Major League Soccer
Sep 10, 2026 3.30am
Providence Park

Portland Timbers vs St Louis City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 3.30am
Portland 5 - 4 Minnesota Utd
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Kevin Kelsy

St Louis City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 3.30am
Vancouver 1 - 3 St Louis City
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Simon Becher

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 49.02%. A win for St Louis City has a probability of 25.6% and a draw has a probability of 25.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest St Louis City win is 1-2 (6.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.58%).

Result

Portland Timbers 49.02% (-0.54)
Draw 25.35% (+0.37)
St Louis City 25.6% (+0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.06% (+1.58)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.27% (+0.79)
Under 1.5 22.73% (-0.79)
Over 2.5 55.28% (+1.04)
Under 2.5 44.72% (-1.04)
Over 3.5 34.94% (+1.79)
Under 3.5 65.06% (-1.79)
Over 4.5 21.34% (+1.41)
Under 4.5 78.66% (-1.41)

First Half Winner

Portland Timbers 37.22% (+3.65)
Draw 38.7% (+0.49)
St Louis City 24.08% (-4.13)

Team To Score First

Portland Timbers 52.1% (-0.30)
No Goal 6.8% (-0.15)
St Louis City 41.1% (+0.45)

Corners

Over 8 68.09% (+2.25)
Equal 8 10.17% (+0.03)
Under 8 21.74% (-2.27)
Over 9 56.81% (+1.97)
Equal 9 11.28% (+0.27)
Under 9 31.91% (-2.24)
Over 10.5 45.38% (+1.52)
Under 10.5 54.62% (-1.52)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 1.5 49.48% (+0.63)
Under 1.5 50.52% (-0.63)
Over 2.5 24.16% (+0.50)
Under 2.5 75.84% (-0.50)
Over 3.5 10.29% (+0.76)
Under 3.5 89.71% (-0.77)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5 60.69% (+0.29)
Under 0.5 39.31% (-0.29)
Over 1.5 30.8% (+0.98)
Under 1.5 69.2% (-0.97)
Over 2.5 12.18% (+0.50)
Under 2.5 87.82% (-0.50)
Over 3.5 4.12% (+0.35)
Under 3.5 95.88% (-0.35)

Score analysis

Portland Timbers 49.02%
Draw 25.36%
St Louis City 25.59%
Portland Timbers
1-0 @ 10.07% (-0.52)
2-1 @ 8.61% (-0.25)
2-0 @ 8.04% (-0.23)
3-1 @ 4.87% (-0.23)
3-0 @ 4.35% (-0.24)
3-2 @ 3.06% (+0.13)
Other @ 10.02% (+0.79)
Total : 49.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.58% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 6.8% (-0.15)
2-2 @ 6.12% (+0.53)
3-3 @ 1.59% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.27% (-0.03)
Total : 25.36%
St Louis City
1-2 @ 6.07% (-0.19)
0-1 @ 5.83% (-0.16)
0-2 @ 3.37% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.61% (+0.11)
2-3 @ 2.55% (+0.08)
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.09)
Other @ 3.85% (+0.38)
Total : 25.59%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Feb 4, 2026 9.00pm
Providence Park
Major League Soccer
Jul 14, 2025 12.00am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Jun 9, 2025 12.00am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jimer Fory 13' yellowcard
  • Antony 55' goal
  • David Ayala 90'+1' goal
  • Kamal Miller 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Felipe Mora 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Timo Baumgartl 45'
  • goal Akil Watts 50'
  • yellowcard Simon Becher 67'
Major League Soccer
Aug 25, 2024 3.30am
4
4
HT : 2 6
FT Providence Park
  • Miguel Araujo 34' yellowcard
  • Miguel Araujo 34' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Rodriguez 39' goal
  • Jonathan Rodriguez 39' goal
  • Felipe Mora 57' goal
  • Felipe Mora 57' goal
  • Felipe Mora 65' goal
  • Felipe Mora 65' goal
  • Evander 65' yellowcard
  • Evander 65' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Rodriguez 73' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Rodriguez 73' yellowcard
  • Eryk Williamson 77' yellowcard
  • Eryk Williamson 77' yellowcard
  • Felipe Mora 90'+5' redcard
  • Felipe Mora 90'+5' redcard
  • Evander 90'+10' goal
  • Evander 90'+10' goal
  • goal Simon Becher 11'
  • goal Simon Becher 11'
  • goal Eduard Lowen 34'
  • goal Eduard Lowen 34'
  • goal Cedric Teuchert 45'+2'
  • goal Cedric Teuchert 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Nokkvi Thorisson 50'
  • yellowcard Nokkvi Thorisson 50'
  • goal Nokkvi Thorisson 58'
  • goal Nokkvi Thorisson 58'
  • yellowcard Marcel Hartel 60'
  • yellowcard Marcel Hartel 60'
  • yellowcard Jannes Horn 89'
  • yellowcard Jannes Horn 89'
Leagues Cup
Aug 10, 2024 1.30am
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT CityPark
  • Cedric Teuchert 51' goal
  • Cedric Teuchert 51' goal
  • Marcel Hartel 83' goal
  • Marcel Hartel 83' goal
  • Simon Becher 88' goal
  • Simon Becher 88' goal
  • goal Claudio Bravo 54'
  • goal Claudio Bravo 54'
Major League Soccer
Jun 9, 2024 1.30am
0
0
HT : 1 0
FT CityPark
  • 12' goal
  • Anthony Markanich 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Anthony Markanich 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Joakim Nilsson 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Joakim Nilsson 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Hosei Kijima 51' yellowcard
  • Hosei Kijima 51' yellowcard
  • Celio Pompeu 67' yellowcard
  • Celio Pompeu 67' yellowcard
  • Chris Durkin 81' yellowcard
  • Chris Durkin 81' yellowcard
  • Felipe Mora 83' yellowcard
  • Tomas Totland 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dario Zuparic 53'
  • yellowcard Dario Zuparic 53'
  • yellowcard Tomas Totland 82'
  • yellowcard Eduard Lowen 82'
  • yellowcard Felipe Mora 83'