Major League Soccer
Oct 18, 2026 12.30am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Boston Stadium
  • Matt Polster 26' goal
  • Ethan Kohler 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andrew Gutman 58'

New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

New England Revolution

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 15, 2026 12.30am
Cincinnati 2 - 3 New England
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Dor Turgeman

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 15, 2026 1.30am
Chicago Fire 1 - 3 Philadelphia
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Hugo Cuypers

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 38%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 37.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.32%) and 2-0 (4.94%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (8.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result

New England Revolution 38% ▲ (+0.15)
Draw 24.45% ▲ (+0.13)
Chicago Fire 37.59% ▼ (-0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.84% ▲ (+0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.52% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 1.5 16.48% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 2.5 63.43% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 2.5 36.57% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 3.5 41.59% ▲ (+0.46)
Under 3.5 58.41% ▼ (-0.46)
Over 4.5 25.09% ▲ (+0.38)
Under 4.5 74.91% ▼ (-0.39)

First Half Winner

New England Revolution 35.18% ▲ (+1.09)
Draw 36.81% ▼ (-0.90)
Chicago Fire 28.01% ▼ (-0.19)

Team To Score First

New England Revolution 49.42% ▲ (+0.78)
No Goal 4.09% ▼ (-0.05)
Chicago Fire 46.49% ▼ (-0.72)

Corners

Over 8 64.88% ▲ (+2.16)
Equal 8 10.6% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 8 24.51% ▼ (-2.04)
Over 9 53.44% ▲ (+2.08)
Equal 9 11.44% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 9 35.12% ▼ (-2.17)
Over 10.5 42.13% ▲ (+1.84)
Under 10.5 57.87% ▼ (-1.84)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 1.5 45.61% ▲ (+0.39)
Under 1.5 54.39% ▼ (-0.39)
Over 2.5 21.01% ▲ (+0.39)
Under 2.5 78.99% ▼ (-0.39)
Over 3.5 8.04% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 3.5 91.96% ▼ (-0.13)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5 74.57% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 0.5 25.43% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 1.5 45.09% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 1.5 54.91% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 2.5 21.22% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 78.78% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 8.05% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 3.5 91.95% ▼ (-0.15)

Score analysis

New England Revolution 38.01%
Draw 24.45%
Chicago Fire 37.59%
New England Revolution
2-1 @ 8.48% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 6.32% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 4.94% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.56% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 3.58% ▲ (+0.15)
3-0 @ 2.69% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 7.44% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 38.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.32% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 7.3% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 4.09% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 2.14% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 0.6% ▲ (+0.08)
Total : 24.45%
Chicago Fire
1-2 @ 8.18% ▼ (-0.15)
0-1 @ 6.12% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 4.81% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 4.65% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 3.88% ▼ (-0.06)
0-3 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 7.45% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 37.59%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Sep 13, 2026 10.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Soldier Field
  • Noah Allen 43' yellowcard
  • Maren Haile-Selassie 62' goal
  • Sergio Oregel 84' yellowcard
  • goal Dor Turgeman 39'
  • goal Peyton Miller 47'
  • yellowcard Matt Polster 52'
  • yellowcard Peyton Miller 58'
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Oct 18, 2025 11.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Sep 7, 2025 1.30am
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
May 5, 2024 2.25am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Soldier Field
  • Allan Arigoni 83' yellowcard
  • Allan Arigoni 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Frederick Kessler 22'
  • yellowcard Frederick Kessler 22'
  • yellowcard Nick Lima 50'
  • yellowcard Nick Lima 50'
  • goal Tomas Chancalay 62'
  • goal Tomas Chancalay 62'
  • yellowcard Tomas Chancalay 72'
  • yellowcard Tomas Chancalay 72'
  • yellowcard Aljaz Ivacic 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Aljaz Ivacic 90'+6'
Major League Soccer
Mar 23, 2024 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Gillette Stadium
  • Nacho Gil 45'+4' goal
  • Ian Harkes 60' yellowcard
  • Matt Polster 81' yellowcard
  • Carles Gil 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Tomas Chancalay 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fabian Herbers 18'
  • goal Hugo Cuypers 20'
  • yellowcard Brian Gutierrez 44'
  • yellowcard Allan Arigoni 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Tom Barlow 90'
Major League Soccer
Sep 24, 2023 1.30am
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT Soldier Field
  • Brian Gutierrez 18' goal
  • Brian Gutierrez 18' goal
  • Gaston Gimenez 54' goal
  • Gaston Gimenez 54' goal
  • Gaston Gimenez 65' yellowcard
  • Gaston Gimenez 65' yellowcard
  • Ousmane Doumbia 90'+8' yellowcard
  • Ousmane Doumbia 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Tomas Chancalay 17'
  • goal Tomas Chancalay 17'
  • goal Carles Gil 59'
  • goal Carles Gil 59'
  • yellowcard Tomas Chancalay 90'+10'
  • yellowcard Tomas Chancalay 90'+10'