Major League Soccer
Atlanta
Oct 18, 2026 12.30am
Atlanta Stadium
Inter Miami

Atlanta United vs Inter Miami - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 15, 2026 12.30am
Montreal 0 - 3 Atlanta
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Aleksey Miranchuk

Inter Miami

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 15, 2026 12.30am
Inter Miami 2 - 0 NY City
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Lionel Messi 

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Inter Miami win with a probability of 48.11%. A win for Atlanta United has a probability of 28.43% and a draw has a probability of 23.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.13%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Atlanta United win is 2-1 (6.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.06%).

Result

Atlanta United 28.43% ▼ (-1.22)
Draw 23.46% ▼ (-0.34)
Inter Miami 48.11% ▲ (+1.57)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.42% ▼ (-1.38)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.54% ▼ (-0.55)
Under 1.5 18.46% ▲ (+0.56)
Over 2.5 60.75% ▼ (-0.51)
Under 2.5 39.25% ▲ (+0.51)
Over 3.5 38.6% ▼ (-0.75)
Under 3.5 61.4% ▲ (+0.75)
Over 4.5 23.57% ▼ (-0.61)
Under 4.5 76.43% ▲ (+0.61)

First Half Winner

Atlanta United 31.67% ▼ (-0.93)
Draw 38.22% ▲ (+0.84)
Inter Miami 30.12% ▲ (+0.09)

Team To Score First

Atlanta United 46.22% ▼ (-3.90)
No Goal 4.74% ▲ (+0.09)
Inter Miami 49.04% ▲ (+3.80)

Corners

Over 8 59.74% ▲ (+1.68)
Equal 8 11.57% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 8 28.69% ▼ (-1.52)
Over 9 47.76% ▲ (+1.69)
Equal 9 11.98% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 40.26% ▼ (-1.68)
Over 10.5 36.43% ▲ (+1.58)
Under 10.5 63.57% ▼ (-1.59)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 1.5 35.34% ▼ (-1.31)
Under 1.5 64.66% ▲ (+1.31)
Over 2.5 14.59% ▼ (-0.82)
Under 2.5 85.41% ▲ (+0.82)
Over 3.5 5.11% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 3.5 94.89% ▲ (+0.35)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5 79.31% ▲ (+0.47)
Under 0.5 20.69% ▼ (-0.47)
Over 1.5 51.29% ▲ (+0.57)
Under 1.5 48.71% ▼ (-0.57)
Over 2.5 25.76% ▲ (+0.32)
Under 2.5 74.24% ▼ (-0.32)
Over 3.5 10.42% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 89.58% ▲ (+0.08)

Score analysis

Atlanta United 28.43%
Draw 23.46%
Inter Miami 48.09%
Atlanta United
2-1 @ 6.7% ▼ (-0.26)
1-0 @ 5.57% ▼ (-0.10)
2-0 @ 3.68% ▼ (-0.20)
3-1 @ 3.13% ▼ (-0.15)
3-2 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.23)
3-0 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.83% ▼ (-0.25)
Total : 28.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.06% ▼ (-0.22)
2-2 @ 6.55% ▼ (-0.07)
0-0 @ 4.74% ▲ (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.28% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 23.46%
Inter Miami
1-2 @ 9.25% ▲ (+0.16)
0-1 @ 8.13% ▲ (+0.55)
0-2 @ 7.06% ▲ (+0.39)
1-3 @ 5.35% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 4.34% ▲ (+0.37)
2-3 @ 3.82% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 10.14% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 48.09%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Inter Miami
Sep 6, 2026 2.05am
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Chase Stadium
Atlanta
  • Maximiliano Falcón 28' yellowcard
  • Casemiro 32' goal
  • Germán Berterame 42' yellowcard
  • Luis Suárez 45'+1' goal
  • Fricio Caicedo 58' yellowcard
  • Dayne St. Clair 62' yellowcard
  • Casemiro 72' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo De Paul 75' yellowcard
  • goal Miguel Almirón  35'
  • yellowcard Cooper Sanchez 39'
  • yellowcard Paulo Díaz 47'
  • goal Breel Embolo 87'
  • yellowcard Matthew Edwards 90'+5'
  • yellowcard 90'+5'
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Inter Miami
Oct 12, 2025 12.30am
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Atlanta
Major League Soccer
Atlanta
Mar 16, 2025 11.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Inter Miami
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 11' goal
  • Pedro Amador 45' yellowcard
  • Stian Rode Gregersen 62' yellowcard
  • Edwin Mosquera 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Lionel Messi 20'
  • yellowcard Noah Allen 42'
  • goal Fabrice Picault 89'
MLS Playoffs
Inter Miami
Nov 10, 2024 1.00am
2
3
HT : 2 4
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
Atlanta
  • Matias Rojas 17' goal
  • Matias Rojas 17' goal
  • Federico Redondo 35' yellowcard
  • Federico Redondo 35' yellowcard
  • Lionel Messi 65' goal
  • Lionel Messi 65' goal
  • Sergio Busquets 80' yellowcard
  • Sergio Busquets 80' yellowcard
  • goal Jamal Thiare 19'
  • goal Jamal Thiare 19'
  • goal Jamal Thiare 21'
  • goal Jamal Thiare 21'
  • goal Bartosz Slisz 76'
  • goal Bartosz Slisz 76'
  • yellowcard Pedro Amador 88'
  • yellowcard Pedro Amador 88'
MLS Playoffs
Atlanta
Nov 2, 2024 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Inter Miami
  • Ronald Hernandez 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Derrick Williams 58' goal
  • Derrick Williams 63' yellowcard
  • Bartosz Slisz 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Xande Silva 90'+4' goal
  • Xande Silva 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal David Martinez 40'
  • yellowcard Tomas Aviles 56'
MLS Playoffs
Inter Miami
Oct 26, 2024 1.30am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
Atlanta
  • Luis Suarez 2' goal
  • Jordi Alba 60' goal
  • goal Saba Lobzhanidze 39'
  • yellowcard Derrick Williams 90'+4'

Form Data

Montreal 0 - 3 Atlanta
Atlanta 1 - 3 Cincinnati
Atlanta 2 - 2 NY City
Portland 0 - 1 Atlanta
DC United 0 - 0 Atlanta
Atlanta 2 - 3 Orlando City
Inter Miami 2 - 0 NY City
Inter Miami 4 - 0 DC United
Columbus Crew 2 - 1 Inter Miami
Inter Miami 2 - 2 San Diego
Inter Miami 2 - 2 Nashville
Chicago Fire 1 - 1 Inter Miami