Major League Soccer
Toronto
May 10, 2025 9.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT BMO Field
DC United
  • Lorenzo Insigne 48' goal
  • Lucas Bartlett 66' goal
  • Maxime Dominguez 90'+1' yellowcard

Toronto vs DC United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 3, 2025 9.30pm
Toronto 0 - 2 New England
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Federico Bernardeschi

DC United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 4, 2025 12.30am
DC United 2 - 1 Colorado
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Christian Benteke

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for DC United had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.

Result

Toronto 40.82% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 24.33% ▲ (+0.03)
DC United 34.85% ▼ (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.91% ▼ (-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.24% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 2.5 42.75% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 3.5 34.84% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 3.5 65.15% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 4.5 18.15% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 4.5 81.85% ▲ (+0.10)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5 78.94% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 0.5 21.05% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 46.14% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 53.86% ▲ (+0.04)

DC United Goals

Over 0.5 75.89% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 0.5 24.11% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 1.5 41.59% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 1.5 58.4% ▲ (+0.17)

Score analysis

Toronto 40.82%
Draw 24.33%
DC United 34.85%
Toronto
2-1 @ 8.77% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 7.91% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 6.16% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.55% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.24% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.2% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.77%
4-2 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 40.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.25% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.23% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.08% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.33%
DC United
1-2 @ 8% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 7.22% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.14% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.8% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 34.85%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
DC United
Feb 23, 2025 12.30am
2
2
HT : 4 2
FT Audi Field
Toronto
  • Boris Enow 8' goal
  • Boris Enow 8' goal
  • Christian Benteke 35' goal
  • Christian Benteke 35' goal
  • Kye Rowles 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Kye Rowles 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Christian Benteke 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Christian Benteke 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kevin Long 17'
  • yellowcard Kevin Long 17'
  • goal Jonathan Osorio 27'
  • goal Jonathan Osorio 27'
  • yellowcard Sigurd Rosted 60'
  • yellowcard Sigurd Rosted 60'
  • goal Federico Bernardeschi 70'
  • goal Federico Bernardeschi 70'
  • yellowcard Deybi Flores 78'
  • yellowcard Deybi Flores 78'
Major League Soccer
Toronto
Sep 1, 2024 12.30am
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT BMO Field
DC United
  • Deybi Flores 65' yellowcard
  • Deybi Flores 66' yellowcard
  • Deandre Kerr 77' yellowcard
  • Deandre Kerr 77' yellowcard
  • Deandre Kerr 83' goal
  • Deandre Kerr 83' goal
  • Richie Laryea 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Richie Laryea 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Martin Rodriguez 67'
  • goal Martin Rodriguez 67'
  • goal Dominique Badji 88'
  • goal Dominique Badji 88'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Pirani 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Pirani 90'+1'
  • goal Gabriel Pirani 90'+3'
  • goal Gabriel Pirani 90'+4'
Major League Soccer
DC United
Jun 2, 2024 12.30am
2
2
HT : 0 4
FT Audi Field
Toronto
  • Theodore Ku-Dipietro 79' goal
  • Theodore Ku-Dipietro 79' goal
  • Mateusz Klich 90'+5' goal
  • Mateusz Klich 90'+5' goal
  • goal Derrick Etienne 2'
  • goal Derrick Etienne 2'
  • goal Federico Bernardeschi 33'
  • goal Federico Bernardeschi 33'
  • yellowcard Federico Bernardeschi 52'
  • yellowcard Federico Bernardeschi 52'
  • yellowcard Nickseon Gomis 80'
  • yellowcard Nickseon Gomis 80'
  • yellowcard Deybi Flores 82'
  • yellowcard Deybi Flores 82'
  • redcard Federico Bernardeschi 87'
  • redcard Federico Bernardeschi 87'
  • redcard Nickseon Gomis 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Osorio 90'+4'
  • redcard Nickseon Gomis 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Osorio 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Matty Longstaff 90'+8'
  • yellowcard Matty Longstaff 90'+8'
  • yellowcard Raoul Petretta 90'+12'
  • yellowcard Raoul Petretta 90'+12'
Major League Soccer
Toronto
May 28, 2023 12.30am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT BMO Field
DC United
  • Deandre Kerr 14' goal
  • Deandre Kerr 14' goal
  • Kosi Thompson 72' goal
  • Kosi Thompson 72' goal
  • goal Christian Benteke 87'
  • goal Christian Benteke 87'
Major League Soccer
DC United
Feb 26, 2023 12.30am
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Audi Field
Toronto
  • Mateusz Klich 13' goal
  • Christian Benteke 90' goal
  • Theodore Ku-Dipietro 90'+8' goal
  • goal Federico Bernardeschi 66'
  • goal Mark-Anthony Kaye 83'
Major League Soccer
DC United
May 21, 2022 11.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Toronto
  • Edison Flores 8' goal
  • Brendan Hines-Ike 16' yellowcard
  • Antony Alfaro 23' yellowcard
  • Michael Estrada 56' goal
  • Brad Smith 84' yellowcard
  • Chris Durkin 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Carlos Salcedo 10'
  • goal Ayomide Akinola 36'
  • yellowcard Jesus Jimenez 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Osorio 80'
  • yellowcard Ifunanyachi Achara 85'
  • goal Jonathan Osorio 89'

Form Data

Toronto 0 - 2 New England
Toronto 0 - 1 NY City
Salt Lake 0 - 1 Toronto
Toronto 0 - 0 Minnesota Utd
Inter Miami 1 - 1 Toronto
Toronto 0 - 0 Vancouver
DC United 2 - 1 Colorado
Philadelphia 3 - 0 DC United
NY Red Bulls 1 - 2 DC United
DC United 0 - 1 Cincinnati
Earthquakes 6 - 1 DC United
DC United 1 - 2 Columbus Crew