Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 50.84%. A draw had a probability of 27.65% and a win for Serbia had a probability of 21.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%) , while for a Serbia win it was 0-1 (8.12%).