Major League Soccer
DC United
Oct 25, 2026 12.30am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Audi Field
Cincinnati
  • Tai Baribo 34' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Obinna Nwobodo 24'
  • goal Evander 35'
  • yellowcard Tom Barlow 38'
  • goal Tom Barlow 52'

DC United vs FC Cincinnati - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

DC United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 22, 2026 12.00am
Cincinnati 2 - 1 DC United
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Tai Baribo

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 22, 2026 12.00am
Cincinnati 2 - 1 DC United
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Kévin Denkey

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for DC United had a probability of 36.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.63%) and 0-2 (5.81%). The likeliest DC United win was 2-1 (8.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result

DC United 36.71% ▲ (+0.36)
Draw 24.79% ▲ (+0.03)
FC Cincinnati 38.5% ▼ (-0.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.84% ▼ (-0.23)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.17% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 1.5 20.83% ▲ (+0.19)
Over 2.5 56.68% ▼ (-0.35)
Under 2.5 43.32% ▲ (+0.35)
Over 3.5 33.43% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 3.5 66.57% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 4.5 19.51% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 4.5 80.49% ▲ (+0.22)

First Half Winner

DC United 30.41%
Draw 40.49% ▼ (-0.04)
FC Cincinnati 29.09% ▲ (+0.02)

Team To Score First

DC United 50.79% ▲ (+0.08)
No Goal 5.56% ▲ (+0.08)
FC Cincinnati 43.65% ▼ (-0.17)

Corners

Over 8 63.89% ▼ (-0.52)
Equal 8 10.45% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 25.66% ▲ (+0.52)
Over 9 52.74% ▼ (-0.45)
Equal 9 11.15% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 9 36.11% ▲ (+0.51)
Over 10.5 41.79% ▼ (-0.37)
Under 10.5 58.21% ▲ (+0.37)

DC United Goals

Over 1.5 39.92% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 1.5 60.08% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 2.5 16.88% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 83.12% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 5.86% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 94.14% ▼ (-0.02)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5 73.05% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 0.5 26.95% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 1.5 41.8% ▼ (-0.48)
Under 1.5 58.2% ▲ (+0.48)
Over 2.5 18.11% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 2.5 81.89% ▲ (+0.38)
Over 3.5 6.47% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 3.5 93.53% ▲ (+0.19)

Score analysis

DC United 36.72%
Draw 24.79%
FC Cincinnati 38.5%
DC United
2-1 @ 8.58% ▲ (+0.05)
1-0 @ 7.65% ▲ (+0.13)
2-0 @ 5.39% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 3.77% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.97% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 5.63% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 36.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.27% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 6.18% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 5.56% ▲ (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.23% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 24.79%
FC Cincinnati
1-2 @ 8.73% ▼ (-0.06)
0-1 @ 7.63% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 5.81% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.99% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 6.24% ▼ (-0.17)
Total : 38.5%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
Oct 22, 2026 12.00am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT TQL Stadium
DC United
  • David Doudera 14' goal
  • Teenage Hadebe 55' goal
  • Nick Hagglund 87' yellowcard
  • Ayoub Jabbari 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal K. Nono 38'
  • yellowcard K. Nono 54'
  • yellowcard Tai Baribo 88'
Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
Jun 1, 2025 12.30am
1
2
HT : 2 4
FT
DC United
  • Kevin Denkey 15' goal
  • Kevin Denkey 15' goal
  • Matt Miazga 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Matt Miazga 45'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Gabriel Pirani 2'
  • goal Gabriel Pirani 2'
  • goal Conner Antley 19'
  • goal Conner Antley 19'
  • yellowcard Matti Peltola 44'
  • yellowcard Matti Peltola 44'
  • yellowcard Jacob Murrell 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Jacob Murrell 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Brandon Servania 69'
  • yellowcard Brandon Servania 69'
  • yellowcard Dominique Badji 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Dominique Badji 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Rida Zouhir 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Rida Zouhir 90'+5'
Major League Soccer
DC United
Apr 13, 2025 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Audi Field
Cincinnati
  • Lukas MacNaughton 24' yellowcard
  • Kye Rowles 41' yellowcard
  • David Schnegg 69' yellowcard
  • goal Gerardo Valenzuela 28'
  • yellowcard Lukas Engel 50'
Major League Soccer
DC United
Jul 4, 2024 12.30am
2
3
HT : 2 4
FT Audi Field
Cincinnati
  • Pedro Santos 14' yellowcard
  • Pedro Santos 14' yellowcard
  • Martin Rodriguez 24' goal
  • Martin Rodriguez 24' goal
  • Gabriel Pirani 69' goal
  • Gabriel Pirani 69' goal
  • Christopher McVey 80' yellowcard
  • Christopher McVey 80' yellowcard
  • goal Kevin Kelsy 10'
  • goal Kevin Kelsy 10'
  • goal Pavel Bucha 39'
  • goal Pavel Bucha 39'
  • yellowcard Kevin Kelsy 50'
  • yellowcard Kevin Kelsy 50'
  • goal Pavel Bucha 63'
  • goal Pavel Bucha 63'
  • yellowcard Yuya Kubo 82'
  • yellowcard Yuya Kubo 82'
Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
Mar 10, 2024 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Nippert Stadium
DC United
  • Luciano Acosta 55' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aaron Herrera 43'
  • yellowcard Jared Stroud 51'
  • yellowcard Mateusz Klich 56'
  • yellowcard Pedro Santos 71'
Major League Soccer
DC United
Jun 25, 2023 12.30am
3
0
HT : 6 0
FT Audi Field
Cincinnati
  • Pedro Santos 10' goal
  • Pedro Santos 10' goal
  • Derrick Williams 17' goal
  • Derrick Williams 17' goal
  • Cristian Dajome 43' goal
  • Cristian Dajome 43' goal

Form Data

Cincinnati 2 - 1 DC United
Orlando City 4 - 1 DC United
DC United 2 - 1 NY Red Bulls
Inter Miami 4 - 0 DC United
Vancouver 3 - 3 DC United
DC United 1 - 2 Charlotte FC
Cincinnati 2 - 1 DC United
Cincinnati 0 - 2 Columbus Crew
Cincinnati 2 - 3 New England
Atlanta 1 - 3 Cincinnati
Montreal 3 - 1 Cincinnati
Houston 2 - 2 Cincinnati