Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for DC United had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.
Result | ||
Toronto | Draw | DC United |
40.82% (![]() | 24.33% (![]() | 34.85% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.91% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.24% (![]() | 42.75% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.84% (![]() | 65.15% (![]() |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.94% (![]() | 21.05% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.14% (![]() | 53.86% (![]() |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.89% (![]() | 24.11% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.59% (![]() | 58.4% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Toronto | Draw | DC United |
2-1 @ 8.77% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.91% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.16% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.55% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.24% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.2% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.77% 4-2 @ 1.26% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.25% ( ![]() Other @ 2.71% Total : 40.82% | 1-1 @ 11.25% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.23% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.08% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.54% ( ![]() Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.33% | 1-2 @ 8% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.22% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.14% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.8% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.96% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.44% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.35% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.05% ( ![]() Other @ 2.9% Total : 34.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Columbus Crew | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 25 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 25 |
3 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 21 |
5 | Nashville SCNashville | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 20 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 19 |
7 | Orlando City | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 18 |
8 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 18 |
9 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 17 |
10 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 17 |
11 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 16 |
12 | DC United | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 12 |
13 | Toronto | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 10 |
14 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 10 |
15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 6 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 27 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 22 |
3 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 21 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 19 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 18 |
6 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 16 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
8 | Dallas | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 16 |
10 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 13 |
11 | St Louis City | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Houston DynamoHouston | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 7 |
14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 27 | -19 | 3 |
15 | San Diego FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |