Major League Soccer
Sep 20, 2026 1.30am
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Energizer Park
  • Conrad Wallem 28' yellowcard
  • Carlo Holse 41' goal
  • Tomas Totland 54' goal
  • Simon Becher 68' goal
  • Fallou Fall 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Walker Zimmerman 23'
  • yellowcard Alonso Coello 74'
  • goal Theo Corbeanu 90'+7'

St Louis City vs Toronto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

St Louis City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 1.30am
St Louis City 4 - 2 Minnesota Utd
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Simon Becher

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 12.30am
Orlando City 3 - 0 Toronto
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Dániel Sallói

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 55.31%. A draw had a probability of 24.96% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 19.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%) , while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result

St Louis City 55.31% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 24.96% ▼ (-0.01)
Toronto 19.72% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.96% ▼ (-0.09)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.23% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 24.77% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 52.67% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 47.33% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 3.5 31.06% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 68.94% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 18.92% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 81.08% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

St Louis City 42.86% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 38.34% ▲ (+0.06)
Toronto 18.8% ▼ (-0.03)

Team To Score First

St Louis City 60.36%
No Goal 7.5% ▲ (+0.05)
Toronto 32.14% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 63.9% ▲ (+0.05)
Equal 8 10.86%
Under 8 25.24% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 9 52.27% ▲ (+0.05)
Equal 9 11.62%
Under 9 36.1% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 10.5 40.9% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 10.5 59.1% ▼ (-0.04)

St Louis City Goals

Over 1.5 52.19% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 47.81% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 26.84% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 73.16% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 11.56% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 88.44% ▲ (+0.02)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5 55% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 45% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 23.12% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 76.88% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 7.6% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 92.4% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 2.01% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.99% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

St Louis City 55.3%
Draw 24.96%
Toronto 19.74%
St Louis City
1-0 @ 11.33% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.55%
2-0 @ 9.07% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 5.83%
3-1 @ 5.48%
3-2 @ 2.77%
Other @ 11.27% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 55.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.91%
0-0 @ 7.5% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.29% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 24.96%
Toronto
0-1 @ 5.94% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 5.1% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.59%
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 19.74%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Jul 9, 2023 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT BMO Field
  • goal Aziel Jackson 50'
  • goal Aziel Jackson 50'