Major League Soccer
Oct 25, 2026 12.30am
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Atlanta Stadium
  • Tomás Jacob 4' goal
  • Lucas Hoyos 59' yellowcard
  • Breel Embolo 68' goal
  • Paulo Díaz 74' yellowcard
  • Júnior Alonso 84' yellowcard
  • goal Anton Salétros 30'
  • yellowcard Djé D'Avilla 38'
  • goal Anzor Mekvabishvili 51'
  • goal Philip Zinckernagel 60'
  • yellowcard Anzor Mekvabishvili 79'
  • yellowcard Mbekezeli Mbokazi 81'
  • yellowcard Johan Gómez 84'

Atlanta United vs Chicago Fire - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 18, 2026 12.30am
Atlanta 1 - 3 Inter Miami
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Aleksey Miranchuk

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 18, 2026 12.30am
New England 1 - 0 Chicago Fire
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Hugo Cuypers

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 42.52%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 32.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.65%) and 0-2 (5.64%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 2-1 (7.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result

Atlanta United 32.84% ▲ (+0.10)
Draw 24.67% ▲ (+0.06)
Chicago Fire 42.52% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.48% ▼ (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 83% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 17% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 62.75% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 37.21% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 40.7% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 59.3% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 24.79% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 4.5 75.21% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Atlanta United 30.47% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 37.41%
Chicago Fire 32.12% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Atlanta United 44.55% ▲ (+0.06)
No Goal 4.43% ▲ (+0.02)
Chicago Fire 51.02% ▼ (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 58.23% ▼ (-0.11)
Equal 8 11.25% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 30.52% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 9 46.73% ▼ (-0.11)
Equal 9 11.5%
Under 9 41.77% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 10.5 35.92% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 10.5 64.08% ▲ (+0.09)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 1.5 40.46% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 59.54% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 17.81% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 82.19% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 6.2% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 93.8% ▼ (-0.02)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5 77.44% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 22.56% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 48.96% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 51.04% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 24.34% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 75.66% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 9.94% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 90.06% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Atlanta United 32.84%
Draw 24.67%
Chicago Fire 42.52%
Atlanta United
2-1 @ 7.7% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 5.95% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 4.29% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.81% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.17% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.26% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 5.66% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 32.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.32% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 7.01% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.43% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.54% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 24.67%
Chicago Fire
1-2 @ 8.8% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.65% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.64% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.09% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.65% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 3.29%
Other @ 9.4% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 42.52%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Apr 12, 2026 1.30am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Soldier Field
  • Maren Haile-Selassie 13' goal
  • Jonathan Dean 68' yellowcard
  • Mauricio Pineda 68' yellowcard
  • Joel Waterman 89' yellowcard
  • Jason Shokalook 89' yellowcard
  • P. Dithejane 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Steven Alzate 66'
  • yellowcard Pedro Amador 78'
  • yellowcard Luke Brennan 78'
  • yellowcard Cayman Togashi 78'
  • yellowcard Ajani Fortune 89'
Major League Soccer
Jul 17, 2025 12.30am
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
May 10, 2025 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Soldier Field
  • Hugo Cuypers 14' goal
  • Mauricio Pineda 60' yellowcard
  • Sam Rogers 73' yellowcard
  • Rominigue Kouame 86' goal
  • yellowcard Ajani Fortune 35'
  • yellowcard Aleksei Miranchuk 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Latte Lath 60'
  • goal Sam Rogers 80' (OG)
Major League Soccer
Apr 28, 2024 1.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Soldier Field
  • Allan Arigoni 75' yellowcard
  • Allan Arigoni 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brooks Lennon 46'
  • yellowcard Brooks Lennon 46'
  • yellowcard Bartosz Slisz 89'
  • yellowcard Bartosz Slisz 89'
  • yellowcard Edwin Mosquera 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Edwin Mosquera 90'+8'
Major League Soccer
Mar 31, 2024 8.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Giorgos Giakoumakis 45' goal
  • Caleb Wiley 50' yellowcard
  • Jamal Thiare 64' goal
  • Brooks Lennon 90' yellowcard
  • Jamal Thiare 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Fabian Herbers 66'
  • redcard Carlos Teran 84'
Major League Soccer
May 21, 2023 1.30am
3
3
HT : 2 2
FT Toyota Park
  • Juan Sanchez 42' goal
  • Juan Sanchez 42' goal
  • Maren Haile-Selassie 49' goal
  • Maren Haile-Selassie 49' goal
  • Georgios Koutsias 89' goal
  • Georgios Koutsias 89' goal
  • goal Andrew Gutman 29'
  • goal Andrew Gutman 29'
  • goal Giorgos Giakoumakis 55'
  • goal Giorgos Giakoumakis 55'
  • goal Giorgos Giakoumakis 64'
  • goal Giorgos Giakoumakis 65'