Major League Soccer
Sep 27, 2026 12.30am
Sports Illustrated Stadium

New York Red Bulls vs St Louis City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 19, 2026 12.30am
NY City 0 - 1 NY Red Bulls
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Julian Hall

St Louis City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 20, 2026 1.30am
St Louis City 3 - 1 Toronto
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Simon Becher

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for St Louis City has a probability of 33.22% and a draw has a probability of 26.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest St Louis City win is 1-2 (7.73%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.4%).

Result

New York Red Bulls 40.37% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 26.41% ▲ (+0.06)
St Louis City 33.22% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.97% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.79% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 22.21% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 55.37% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 44.63% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 33.58% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 66.42% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 4.5 19.27% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 80.73% ▲ (+0.03)

First Half Winner

New York Red Bulls 34.47% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 37.03% ▼ (-0.01)
St Louis City 28.5% ▲ (+0.04)

Team To Score First

New York Red Bulls 47.55% ▼ (-0.11)
No Goal 6.42% ▲ (+0.04)
St Louis City 46.03% ▲ (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 67.39% ▲ (+0.07)
Equal 8 10.72%
Under 8 21.89% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 9 55.5% ▲ (+0.07)
Equal 9 11.89% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 32.61% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 10.5 43.54% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 10.5 56.46% ▼ (-0.05)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 1.5 43.08% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 56.92% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 19.11% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 80.89% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 6.8%
Under 3.5 93.2%

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5 69.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 30.85% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 37.65% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 62.35% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 15.49%
Under 2.5 84.51%
Over 3.5 5.27% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 94.73% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

New York Red Bulls 40.37%
Draw 26.4%
St Louis City 33.23%
New York Red Bulls
2-1 @ 8.66% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.57% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.13% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.22% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.26%
3-2 @ 3.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 6.47% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 40.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.4%
2-2 @ 6.48%
0-0 @ 6.42% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.77% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.33% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 26.4%
St Louis City
1-2 @ 7.73%
0-1 @ 7.22%
0-2 @ 4.89% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.61% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.7%
0-3 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.94% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 33.23%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Red Bull Arena