Major League Soccer
NY Red Bulls
Oct 18, 2026 12.30am
Sports Illustrated Stadium
Toronto

New York Red Bulls vs Toronto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 15, 2026 12.30am
DC United 2 - 1 NY Red Bulls
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Julian Hall

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 15, 2026 12.30am
Toronto 3 - 3 Orlando City
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Dániel Sallói

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 47.44%. A win for Toronto has a probability of 27.4% and a draw has a probability of 25.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Toronto win is 1-2 (6.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.6%).

Result

New York Red Bulls 47.44% ▲ (+1.79)
Draw 25.22% ▼ (-0.23)
Toronto 27.4% ▼ (-1.55)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.73% ▲ (+0.74)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.05% ▲ (+1.29)
Under 1.5 21.95% ▼ (-1.29)
Over 2.5 55.31% ▲ (+1.90)
Under 2.5 44.66% ▼ (-1.93)
Over 3.5 33.07% ▲ (+1.01)
Under 3.5 66.93% ▼ (-1.01)
Over 4.5 19.44% ▲ (+1.09)
Under 4.5 80.56% ▼ (-1.08)

First Half Winner

New York Red Bulls 39.73% ▲ (+0.15)
Draw 37.96% ▲ (+0.68)
Toronto 22.31% ▼ (-0.84)

Team To Score First

New York Red Bulls 57.51% ▲ (+2.50)
No Goal 6.09% ▼ (-0.54)
Toronto 36.4% ▼ (-1.97)

Corners

Over 8 63.38% ▲ (+0.96)
Equal 8 10.99% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 8 25.63% ▼ (-0.86)
Over 9 51.66% ▲ (+0.97)
Equal 9 11.72% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 36.62% ▼ (-0.96)
Over 10.5 40.24% ▲ (+0.90)
Under 10.5 59.76% ▼ (-0.90)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 1.5 48.12% ▲ (+2.16)
Under 1.5 51.88% ▼ (-2.16)
Over 2.5 23.46% ▲ (+2.11)
Under 2.5 76.54% ▼ (-2.10)
Over 3.5 9.56% ▲ (+1.26)
Under 3.5 90.44% ▼ (-1.27)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5 64.02% ▼ (-0.64)
Under 0.5 35.98% ▲ (+0.63)
Over 1.5 31.23% ▼ (-0.72)
Under 1.5 68.77% ▲ (+0.71)
Over 2.5 11.58% ▼ (-0.48)
Under 2.5 88.42% ▲ (+0.47)
Over 3.5 3.42% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 3.5 96.58% ▲ (+0.27)

Score analysis

New York Red Bulls 47.45%
Draw 25.22%
Toronto 27.4%
New York Red Bulls
2-1 @ 9.3% ▲ (+0.34)
1-0 @ 9.14% ▼ (-0.27)
2-0 @ 7.24% ▼ (-0.23)
3-1 @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 4.32% ▲ (+0.50)
3-2 @ 3.09% ▲ (+0.18)
Other @ 9.26% ▲ (+1.21)
Total : 47.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.6% ▲ (+0.10)
0-0 @ 6.09% ▼ (-0.54)
2-2 @ 5.84% ▲ (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.3% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 25.22%
Toronto
1-2 @ 6.82% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.79% ▼ (-0.45)
0-2 @ 3.9% ▼ (-0.49)
1-3 @ 2.69% ▼ (-0.25)
2-3 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.13)
0-3 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.32)
Total : 27.4%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Toronto
Mar 14, 2026 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT BMO Field
NY Red Bulls
  • Dániel Sallói 43' goal
  • Derrick Etienne Jr. 46' yellowcard
  • Deandre Kerr  46' yellowcard
  • Josh Sargent 70' yellowcard
  • Kobe Franklin 82' yellowcard
  • Alonso Coello 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tanner Rosborough 66'
  • yellowcard Omar Valencia 77'
  • yellowcard Eric-Maxim Choupo-Moting 77'
  • yellowcard Tim Parker 90'+2'
  • goal Eric-Maxim Choupo-Moting 90'+7'
Major League Soccer
Toronto
Jun 26, 2025 12.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
NY Red Bulls
Major League Soccer
NY Red Bulls
Mar 22, 2025 11.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Red Bull Arena
Toronto
  • Emil Forsberg 44' goal
  • Serge Ngoma 74' yellowcard
  • Emil Forsberg 76' goal
  • Felipe Carballo 90'+2' redcard
  • Felipe Carballo 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matty Longstaff 24'
  • yellowcard Federico Bernardeschi 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Raoul Petretta 45'+4'
  • goal Deandre Kerr 70'
  • yellowcard Derrick Etienne 73'
Major League Soccer
Toronto
Oct 3, 2024 12.30am
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT BMO Field
NY Red Bulls
  • Jonathan Osorio 30' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Osorio 30' yellowcard
  • Federico Bernardeschi 43' yellowcard
  • Federico Bernardeschi 43' yellowcard
  • Prince Osei Owusu 66' goal
  • Prince Osei Owusu 66' goal
  • Federico Bernardeschi 75' redcard
  • Federico Bernardeschi 75' redcard
  • Kosi Thompson 80' yellowcard
  • Kosi Thompson 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Meara 23'
  • yellowcard Ryan Meara 23'
  • goal Emil Forsberg 27'
  • goal Emil Forsberg 27'
  • yellowcard Andres Reyes 38'
  • yellowcard Andres Reyes 38'
  • goal John Tolkin 48'
  • goal John Tolkin 48'
  • goal Lewis Morgan 69'
  • goal Lewis Morgan 69'
  • goal Elias Manoel 88'
  • goal Elias Manoel 88'
Leagues Cup
NY Red Bulls
Jul 28, 2024 1.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Red Bull Arena, Harrison
Toronto
  • yellowcard Nickseon Gomis 25'
Major League Soccer
NY Red Bulls
Jun 23, 2024 12.30am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT MSU Soccer Park at Pittser Field
Toronto
  • Elias Manoel 30' goal
  • Elias Manoel 30' goal
  • Dennis Gjengaar 47' goal
  • Dennis Gjengaar 47' goal
  • Daniel Edelman 68' yellowcard
  • Daniel Edelman 68' yellowcard
  • Cameron Harper 75' goal
  • Cameron Harper 75' goal
  • Noah Eile 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matty Longstaff 54'
  • yellowcard Matty Longstaff 54'
  • yellowcard Deybi Flores 86'
  • yellowcard Deybi Flores 86'

Form Data

DC United 2 - 1 NY Red Bulls
NY Red Bulls 4 - 1 San Diego
NY Red Bulls 0 - 3 St Louis City
NY City 0 - 1 NY Red Bulls
Columbus Crew 0 - 1 NY Red Bulls
Los Angeles 2 - 0 NY Red Bulls
Toronto 3 - 3 Orlando City
Toronto 2 - 1 Montreal
Nashville 2 - 0 Toronto
St Louis City 3 - 1 Toronto
Orlando City 3 - 0 Toronto
Toronto 2 - 1 Nashville