Cincinnati 3 - 3 Charlotte FC
Philadelphia 5 - 0 Cincinnati
Cincinnati 0 - 0 DC United
Nashville 4 - 0 Cincinnati
Cincinnati 1 - 1 Seattle