Major League Soccer
Toronto
Jun 1, 2025 12.30am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT BMO Field
Charlotte FC
  • Deybi Flores 37' yellowcard
  • Deybi Flores 37' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Osorio 80' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Osorio 80' yellowcard
  • Richie Laryea 86' yellowcard
  • Richie Laryea 86' yellowcard
  • Raoul Petretta 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Raoul Petretta 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Pep Biel 56'
  • goal Pep Biel 56'
  • goal Patrick Agyemang 90'
  • goal Patrick Agyemang 90'
  • yellowcard Patrick Agyemang 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Patrick Agyemang 90'+1'

Toronto vs Charlotte FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 17, 2025 7.30pm
Montreal 1 - 6 Toronto
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Federico Bernardeschi

Charlotte FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 18, 2025 12.30am
Charlotte FC 1 - 4 Chicago Fire
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Liel Abada

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 34.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Charlotte FC win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result

Toronto 40.15% ▼ (-2.18)
Draw 25.59% ▲ (+0.38)
Charlotte FC 34.26% ▲ (+1.81)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.36% ▼ (-0.73)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.39% ▼ (-1.18)
Under 2.5 48.61% ▲ (+1.18)
Over 3.5 29.27% ▼ (-1.08)
Under 3.5 70.73% ▲ (+1.08)
Over 4.5 14.17% ▼ (-0.75)
Under 4.5 85.83% ▲ (+0.75)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5 76.06% ▼ (-1.59)
Under 0.5 23.94% ▲ (+1.59)
Over 1.5 41.84% ▼ (-2.33)
Under 1.5 58.16% ▲ (+2.33)

Charlotte FC Goals

Over 0.5 72.78% ▲ (+0.56)
Under 0.5 27.22% ▼ (-0.56)
Over 1.5 37.36% ▲ (+0.72)
Under 1.5 62.64% ▼ (-0.72)

Score analysis

Toronto 40.15%
Draw 25.59%
Charlotte FC 34.26%
Toronto
1-0 @ 9.32% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.67% ▼ (-0.27)
2-0 @ 6.66% ▼ (-0.31)
3-1 @ 4.13% ▼ (-0.33)
3-0 @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.31)
3-2 @ 2.69% ▼ (-0.17)
4-1 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.20)
4-0 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 40.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.12% ▲ (+0.21)
0-0 @ 6.52% ▲ (+0.31)
2-2 @ 5.64% ▼ (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.59%
Charlotte FC
0-1 @ 8.48% ▲ (+0.53)
1-2 @ 7.89% ▲ (+0.26)
0-2 @ 5.52% ▲ (+0.43)
1-3 @ 3.42% ▲ (+0.17)
2-3 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.22)
1-4 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 34.26%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Charlotte FC
Apr 14, 2024 12.30am
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT Bank of America Stadium
Toronto
  • Kerwin Vargas 39' goal
  • Kerwin Vargas 39' goal
  • Liel Abada 70' goal
  • Liel Abada 70' goal
  • Liel Abada 70' yellowcard
  • Liel Abada 70' yellowcard
  • Patrick Agyemang 85' goal
  • Patrick Agyemang 85' goal
  • Jaylin Lindsey 88' yellowcard
  • Jaylin Lindsey 88' yellowcard
  • <TBD> 90'+3' yellowcard
  • <TBD> 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Prince Osei Owusu 49'
  • goal Prince Osei Owusu 49'
  • yellowcard Alonso Coello 54'
  • yellowcard Alonso Coello 54'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Osorio 58'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Osorio 58'
  • goal Prince Osei Owusu 78'
  • goal Prince Osei Owusu 78'
  • yellowcard Kevin Long 84'
  • yellowcard Kevin Long 84'
  • redcard Kevin Long 90'+8'
  • redcard Kevin Long 90'+8'
Major League Soccer
Toronto
Mar 9, 2024 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT BMO Field
Charlotte FC
  • Lorenzo Insigne 26' yellowcard
  • Sigurd Rosted 64' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Insigne 80' goal
  • yellowcard Kerwin Vargas 60'
  • yellowcard Scott Arfield 82'
  • yellowcard Brecht Dejaegere 86'
  • yellowcard Kristijan Kahlina 90'+5'
Major League Soccer
Charlotte FC
Oct 5, 2023 12.30am
3
0
HT : 4 0
FT Bank of America Stadium
Toronto
  • Karol Swiderski 8' goal
  • Karol Swiderski 8' goal
  • Karol Swiderski 45'+2' goal
  • Karol Swiderski 45'+2' goal
  • Brecht Dejaegere 56' goal
  • Brecht Dejaegere 56' goal
  • yellowcard Michael Bradley 26'
  • yellowcard Michael Bradley 26'
  • yellowcard Hugo Mbongue 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Hugo Mbongue 45'+6'
Major League Soccer
Toronto
Apr 2, 2023 12.30am
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT BMO Field
Charlotte FC
  • Federico Bernardeschi 6' goal
  • Michael Bradley 44' goal
  • goal Ben Bender 50'
  • goal Ben Bender 51'
  • goal Kamil Jozwiak 70'
Major League Soccer
Charlotte FC
Aug 28, 2022 1.10am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Toronto
  • Christian Fuchs 10' yellowcard
  • Kamil Jozwiak 83' yellowcard
  • goal Lorenzo Insigne 49'
  • goal Federico Bernardeschi 66'
Major League Soccer
Toronto
Jul 24, 2022 12.30am
4
0
HT : 4 0
FT
Charlotte FC
  • Jonathan Osorio 4' goal
  • Michael Bradley 10' goal
  • Federico Bernardeschi 31' goal
  • Michael Bradley 45'+2' goal
  • Mark-Anthony Kaye 67' yellowcard
  • redcard Christian Fuchs 65'

Form Data

Toronto 1 - 2 Philadelphia
Toronto 1 - 2 Nashville
Montreal 1 - 6 Toronto
Toronto 0 - 1 Cincinnati
Toronto 2 - 0 DC United
Toronto 0 - 2 New England
NY Red Bulls 4 - 2 Charlotte FC
Charlotte FC 3 - 2 Columbus Crew
Charlotte FC 1 - 4 Chicago Fire
Orlando City 3 - 1 Charlotte FC
Nashville 2 - 1 Charlotte FC
Columbus Crew 4 - 2 Charlotte FC