Major League Soccer
Oct 11, 2026 12.30am
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT Sports Illustrated Stadium
  • Julian Zakrzewski Hall 15' goal
  • Devin Padelford 20' goal
  • Jorge Ruvalcaba 27' goal
  • Julián Bazán 42' yellowcard
  • Devin Padelford 82' yellowcard
  • Eric-Maxim Choupo-Moting 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Jeppe Tverskov 30'
  • yellowcard Manu Duah 55'
  • goal Cédric Bakambu 60'
  • yellowcard Kieran Sargeant 85'

New York Red Bulls vs San Diego - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 1, 2026 12.30am
NY Red Bulls 0 - 3 St Louis City
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Julian Hall

San Diego

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 27, 2026 1.30am
Austin 3 - 3 San Diego
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Marcus Ingvartsen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a San Diego win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for New York Red Bulls has a probability of 37.57% and a draw has a probability of 24.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Diego win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.08%) and 0-2 (5.49%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win is 2-1 (8.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.65%).

Result

New York Red Bulls 37.57% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 24.16% ▲ (+0.02)
San Diego 38.27% ▼ (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.36% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.07% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 18.93% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 59.57% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 40.43% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 37.47% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 62.53% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 4.5 22.56% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 77.44% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

New York Red Bulls 35.98%
Draw 36.91%
San Diego 27.12% ▲ (+0.02)

Team To Score First

New York Red Bulls 52.73% ▼ (-0.09)
No Goal 4.95% ▲ (+0.03)
San Diego 42.32% ▲ (+0.07)

Corners

Over 8 57.95% ▼ (-0.05)
Equal 8 11.59% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 30.46% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 9 46.13% ▼ (-0.05)
Equal 9 11.82%
Under 9 42.05% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 10.5 35.08% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 10.5 64.92% ▲ (+0.05)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 1.5 42.66% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 57.34% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 19.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 80.84% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 6.91%
Under 3.5 93.09%

San Diego Goals

Over 0.5 73.33% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 0.5 26.67% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 1.5 43.18% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 56.82% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 19.57% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 80.43% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 3.5 7.21% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 92.79% ▲ (+0.03)

Score analysis

New York Red Bulls 37.57%
Draw 24.15%
San Diego 38.28%
New York Red Bulls
2-1 @ 8.24% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.9% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.36% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.18% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.43%
3-0 @ 2.81%
Other @ 6.65%
Total : 37.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.65%
2-2 @ 6.46% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.95% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.83%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.15%
San Diego
1-2 @ 8.23% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.08% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 5.49% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.27% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.44% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 6.95% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 38.28%