Major League Soccer
Sep 6, 2026 3.30am
5
4
HT : 3 2
FT Providence Park
  • Vincent Janssen 11' goal
  • Drake Callender 20' goal
  • Vincent Janssen 26' goal
  • Finn Surman 45'+7' yellowcard
  • Vincent Janssen 55' goal
  • Kristoffer Velde 71' goal
  • yellowcard Michael Boxall  24'
  • goal Marcus Caldeira 32'
  • goal Anthony Markanich Jr. 37'
  • goal Marcus Caldeira 50'
  • yellowcard Jefferson Díaz 74'
  • goal Tomás Chancalay 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Morris Duggan 90'+6'

Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 3.30am
Portland 1 - 2 Austin
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Kevin Kelsy

Minnesota United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 1.30am
Minnesota Utd 3 - 3 Orlando City
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Kelvin Yeboah

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 45.63%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (7.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result

Portland Timbers 45.63% (+0.04)
Draw 24.57% (-0.01)
Minnesota United 29.84% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.82% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.67% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 20.33% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 58.17% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 41.83% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 35.83% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 64.17% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 21.39%
Under 4.5 78.61%

First Half Winner

Portland Timbers 35.41% (-0.04)
Draw 37.05% (-0.04)
Minnesota United 27.54% (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Portland Timbers 54.59% (+0.04)
No Goal 5.55% (-0.01)
Minnesota United 39.86% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 68.93%
Equal 8 9.8%
Under 8 21.27%
Over 9 58.01%
Equal 9 10.92%
Under 9 31.07%
Over 10.5 46.84%
Under 10.5 53.16%

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 1.5 48.21% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 51.79% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 23.02% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 76.98% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 9.27%
Under 3.5 90.73%

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5 66.52% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 33.48% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 35.11% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 64.89% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 14.21% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 85.79% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 4.55%
Under 3.5 95.45%

Score analysis

Portland Timbers 45.63%
Draw 24.57%
Minnesota United 29.84%
Portland Timbers
2-1 @ 9.31% (+0.03)
1-0 @ 8.57%
2-0 @ 6.71%
3-1 @ 5.06%
3-0 @ 3.73% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.29%
Other @ 8.96%
Total : 45.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.79%
2-2 @ 6.25%
0-0 @ 5.55% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.67%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 24.57%
Minnesota United
1-2 @ 7.37% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 6.25%
0-2 @ 3.99% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.14%
2-3 @ 2.92%
0-3 @ 1.93% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.24%
Total : 29.84%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Apr 19, 2026 1.30am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Allianz Field
  • Tomás Chancalay 16' goal
  • Kelvin Yeboah 60' goal
  • Devin Padelford 66' yellowcard
  • Mauricio Gonzalez 74' yellowcard
  • Wil Trapp 74' yellowcard
  • James Rodríguez 90' yellowcard
  • Mamadou Dieng 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kevin Kelsy 55'
  • yellowcard Alexander Aravena 66'
  • yellowcard Ariel Lassiter 80'
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Aug 31, 2025 1.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Jul 20, 2025 3.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Jun 30, 2024 3.30am
3
2
HT : 2 4
FT Providence Park
  • Evander 45'+8' goal
  • Evander 45'+8' goal
  • Santiago Moreno 73' goal
  • Santiago Moreno 73' goal
  • Jonathan Rodriguez 90'+2' goal
  • Jonathan Rodriguez 90'+2' goal
  • goal Bongokuhle Hlongwane 29'
  • goal Bongokuhle Hlongwane 29'
  • goal Jung Sang-bin 38'
  • goal Jung Sang-bin 38'
Major League Soccer
May 19, 2024 1.30am
2
1
HT : 0 2
FT Allianz Field
  • Miguel Tapias 42' yellowcard
  • Miguel Tapias 42' yellowcard
  • Robin Lod 65' goal
  • Robin Lod 65' goal
  • Jung Sang-bin 82' goal
  • Jung Sang-bin 82' goal
  • Miguel Tapias 90'+1' redcard
  • Miguel Tapias 90'+2' redcard
  • Jung Sang-bin 90'+8' yellowcard
  • Jung Sang-bin 90'+8' yellowcard
  • Wil Trapp 90'+13' yellowcard
  • Wil Trapp 90'+13' yellowcard
  • goal Jonathan Rodriguez 17'
  • goal Jonathan Rodriguez 17'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Rodriguez 42'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Rodriguez 42'
  • yellowcard Evander 44'
  • yellowcard Evander 44'
  • yellowcard Miguel Araujo 67'
  • yellowcard Diego Chara 67'
  • yellowcard Miguel Araujo 67'
  • yellowcard Diego Chara 67'
  • yellowcard Dairon Asprilla 82'
  • yellowcard Dairon Asprilla 82'
Major League Soccer
Jul 2, 2023 1.30am
4
1
HT : 4 0
FT Allianz Field
  • Diego Chara 43' goal
  • Diego Chara 43' goal
  • Emanuel Reynoso 45'+4' goal
  • Emanuel Reynoso 45'+4' goal
  • Bongokuhle Hlongwane 74' goal
  • Bongokuhle Hlongwane 74' goal
  • Emanuel Reynoso 77' goal
  • Emanuel Reynoso 77' goal
  • goal Franck Boli 60'
  • goal Franck Boli 60'