Ligue 1 Gameweek 10
Nov 7, 2026 7.45pm
Parc des Princes

Paris Saint-Germain vs Troyes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Last game
Oct 30, 2026 6.00pm
Le Havre 1 - 5 PSG
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Ferran Torres

Troyes

All competitions
Last game
Oct 31, 2026 7.45pm
Troyes 2 - 0 Le Mans
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Ismaël Boura

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 72.35%. A draw has a probability of 18.24% and a win for Troyes has a probability of 9.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.62%) and 3-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.55%) , while for a Troyes win it is 0-1 (3.05%).

Result

Paris Saint-Germain 72.35% ▲ (+0.29)
Draw 18.24% ▼ (-0.14)
Troyes 9.36% ▼ (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.42% ▼ (-0.41)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.94% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 22.06% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 56.7% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 43.27% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 36.42%
Under 3.5 63.58%
Over 4.5 25.37% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 4.5 74.63% ▼ (-0.11)

First Half Winner

Paris Saint-Germain 56.79%
Draw 30.67% ▲ (+0.04)
Troyes 12.54% ▼ (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Paris Saint-Germain 69.43% ▲ (+0.18)
No Goal 6.28% ▲ (+0.02)
Troyes 24.29% ▼ (-0.18)

Corners

Over 8 58.13% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.44% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 30.42% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 9 46.44% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.69% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 41.87% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 10.5 35.48% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 10.5 64.52% ▼ (-0.05)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 1.5 65.02% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 1.5 34.98% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 2.5 39.46% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 2.5 60.54% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 3.5 19.74% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 3.5 80.26% ▼ (-0.13)

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5 39.54% ▼ (-0.49)
Under 0.5 60.46% ▲ (+0.49)
Over 1.5 13.81% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 1.5 86.19% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 2.5 3.52% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 96.48% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 0.93% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.07% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 72.35%
Draw 18.24%
Troyes 9.36%
Paris Saint-Germain
1-0 @ 12.68% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 12.62% ▲ (+0.15)
3-0 @ 9.17% ▲ (+0.09)
2-1 @ 8.42% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 6.71% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.09% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 19.66% ▲ (+0.13)
Total : 72.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.55% ▼ (-0.12)
0-0 @ 6.28% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.58% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 18.24%
Troyes
0-1 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.09)
1-2 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 9.36%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 34
May 7, 2023 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Xavier Chavalerin 83' goal
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 8'
  • goal Vitinha 59'
  • goal Fabian Ruiz 86'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 13
Oct 29, 2022 4.00pm
4
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Carlos Soler 24' goal
  • Lionel Messi 55' goal
  • Neymar 62' goal
  • Kylian Mbappe 77' goal
  • goal Mama Balde 3'
  • goal Mama Balde 52'
  • goal Ante Palaversa 88'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 36
May 8, 2022 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Marquinhos 6' goal
  • Neymar 25' goal
  • Neymar 66' yellowcard
  • goal Ike Ugbo 30'
  • goal Florian Tardieu 49'
  • yellowcard Renaud Ripart 66'
  • yellowcard Rominigue Kouame 82'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 1
Aug 7, 2021 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Stade de l'Aube
  • Oualid El Hajjam 9' goal
  • Youssouf Kone 89' yellowcard
  • goal Achraf Hakimi 19'
  • goal Mauro Icardi 21'
  • yellowcard Presnel Kimpembe 33'
  • yellowcard Achraf Hakimi 45'
  • yellowcard Mauro Icardi 70'
  • yellowcard Pablo Sarabia 90'+1'
Ligue 1
Mar 3, 2018 4.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stade de l'Aube (Troyes)
  • Suk Hyun-Jun 36' yellowcard
  • Karim Azamoum 55' yellowcard
  • Erwin Zelazny 78' yellowcard
  • goal Angel Di Maria 47'
  • yellowcard Lassana Diarra 67'
  • goal Christopher Nkunku 77'
Ligue 1
Nov 29, 2017 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Parc des Princes (Paris)
  • Neymar 73' goal
  • Edinson Cavani 90' goal
  • yellowcard Adama Niane 60'