Major League Soccer
Oct 15, 2026 12.30am
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT TQL Stadium
  • Tom Barlow 13' goal
  • Tyrell Malacia 31' yellowcard
  • Tom Barlow 44' yellowcard
  • Kévin Denkey 67' goal
  • Evander 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ilay Feingold 4'
  • goal Dor Turgeman 21'
  • goal Joshua Wynder 43'
  • goal Dor Turgeman 51'
  • yellowcard Marko Mitrovic 83'

FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 11, 2026 12.30am
Atlanta 1 - 3 Cincinnati
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Kévin Denkey

New England Revolution

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 11, 2026 12.30am
New England 0 - 3 Seattle
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Dor Turgeman

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 53.74%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 23.74% and a draw had a probability of 22.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.28%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (5.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result

FC Cincinnati 53.74% ▲ (+0.84)
Draw 22.52% ▼ (-0.15)
New England Revolution 23.74% ▼ (-0.73)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.41% ▼ (-0.19)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.08% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 15.92% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 64.54% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 35.46% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 42.63% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 3.5 57.37% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 4.5 27.38% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 4.5 72.62% ▲ (+0.22)

First Half Winner

FC Cincinnati 42.73% ▼ (-0.30)
Draw 32.54% ▲ (+0.52)
New England Revolution 24.73% ▼ (-0.24)

Team To Score First

FC Cincinnati 55.15% ▲ (+0.16)
No Goal 4.05% ▲ (+0.07)
New England Revolution 40.8% ▼ (-0.24)

Corners

Over 8 65.54% ▲ (+1.05)
Equal 8 9.68% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 8 24.78% ▼ (-1.01)
Over 9 55.06% ▲ (+1.00)
Equal 9 10.48% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 9 34.46% ▼ (-1.05)
Over 10.5 44.58% ▲ (+0.88)
Under 10.5 55.42% ▼ (-0.88)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 1.5 58.27% ▲ (+0.53)
Under 1.5 41.73% ▼ (-0.53)
Over 2.5 32.03% ▲ (+0.42)
Under 2.5 67.97% ▼ (-0.41)
Over 3.5 14.74% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 3.5 85.26% ▼ (-0.18)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5 62.15% ▼ (-0.68)
Under 0.5 37.85% ▲ (+0.68)
Over 1.5 32.21% ▼ (-0.80)
Under 1.5 67.79% ▲ (+0.81)
Over 2.5 12.68% ▼ (-0.59)
Under 2.5 87.32% ▲ (+0.58)
Over 3.5 4.17% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 3.5 95.83% ▲ (+0.21)

Score analysis

FC Cincinnati 53.74%
Draw 22.53%
New England Revolution 23.73%
FC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 9.59% ▲ (+0.17)
1-0 @ 7.28% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.15% ▲ (+0.17)
3-1 @ 6.2% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 5.07% ▲ (+0.21)
3-2 @ 4.15% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 14.3% ▲ (+0.20)
Total : 53.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.56% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 6.61% ▼ (-0.09)
0-0 @ 4.05% ▲ (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.44% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 22.53%
New England Revolution
1-2 @ 5.93% ▼ (-0.09)
0-1 @ 4.59% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.14)
0-2 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.13)
0-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.73% ▼ (-0.21)
Total : 23.73%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Mar 15, 2026 6.30pm
6
1
HT : 3 1
FT Gillette Stadium
  • Brayan Ceballos 25' goal
  • Dor Turgeman 31' goal
  • Brayan Ceballos 45'+3' goal
  • Alhassan Yusuf 53' goal
  • Griffin Yow 73' yellowcard
  • Ethan Kohler 73' yellowcard
  • Peyton Miller 86' yellowcard
  • Griffin Yow 87' goal
  • Diego Fagúndez 88' yellowcard
  • Jackson Yueill 88' yellowcard
  • Peyton Miller 89' goal
  • goal Gerardo Valenzuela 19'
  • yellowcard Kévin Denkey 46'
  • yellowcard Ender Echenique 46'
  • yellowcard Tom Barlow 46'
  • yellowcard Matt Miazga 61'
  • yellowcard Alvas Powell 82'
Club Friendlies 3
Jan 23, 2026 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Gillette Stadium
  • Leonardo Campana 85' goal
  • goal Denkey 51'
  • goal Kévin Denkey 51'
Major League Soccer
Jun 15, 2025 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Brayan Ceballos 16' yellowcard
  • Mamadou Fofana 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Kevin Denkey 26'
  • yellowcard Kei Kamara 40'
  • yellowcard Luca Orellano 52'
  • yellowcard DeAndre Yedlin 59'
Major League Soccer
Apr 6, 2025 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kevin Denkey 14' yellowcard
  • Kevin Denkey 14' yellowcard
  • Luca Orellano 39' yellowcard
  • Luca Orellano 39' yellowcard
  • Sergio Santos 65' goal
  • Sergio Santos 65' goal
  • yellowcard Matt Polster 52'
  • yellowcard Matt Polster 52'
  • yellowcard Peyton Miller 82'
  • yellowcard Peyton Miller 82'
Major League Soccer
Jun 23, 2024 12.30am
1
2
HT : 0 4
FT Dr. DY Patil Stadium
  • Obinna Nwobodo 34' yellowcard
  • Obinna Nwobodo 34' yellowcard
  • Alvas Powell 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Alvas Powell 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Yuya Kubo 50' yellowcard
  • Yuya Kubo 50' yellowcard
  • DeAndre Yedlin 54' yellowcard
  • DeAndre Yedlin 54' yellowcard
  • Luca Orellano 63' yellowcard
  • Luca Orellano 63' yellowcard
  • Yamil Rodrigo Asad 65' goal
  • Yamil Rodrigo Asad 65' goal
  • Obinna Nwobodo 69' redcard
  • Obinna Nwobodo 69' redcard
  • goal Giacomo Vrioni 21'
  • goal Giacomo Vrioni 21'
  • yellowcard Caleb Porter 35'
  • yellowcard Caleb Porter 35'
  • goal Giacomo Vrioni 41'
  • goal Giacomo Vrioni 41'
  • yellowcard Giacomo Vrioni 81'
  • yellowcard Giacomo Vrioni 81'
Major League Soccer
Mar 17, 2024 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Gillette Stadium
  • Ian Harkes 48' yellowcard
  • Giacomo Vrioni 62' goal
  • DeJuan Jones 83' yellowcard
  • Giacomo Vrioni 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Nacho Gil 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal 46'
  • goal Yuya Kubo 52'
  • goal Luciano Acosta 54'
  • yellowcard DeAndre Yedlin 63'
  • yellowcard Luca Orellano 69'
  • yellowcard Luciano Acosta 72'
  • yellowcard Pavel Bucha 85'
  • yellowcard Aaron Boupendza 90'+9'