Major League Soccer
Sep 13, 2026 12.30am
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Inter&Co Stadium
  • Luis Otávio 20' yellowcard
  • Joran Gerbet  27' yellowcard
  • Antoine Griezmann 45' goal
  • Harvey Sarajian 82' goal
  • Iago Teodoro 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Iván Angulo 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Derrick Etienne Jr. 54'
  • yellowcard Alonso Coello 60'

Orlando City vs Toronto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Orlando City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 10, 2026 12.30am
Atlanta 2 - 3 Orlando City
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Antoine Griezmann

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 10, 2026 12.30am
Toronto 2 - 1 Nashville
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Dániel Sallói

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 49.03%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 25.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Toronto win was 0-1 (7.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result

Orlando City 49.03% ▲ (+0.90)
Draw 25.45% ▼ (-0.07)
Toronto 25.52% ▼ (-0.83)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.59% ▼ (-0.28)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.67% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 1.5 26.33% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 2.5 50.24% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 49.76% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 29.2% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 3.5 70.8% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 4.5 16.95% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 83.05% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Orlando City 38.14% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 37.81% ▲ (+0.22)
Toronto 24.05% ▼ (-0.15)

Team To Score First

Orlando City 55.5% ▲ (+0.33)
No Goal 7.65% ▼ (-0.05)
Toronto 36.85% ▼ (-0.29)

Corners

Over 8 64.78% ▼ (-0.52)
Equal 8 11.08% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 8 24.15% ▲ (+0.46)
Over 9 52.78% ▼ (-0.55)
Equal 9 11.99% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 9 35.22% ▲ (+0.52)
Over 10.5 40.98% ▼ (-0.53)
Under 10.5 59.02% ▲ (+0.53)

Orlando City Goals

Over 1.5 46.07% ▲ (+0.68)
Under 1.5 53.93% ▼ (-0.68)
Over 2.5 21.25% ▲ (+0.43)
Under 2.5 78.75% ▼ (-0.44)
Over 3.5 8.25% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 3.5 91.75% ▼ (-0.16)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5 60.06% ▼ (-0.72)
Under 0.5 39.94% ▲ (+0.72)
Over 1.5 27.6% ▼ (-0.61)
Under 1.5 72.4% ▲ (+0.61)
Over 2.5 9.72% ▼ (-0.30)
Under 2.5 90.28% ▲ (+0.30)
Over 3.5 2.79% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 3.5 97.21% ▲ (+0.12)

Score analysis

Orlando City 49.03%
Draw 25.45%
Toronto 25.53%
Orlando City
1-0 @ 11.57% ▲ (+0.15)
2-1 @ 9.19% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 8.23% ▲ (+0.27)
3-1 @ 4.74% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 4.41% ▲ (+0.24)
3-2 @ 2.8%
Other @ 8.09% ▲ (+0.14)
Total : 49.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.41% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.65% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.18% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.16% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 25.45%
Toronto
0-1 @ 7.12% ▼ (-0.21)
1-2 @ 6.12% ▼ (-0.13)
0-2 @ 3.78% ▼ (-0.18)
1-3 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.10)
2-3 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.06)
0-3 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.13)
Total : 25.53%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Oct 18, 2025 11.00pm
4
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Mar 2, 2025 12.30am
4
2
HT : 4 0
FT Spectrum Stadium
  • Cesar Araujo 32' goal
  • Cesar Araujo 32' goal
  • Alexander Freeman 35' goal
  • Alexander Freeman 35' goal
  • Rafael Santos 57' yellowcard
  • Rafael Santos 57' yellowcard
  • Martin Ojeda 63' goal
  • Martin Ojeda 63' goal
  • Eduard Atuesta 73' yellowcard
  • Eduard Atuesta 73' yellowcard
  • Dag­ur Dan Thor­halls­son 81' goal
  • Dag­ur Dan Thor­halls­son 81' goal
  • goal Sigurd Rosted 72'
  • goal Sigurd Rosted 72'
  • goal Deybi Flores 86'
  • goal Deybi Flores 86'
Major League Soccer
Jul 4, 2024 12.30am
1
2
HT : 2 4
FT BMO Field
  • Derrick Etienne 5' goal
  • Derrick Etienne 5' goal
  • Raoul Petretta 63' yellowcard
  • Raoul Petretta 63' yellowcard
  • Deybi Flores 71' yellowcard
  • Deybi Flores 71' yellowcard
  • Shane O'Neill 75' yellowcard
  • Shane O'Neill 75' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Insigne 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Insigne 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Martin Ojeda 27'
  • goal Martin Ojeda 27'
  • goal Nickseon Gomis 45' (OG)
  • goal Nickseon Gomis 45' (OG)
  • yellowcard Wilder Cartagena 75'
  • yellowcard Wilder Cartagena 75'
  • yellowcard Pedro Gallese 80'
  • yellowcard Pedro Gallese 80'
  • yellowcard Ramiro Enrique 88'
  • yellowcard Ramiro Enrique 88'
Major League Soccer
Apr 28, 2024 12.30am
1
2
HT : 2 0
FT Exploria Stadium
  • Duncan McGuire 36' goal
  • Duncan McGuire 37' goal
  • Duncan McGuire 55' yellowcard
  • Duncan McGuire 55' yellowcard
  • Cesar Araujo 67' yellowcard
  • Cesar Araujo 67' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Lodeiro 75' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Lodeiro 75' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Lodeiro 81' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Lodeiro 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nickseon Gomis 11'
  • yellowcard Nickseon Gomis 11'
  • yellowcard Prince Osei Owusu 50'
  • yellowcard Prince Osei Owusu 50'
  • yellowcard Raoul Petretta 57'
  • yellowcard Raoul Petretta 57'
  • goal Tyrese Spicer 87'
  • goal Tyrese Spicer 87'
  • goal Prince Osei Owusu 90'
  • goal Prince Osei Owusu 90'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Schlegel 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Sean Johnson 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Schlegel 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Sean Johnson 90'+3'
Major League Soccer
Oct 21, 2023 11.20pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT BMO Field
  • 52' goal
  • goal Duncan McGuire 63'
  • goal Duncan McGuire 74'
Major League Soccer
Jul 5, 2023 12.30am
4
0
HT : 4 0
FT Exploria Stadium
  • Cesar Araujo 16' goal
  • Cesar Araujo 16' goal
  • Duncan McGuire 22' goal
  • Duncan McGuire 22' goal
  • Dag­ur Dan Thor­halls­son 77' goal
  • Dag­ur Dan Thor­halls­son 77' goal
  • Ercan Kara 84' goal
  • Ercan Kara 84' goal