Major League Soccer
Oct 15, 2026 1.30am
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT Soldier Field
  • Mbekezeli Mbokazi 34' yellowcard
  • Jack Elliott 41' yellowcard
  • Maren Haile-Selassie 44' goal
  • Jack Elliott 45'+1' redcard
  • Philip Zinckernagel 88' yellowcard
  • goal Milan Iloski 49'
  • goal Bruno Damiani 55'
  • goal Bruno Damiani 67'
  • yellowcard Indiana Vassilev 85'
  • yellowcard Neil Pierre 90'+3'

Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 7.30pm
Chicago Fire 2 - 1 NY City
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Hugo Cuypers

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 11, 2026 12.30am
Philadelphia 2 - 1 Salt Lake
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Milan Iloski

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.59%) and 2-0 (5.12%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (7.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result

Chicago Fire 41.59% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 23.43%
Philadelphia Union 34.98% ▲ (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

67.38% ▲ (+0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 85.9% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 14.1% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 66.75% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 2.5 33.25% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 44.59% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 3.5 55.41% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 4.5 28.5% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 4.5 71.5% ▼ (-0.10)

First Half Winner

Chicago Fire 34.81%
Draw 38.79%
Philadelphia Union 26.4%

Team To Score First

Chicago Fire 50.8%
No Goal 3.47% ▼ (-0.01)
Philadelphia Union 45.73% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 59.91%
Equal 8 10.92%
Under 8 29.16%
Over 9 48.61%
Equal 9 11.3%
Under 9 40.09%
Over 10.5 37.84%
Under 10.5 62.16%

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 1.5 50.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 49.96% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 25.21% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 74.79% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 10.86% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 89.14% ▼ (-0.04)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5 72.24% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 27.76% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 44.04% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 55.96% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 20.64% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 2.5 79.36% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 7.83% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 92.17% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Chicago Fire 41.6%
Draw 23.42%
Philadelphia Union 34.99%
Chicago Fire
2-1 @ 8.54% ▼ (-0.03)
1-0 @ 5.59% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.12% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.77%
3-2 @ 3.99% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 10.38% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 41.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.84% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 7.25% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 23.42%
Philadelphia Union
1-2 @ 7.98%
0-1 @ 5.05% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.18%
1-3 @ 4.08% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.92% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.43%
Other @ 7.35% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 34.99%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Mar 21, 2026 8.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Subaru Park
  • Jovan Lukić 46' yellowcard
  • Milan Iloski 45'+7' goal
  • Alejandro Bedoya  62' yellowcard
  • Indiana Vassilev 62' yellowcard
  • Malik Jakupovic 62' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Rafanello 66' yellowcard
  • Ben Bender 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Maren Haile-Selassie 31'
  • yellowcard Viktor Radojević 46'
  • goal Hugo Cuypers 45'+3'
  • goal Jonathan Bamba 58'
  • yellowcard Jason Shokalook 89'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Dean 89'
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Nov 1, 2025 9.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Oct 26, 2025 9.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
ET
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Aug 24, 2025 12.30am
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Jun 26, 2025 1.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT