Major League Soccer
Sep 27, 2026 12.30am
Subaru Park

Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 20, 2026 1.30am
Kansas 3 - 4 Philadelphia
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Milan Iloski

Orlando City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 20, 2026 12.30am
New England 4 - 2 Orlando City
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Antoine Griezmann

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 62.25%. A draw has a probability of 20.38% and a win for Orlando City has a probability of 17.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.82%) , while for a Orlando City win it is 1-2 (4.64%).

Result

Philadelphia Union 62.25% ▲ (+0.25)
Draw 20.38% ▼ (-0.14)
Orlando City 17.37% ▼ (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.62% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.65% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 1.5 17.35% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 2.5 63.36% ▲ (+0.37)
Under 2.5 36.61% ▼ (-0.40)
Over 3.5 42.66% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 57.34% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 30.07% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 4.5 69.93% ▼ (-0.09)

First Half Winner

Philadelphia Union 51.68% ▲ (+0.22)
Draw 32.76% ▲ (+0.05)
Orlando City 15.56% ▼ (-0.27)

Team To Score First

Philadelphia Union 68.66% ▲ (+0.21)
No Goal 4.58% ▼ (-0.05)
Orlando City 26.76% ▼ (-0.15)

Corners

Over 8 66.71% ▲ (+0.08)
Equal 8 10.21%
Under 8 23.08% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 9 55.54% ▲ (+0.08)
Equal 9 11.17%
Under 9 33.29% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 10.5 44.33% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 10.5 55.67% ▼ (-0.06)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 1.5 62.5% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 1.5 37.5% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 2.5 38.53% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 2.5 61.47% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 3.5 21.76% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 3.5 78.24% ▼ (-0.16)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5 51.92% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 0.5 48.08% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 1.5 23.25% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 76.75% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 7.71%
Under 2.5 92.29%
Over 3.5 2.32% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 97.68% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Philadelphia Union 62.26%
Draw 20.39%
Orlando City 17.36%
Philadelphia Union
2-1 @ 9.29% ▲ (+0.11)
1-0 @ 8.27% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 8.07% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 6.05%
3-0 @ 5.83% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 3.41% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 21.34% ▲ (+0.15)
Total : 62.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.82% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.09%
0-0 @ 4.58% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 20.39%
Orlando City
1-2 @ 4.64% ▲ (+0.05)
0-1 @ 4.51% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.09)
2-3 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.9% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 17.36%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
May 14, 2026 12.30am
3
2
HT : 1 0
LIVE Exploria Stadium
  • Martín Ojeda 19' yellowcard
  • Griffin Dorsey 27' goal
  • Luis Otávio 63' yellowcard
  • Adrián Marín 64' yellowcard
  • Tyrese Spicer 64' yellowcard
  • Duncan McGuire 70' yellowcard
  • Duncan McGuire 72' goal
  • yellowcard Cavan Sullivan 43'
  • yellowcard Cavan Sullivan 44'
  • goal Milan Iloski 54'
  • yellowcard Agustín Anello 65'
  • goal Cavan Sullivan 75'
  • yellowcard Ezekiel Alladoh 76'
  • yellowcard Stas Kornzeniowski 77'
Major League Soccer
Apr 6, 2025 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Subaru Park
  • Bruno Damiani 65' yellowcard
  • Bruno Damiani 65' yellowcard
  • Nathan Harriel 74' yellowcard
  • Nathan Harriel 74' yellowcard
  • Quinn Sullivan 76' yellowcard
  • Quinn Sullivan 76' yellowcard
  • Indiana Vassilev 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Indiana Vassilev 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robin Jansson 35'
  • yellowcard Robin Jansson 35'
  • yellowcard Luis Muriel 52'
  • yellowcard Luis Muriel 52'
  • yellowcard Joran Gerbet 58'
  • yellowcard Joran Gerbet 58'
  • yellowcard Dag­ur Dan Thor­halls­son 75'
  • yellowcard Dag­ur Dan Thor­halls­son 75'
  • yellowcard Pedro Gallese 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Pedro Gallese 90'+4'
Major League Soccer
Feb 23, 2025 12.30am
2
4
HT : 2 2
FT Spectrum Stadium
  • Marco Pasalic 8' goal
  • Marco Pasalic 8' goal
  • Cesar Araujo 31' yellowcard
  • Cesar Araujo 31' yellowcard
  • Marco Pasalic 79' goal
  • Marco Pasalic 79' goal
  • goal Tai Baribo 23'
  • goal Tai Baribo 23'
  • yellowcard Mikael Uhre 33'
  • yellowcard Mikael Uhre 33'
  • goal Daniel Gazdag 48'
  • goal Daniel Gazdag 48'
  • goal Mikael Uhre 51'
  • goal Mikael Uhre 51'
  • yellowcard Jovan Lukic 58'
  • yellowcard Jovan Lukic 58'
  • goal Tai Baribo 64'
  • goal Tai Baribo 64'
Major League Soccer
Oct 3, 2024 12.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Orlando City Stadium
  • Rodrigo Schlegel 19' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Schlegel 19' yellowcard
  • Facundo Torres 57' goal
  • Facundo Torres 57' goal
  • Duncan McGuire 64' goal
  • Duncan McGuire 64' goal
  • Facundo Torres 69' yellowcard
  • Facundo Torres 69' yellowcard
  • Cesar Araujo 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Cesar Araujo 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Duncan McGuire 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Duncan McGuire 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Gazdag 68'
  • yellowcard Daniel Gazdag 68'
  • goal Quinn Sullivan 72'
  • goal Quinn Sullivan 72'
  • yellowcard Kai Wagner 74'
  • yellowcard Kai Wagner 74'
  • yellowcard Mikael Uhre 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Mikael Uhre 90'+1'
Major League Soccer
May 12, 2024 12.30am
2
3
HT : 2 4
FT Subaru Park
  • Mikael Uhre 12' goal
  • Mikael Uhre 12' goal
  • Daniel Gazdag 66' goal
  • Daniel Gazdag 66' goal
  • Damion Lowe 81' yellowcard
  • Damion Lowe 81' yellowcard
  • goal Duncan McGuire 21'
  • goal Duncan McGuire 21'
  • goal Luis Muriel 42'
  • goal Luis Muriel 42'
  • goal Luis Muriel 46'
  • goal Luis Muriel 47'
  • yellowcard Ivan Angulo 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Ivan Angulo 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Cesar Araujo 87'
  • yellowcard Cesar Araujo 87'
  • yellowcard Kyle Smith 89'
  • yellowcard Duncan McGuire 90'
  • yellowcard Kyle Smith 90'
Major League Soccer
Jun 22, 2023 12.30am
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Exploria Stadium
  • Duncan McGuire 13' goal
  • Duncan McGuire 13' goal
  • Martin Ojeda 54' goal
  • Martin Ojeda 54' goal
  • goal Jack McGlynn 60'
  • goal Jack McGlynn 60'
  • goal Jose Andres Martinez 90'
  • goal Jose Andres Martinez 90'