Major League Soccer
Toronto
Oct 28, 2026 11.30pm
Toronto Stadium
DC United

Toronto vs DC United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 24, 2026 8.30pm
Columbus Crew 4 - 2 Toronto
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Dániel Sallói

DC United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 25, 2026 12.30am
DC United 0 - 2 Cincinnati
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Tai Baribo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Toronto win with a probability of 46.04%. A draw has a probability of 27.57% and a win for DC United has a probability of 26.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.35%) , while for a DC United win it is 0-1 (7.56%).

Result

Toronto 46.04% ▲ (+0.34)
Draw 27.57% ▲ (+0.06)
DC United 26.42% ▼ (-0.39)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.2% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.77% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 28.23% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 49.32% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 50.68% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 29.75% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 3.5 70.24% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 4.5 18.07% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 4.5 81.93% ▲ (+0.17)

First Half Winner

Toronto 33.13% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 41.75% ▲ (+0.23)
DC United 25.12% ▼ (-0.27)

Team To Score First

Toronto 51.48% ▲ (+0.16)
No Goal 9.45% ▼ (-0.03)
DC United 39.07% ▼ (-0.15)

Corners

Over 8 62.62% ▲ (+0.15)
Equal 8 10.94% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 8 26.43% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 9 51.03% ▲ (+0.15)
Equal 9 11.59% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 37.38% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 10.5 39.78% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 10.5 60.22% ▼ (-0.15)

Toronto Goals

Over 1.5 43.6% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 1.5 56.4% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 2.5 20.83% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 2.5 79.17% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 3.5 8.58% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 91.42% ▼ (-0.10)

DC United Goals

Over 0.5 59.97% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 0.5 40.03% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 1.5 28.52% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 1.5 71.48% ▲ (+0.40)
Over 2.5 10.56% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 2.5 89.44% ▲ (+0.35)
Over 3.5 3.47% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 3.5 96.53% ▲ (+0.13)

Score analysis

Toronto 46.05%
Draw 27.57%
DC United 26.43%
Toronto
1-0 @ 11.27% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.23% ▲ (+0.13)
2-0 @ 7.33% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.31% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.71% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.88%
Other @ 8.32% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 46.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.35% ▲ (+0.10)
0-0 @ 9.45% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.16% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 27.57%
DC United
0-1 @ 7.56% ▼ (-0.06)
1-2 @ 6.17% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.75% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.10)
0-3 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.13)
Total : 26.43%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
DC United
Jul 26, 2026 12.30am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Audi Field
Toronto
  • Kye Rowles 41' goal
  • Louis Munteanu 53' yellowcard
  • Tai Baribo 90'+10' goal
  • goal Theo Corbeanu  76'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Osorio 88'
Major League Soccer
Toronto
May 10, 2025 9.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT BMO Field
DC United
  • Lorenzo Insigne 48' goal
  • Lucas Bartlett 66' goal
  • Maxime Dominguez 90'+1' yellowcard
Major League Soccer
DC United
Feb 23, 2025 12.30am
2
2
HT : 4 2
FT Audi Field
Toronto
  • Boris Enow 8' goal
  • Boris Enow 8' goal
  • Christian Benteke 35' goal
  • Christian Benteke 35' goal
  • Kye Rowles 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Kye Rowles 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Christian Benteke 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Christian Benteke 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kevin Long 17'
  • yellowcard Kevin Long 17'
  • goal Jonathan Osorio 27'
  • goal Jonathan Osorio 27'
  • yellowcard Sigurd Rosted 60'
  • yellowcard Sigurd Rosted 60'
  • goal Federico Bernardeschi 70'
  • goal Federico Bernardeschi 70'
  • yellowcard Deybi Flores 78'
  • yellowcard Deybi Flores 78'
Major League Soccer
Toronto
Sep 1, 2024 12.30am
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT BMO Field
DC United
  • Deybi Flores 65' yellowcard
  • Deybi Flores 66' yellowcard
  • Deandre Kerr 77' yellowcard
  • Deandre Kerr 77' yellowcard
  • Deandre Kerr 83' goal
  • Deandre Kerr 83' goal
  • Richie Laryea 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Richie Laryea 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Martin Rodriguez 67'
  • goal Martin Rodriguez 67'
  • goal Dominique Badji 88'
  • goal Dominique Badji 88'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Pirani 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Pirani 90'+1'
  • goal Gabriel Pirani 90'+3'
  • goal Gabriel Pirani 90'+4'
Major League Soccer
DC United
Jun 2, 2024 12.30am
2
2
HT : 0 4
FT Audi Field
Toronto
  • Theodore Ku-Dipietro 79' goal
  • Theodore Ku-Dipietro 79' goal
  • Mateusz Klich 90'+5' goal
  • Mateusz Klich 90'+5' goal
  • goal Derrick Etienne 2'
  • goal Derrick Etienne 2'
  • goal Federico Bernardeschi 33'
  • goal Federico Bernardeschi 33'
  • yellowcard Federico Bernardeschi 52'
  • yellowcard Federico Bernardeschi 52'
  • yellowcard Nickseon Gomis 80'
  • yellowcard Nickseon Gomis 80'
  • yellowcard Deybi Flores 82'
  • yellowcard Deybi Flores 82'
  • redcard Federico Bernardeschi 87'
  • redcard Federico Bernardeschi 87'
  • redcard Nickseon Gomis 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Osorio 90'+4'
  • redcard Nickseon Gomis 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Osorio 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Matty Longstaff 90'+8'
  • yellowcard Matty Longstaff 90'+8'
  • yellowcard Raoul Petretta 90'+12'
  • yellowcard Raoul Petretta 90'+12'
Major League Soccer
Toronto
May 28, 2023 12.30am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT BMO Field
DC United
  • Deandre Kerr 14' goal
  • Deandre Kerr 14' goal
  • Kosi Thompson 72' goal
  • Kosi Thompson 72' goal
  • goal Christian Benteke 87'
  • goal Christian Benteke 87'

Form Data

Columbus Crew 4 - 2 Toronto
NY Red Bulls 0 - 2 Toronto
Toronto 3 - 3 Orlando City
Toronto 2 - 1 Montreal
Nashville 2 - 0 Toronto
St Louis City 3 - 1 Toronto
DC United 0 - 2 Cincinnati
Cincinnati 2 - 1 DC United
Orlando City 4 - 1 DC United
DC United 2 - 1 NY Red Bulls
Inter Miami 4 - 0 DC United
Vancouver 3 - 3 DC United