International Friendlies
Jun 5, 2026 3.00am
5
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Nemesio Díez
  • Johan Vásquez 34' goal
  • Álvaro Fidalgo 43' yellowcard
  • Stefan Bukinac 45'+2' goal
  • Raúl Jiménez 57' goal
  • Edson Álvarez 65' yellowcard
  • Adem Avdić 72' goal
  • Luis Chávez 90' goal
  • yellowcard Vanja Dragojevic 16'
  • goal Petar Stanic 19'
  • yellowcard Adem Avdić 68'

Mexico vs Serbia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
May 31, 2026 3.00am
Mexico 1 - 0 Australia

Serbia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
May 31, 2026 4.00pm
Cape Verde 3 - 0 Serbia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 50.84%. A draw had a probability of 27.65% and a win for Serbia had a probability of 21.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%) , while for a Serbia win it was 0-1 (8.12%).

Result

Mexico 50.84% (+0.08)
Draw 27.65% (-0.04)
Serbia 21.51% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.39% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.39% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 32.61% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 41.14% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 58.86% (-0.12)
Over 3.5 20.57% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 79.43% (-0.15)
Over 4.5 10.99% (+0.10)
Under 4.5 89.01% (-0.10)

First Half Winner

Mexico 38.69% (+0.02)
Draw 45.04% (-0.04)
Serbia 16.27% (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Mexico 60.87% (-0.03)
No Goal 10.26% (-0.05)
Serbia 28.87% (+0.07)

Corners

Over 8 42.71% (+0.33)
Equal 8 12.01% (-0.02)
Under 8 45.28% (-0.32)
Over 9 31.84% (+0.33)
Equal 9 10.87% (+0.01)
Under 9 57.29% (-0.33)
Over 10.5 22.77% (+0.29)
Under 10.5 77.23% (-0.29)

Mexico Goals

Over 1.5 42.55% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 57.45% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 17.64% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 82.36% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 6.23% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 93.77% (-0.08)

Serbia Goals

Over 0.5 54.28% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 45.72% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 20.03% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 79.97% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 5.67% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 94.33% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 1.33% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.67% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Mexico 50.84%
Draw 27.65%
Serbia 21.52%
Mexico
1-0 @ 14.24% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 10.3% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.45% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.87% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.09% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.83%
Other @ 6.06% (+0.07)
Total : 50.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.59% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 10.26% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.01% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 27.65%
Serbia
0-1 @ 8.12% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 5.16% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.36%
1-3 @ 1.48% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.15% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.09% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.16% (+0.02)
Total : 21.52%