Major League Soccer
Oct 15, 2026 12.30am
3
3
HT : 1 1
FT Toronto Stadium
  • Lewis Morgan 26' goal
  • Theo Corbeanu 49' goal
  • Alonso Coello 66' yellowcard
  • Benjamín Kuscevic 75' yellowcard
  • Robin Fraser 85' yellowcard
  • Matheus Pereira 89' goal
  • Richie Laryea 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Martín Ojeda 45'+1'
  • goal Antoine Griezmann 76'
  • yellowcard Vinícius Nogueira de Oliveira 82'
  • goal Daryl Enyinnaya Dike 83'

Toronto vs Orlando City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 6.00pm
Toronto 2 - 1 Montreal
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Dániel Sallói

Orlando City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 11, 2026 12.30am
Orlando City 3 - 2 Columbus Crew
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Antoine Griezmann

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-2 (7.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result

Toronto 44.16% ▲ (+0.10)
Draw 24.57% ▲ (+0.04)
Orlando City 31.3% ▼ (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.15% ▼ (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.37% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 19.63% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 59.98% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 40.02% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 38.3% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 61.7% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 4.5 24.17% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 75.83% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Toronto 35.31%
Draw 39.99%
Orlando City 24.69%

Team To Score First

Toronto 53.26% ▼ (-0.03)
No Goal 5.61% ▲ (+0.05)
Orlando City 41.13% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 69.38%
Equal 8 10.02%
Under 8 20.6%
Over 9 58.17%
Equal 9 11.21%
Under 9 30.62%
Over 10.5 46.72%
Under 10.5 53.28%

Toronto Goals

Over 1.5 47.69% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 52.31% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 23.81% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 76.19% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 10.37%
Under 3.5 89.63%

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5 67.47% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 0.5 32.53% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 1.5 37.17% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 62.83% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 15.63% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 84.37% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 6.08% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 93.92% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Toronto 44.16%
Draw 24.57%
Orlando City 31.31%
Toronto
2-1 @ 8.87% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.78% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 5.83% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.67%
3-2 @ 3.66%
3-0 @ 3.43% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 9.92%
Total : 44.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.48% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.35% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.61% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 24.57%
Orlando City
1-2 @ 7.44% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 6.28%
0-2 @ 4.09% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.1% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.83% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 5.63% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 31.31%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Sep 13, 2026 12.30am
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Inter&Co Stadium
  • Luis Otávio 20' yellowcard
  • Joran Gerbet  27' yellowcard
  • Antoine Griezmann 45' goal
  • Harvey Sarajian 82' goal
  • Iago Teodoro 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Iván Angulo 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Derrick Etienne Jr. 54'
  • yellowcard Alonso Coello 60'
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Oct 18, 2025 11.00pm
4
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Mar 2, 2025 12.30am
4
2
HT : 4 0
FT Spectrum Stadium
  • Cesar Araujo 32' goal
  • Cesar Araujo 32' goal
  • Alexander Freeman 35' goal
  • Alexander Freeman 35' goal
  • Rafael Santos 57' yellowcard
  • Rafael Santos 57' yellowcard
  • Martin Ojeda 63' goal
  • Martin Ojeda 63' goal
  • Eduard Atuesta 73' yellowcard
  • Eduard Atuesta 73' yellowcard
  • Dag­ur Dan Thor­halls­son 81' goal
  • Dag­ur Dan Thor­halls­son 81' goal
  • goal Sigurd Rosted 72'
  • goal Sigurd Rosted 72'
  • goal Deybi Flores 86'
  • goal Deybi Flores 86'
Major League Soccer
Jul 4, 2024 12.30am
1
2
HT : 2 4
FT BMO Field
  • Derrick Etienne 5' goal
  • Derrick Etienne 5' goal
  • Raoul Petretta 63' yellowcard
  • Raoul Petretta 63' yellowcard
  • Deybi Flores 71' yellowcard
  • Deybi Flores 71' yellowcard
  • Shane O'Neill 75' yellowcard
  • Shane O'Neill 75' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Insigne 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Insigne 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Martin Ojeda 27'
  • goal Martin Ojeda 27'
  • goal Nickseon Gomis 45' (OG)
  • goal Nickseon Gomis 45' (OG)
  • yellowcard Wilder Cartagena 75'
  • yellowcard Wilder Cartagena 75'
  • yellowcard Pedro Gallese 80'
  • yellowcard Pedro Gallese 80'
  • yellowcard Ramiro Enrique 88'
  • yellowcard Ramiro Enrique 88'
Major League Soccer
Apr 28, 2024 12.30am
1
2
HT : 2 0
FT Exploria Stadium
  • Duncan McGuire 36' goal
  • Duncan McGuire 37' goal
  • Duncan McGuire 55' yellowcard
  • Duncan McGuire 55' yellowcard
  • Cesar Araujo 67' yellowcard
  • Cesar Araujo 67' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Lodeiro 75' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Lodeiro 75' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Lodeiro 81' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Lodeiro 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nickseon Gomis 11'
  • yellowcard Nickseon Gomis 11'
  • yellowcard Prince Osei Owusu 50'
  • yellowcard Prince Osei Owusu 50'
  • yellowcard Raoul Petretta 57'
  • yellowcard Raoul Petretta 57'
  • goal Tyrese Spicer 87'
  • goal Tyrese Spicer 87'
  • goal Prince Osei Owusu 90'
  • goal Prince Osei Owusu 90'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Schlegel 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Sean Johnson 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Schlegel 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Sean Johnson 90'+3'
Major League Soccer
Oct 21, 2023 11.20pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT BMO Field
  • 52' goal
  • goal Duncan McGuire 63'
  • goal Duncan McGuire 74'