Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 8

Oct 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier
0 - 5
Marseille

Nzingoula (28')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Wahi (1'), Harit (36'), Hojbjerg (40'), Greenwood (58'), Henrique (73')
Cornelius (19'), Rowe (51'), Sternal (90')

Reaction

Montpellier HSC manager Michel Der Zakarian pictured on September 22, 2024

Ligue 1 manager sacked after Roberto De Zerbi humiliation as president makes stunning TV statement

The president of Ligue 1 strugglers Montpellier HSC announces the sacking of head coach Michel Der Zakarian on live TV following their 5-0 loss to Marseille.

Oct 20, 22:16

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Last Game: Reims 4-2 Montpellier
Sunday, October 6 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Marseille

All competitions

Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Angers
Friday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Marseille
29.71% ( -1.3)	24.72% ( -0.22)	45.57% ( 1.52)

Both teams to score 56.44% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.62% (

0.38)

46.38% (

-0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.33% (

0.36)

68.66% (

-0.36)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.93% (

-0.69)

29.07% (

0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.01% (

-0.86)

64.98% (

0.86)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.57% (

0.83)

20.43% (

-0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.13% (

1.31)

52.87% (

-1.31)

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 29.71%

Marseille 45.57%

Draw 24.72%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Marseille
1-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.54% Total : 29.71%	1-1 @ 11.65% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.72%	0-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 9.25% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 7.49% ( 0.26) 1-3 @ 4.9% ( 0.2) 0-3 @ 3.97% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.95% ( 0.13) 0-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.13) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.78% Total : 45.57%