Major League Soccer
Sep 20, 2026 1.30am
Energizer Park

St Louis City vs Toronto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

St Louis City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 1.30am
St Louis City 4 - 2 Minnesota Utd
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Simon Becher

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 12.30am
Orlando City 3 - 0 Toronto
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Dániel Sallói

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a St Louis City win with a probability of 54.89%. A draw has a probability of 24.97% and a win for Toronto has a probability of 20.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.91%) , while for a Toronto win it is 0-1 (6.11%).

Result

St Louis City 54.89% (+3.32)
Draw 24.97% (-0.93)
Toronto 20.14% (-2.40)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.24% (+0.38)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.06% (+2.16)
Under 1.5 24.94% (-2.16)
Over 2.5 52.3% (+3.03)
Under 2.5 47.67% (-3.04)
Over 3.5 31.42% (+2.39)
Under 3.5 68.58% (-2.38)
Over 4.5 19.21% (+2.13)
Under 4.5 80.79% (-2.12)

First Half Winner

St Louis City 42.55% (-0.91)
Draw 38.45% (+0.36)
Toronto 18.99% (+0.53)

Team To Score First

St Louis City 59.45% (-0.97)
No Goal 7.53% (-0.65)
Toronto 33.02% (+1.63)

Corners

Over 8 61.02% (-0.78)
Equal 8 10.87% (-0.24)
Under 8 28.1% (+1.00)
Over 9 49.67% (-0.47)
Equal 9 11.35% (-0.33)
Under 9 38.98% (+0.78)
Over 10.5 38.77% (-0.13)
Under 10.5 61.23% (+0.13)

St Louis City Goals

Over 1.5 51.87% (+4.12)
Under 1.5 48.13% (-4.12)
Over 2.5 26.53% (+3.34)
Under 2.5 73.47% (-3.35)
Over 3.5 11.56% (+2.08)
Under 3.5 88.44% (-2.08)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5 55.41% (-2.05)
Under 0.5 44.59% (+2.05)
Over 1.5 23.43% (-1.08)
Under 1.5 76.57% (+1.07)
Over 2.5 7.71% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 92.29% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 2.14% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 97.86% (-0.10)

Score analysis

St Louis City 54.9%
Draw 24.97%
Toronto 20.15%
St Louis City
1-0 @ 11.32% (-0.50)
2-1 @ 9.47% (+0.33)
2-0 @ 9.07% (+0.44)
3-1 @ 5.49% (+0.34)
3-0 @ 5.43% (+0.80)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.04)
Other @ 11.26% (+1.95)
Total : 54.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.91% (-0.62)
0-0 @ 7.53% (-0.65)
2-2 @ 5.04% (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1.19% (+0.16)
Other @ 0.3% (+0.12)
Total : 24.97%
Toronto
0-1 @ 6.11% (-1.01)
1-2 @ 5.05% (-0.44)
0-2 @ 2.77% (-0.69)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 1.68% (-0.18)
Other @ 1.84% (-0.04)
Total : 20.15%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Jul 9, 2023 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT BMO Field
  • goal Aziel Jackson 50'
  • goal Aziel Jackson 50'