Major League Soccer
Sep 27, 2026 1.30am
2
0
HT : 2 0
LIVE GEODIS Park
  • Hany Mukhtar  16' goal
  • Hany Mukhtar  43' goal

Nashville SC vs Toronto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nashville SC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 20, 2026 2.30am
Nashville 3 - 0 Chicago Fire
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Sam Surridge

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 20, 2026 1.30am
St Louis City 3 - 1 Toronto
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Dániel Sallói

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nashville SC win with a probability of 65.95%. A draw has a probability of 21.41% and a win for Toronto has a probability of 12.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.41%) , while for a Toronto win it is 0-1 (4.46%).

Result

Nashville SC 65.95%
Draw 21.41%
Toronto 12.64%

Both Teams to Score: 

46.52% ▼ (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.59% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 24.41% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 53.05% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 46.95% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 3.5 31.32%
Under 3.5 68.68%
Over 4.5 20.15%
Under 4.5 79.85%

First Half Winner

Nashville SC 48.83% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 36.75% ▼ (-0.01)
Toronto 14.43%

Team To Score First

Nashville SC 68.82% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 7.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Toronto 24.09%

Corners

Over 8 55.89% ▼ (-0.27)
Equal 8 11.7%
Under 8 32.4% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 9 44.17% ▼ (-0.24)
Equal 9 11.73% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 9 44.11% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 10.5 33.39% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 10.5 66.61% ▲ (+0.21)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 1.5 59.03% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 40.97% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 32.85% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 67.15% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 14.98%
Under 3.5 85.02%

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5 45.38%
Under 0.5 54.62%
Over 1.5 15.64%
Under 1.5 84.36%
Over 2.5 4.25%
Under 2.5 95.75%
Over 3.5 1.03%
Under 3.5 98.97%

Score analysis

Nashville SC 65.95%
Draw 21.42%
Toronto 12.65%
Nashville SC
1-0 @ 12.88%
2-0 @ 11.64% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.55% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 8.25% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.32%
3-2 @ 2.53%
Other @ 14.78%
Total : 65.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.41%
0-0 @ 7.09% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.95%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.42%
Toronto
0-1 @ 4.46% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 12.65%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Sep 10, 2026 12.30am
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Toronto Stadium
  • Dániel Sallói 72' goal
  • Emilio Aristizábal 90'+3' goal
  • Luka Gavran 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Niklas Dorsch 3' (OG)
Major League Soccer
Jul 20, 2025 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
MLS Playoffs
May 25, 2025 12.30am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT BMO Field
  • Federico Bernardeschi 86' yellowcard
  • Federico Bernardeschi 86' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Osorio 90'+1' goal
  • Jonathan Osorio 90'+1' goal
  • Kosi Thompson 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Kosi Thompson 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Sam Surridge 57'
  • goal Sam Surridge 57'
  • goal Sam Surridge 89'
  • goal Sam Surridge 89'
Major League Soccer
Jun 20, 2024 12.30am
1
2
HT : 2 0
FT BMO Field
  • Alonso Coello 34' goal
  • Alonso Coello 34' goal
  • Deybi Flores 71' yellowcard
  • Deybi Flores 71' yellowcard
  • Kevin Long 72' yellowcard
  • Kevin Long 72' yellowcard
  • goal Sam Surridge 65'
  • goal Sam Surridge 65'
  • yellowcard Duncan Williams 71'
  • yellowcard Duncan Williams 71'
  • goal Sam Surridge 90'
  • goal Sam Surridge 90'
Major League Soccer
May 16, 2024 1.30am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT First Tennessee Park
  • Dru Yearwood 36' yellowcard
  • Dru Yearwood 36' yellowcard
  • Shaquell Moore 81' goal
  • Shaquell Moore 81' goal
  • Tyler Boyd 86' yellowcard
  • Tyler Boyd 86' yellowcard
  • Teal Bunbury 90'+1' goal
  • Teal Bunbury 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Derrick Etienne 60'
  • yellowcard Kosi Thompson 60'
Major League Soccer
Jun 11, 2023 12.30am
1
1
HT : 2 0
FT BMO Field
  • Lorenzo Insigne 38' goal
  • Lorenzo Insigne 38' goal
  • goal Randall Leal 69'
  • goal Randall Leal 69'