Ligue 1 Gameweek 12
Oct 22, 2022 4.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Elye Wahi 70' goal
  • goal Houssem Aouar 33'
  • goal Alexandre Lacazette 90'

Montpellier HSC vs Lyon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last game
Oct 15, 2022 8.00pm
Lens 1 - 0 Montpellier
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Elye Wahi

Lyon

All competitions
Last game
Oct 16, 2022 2.00pm
Rennes 3 - 2 Lyon
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Alexandre Lacazette

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 54.09%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 24.3% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.5%) and 0-1 (7.49%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lyon in this match.

Result

Montpellier HSC 24.3% (-0.14)
Draw 21.61% (-0.25)
Lyon 54.09% (+0.39)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.52% (+0.74)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.76% (+1.04)
Under 2.5 36.24% (-1.04)
Over 3.5 41.64% (+1.13)
Under 3.5 58.35% (-1.14)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5 72.28% (+0.46)
Under 0.5 27.72% (-0.46)
Over 1.5 36.72% (+0.59)
Under 1.5 63.28% (-0.59)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5 86.5% (+0.48)
Under 0.5 13.5% (-0.48)
Over 1.5 59.46% (+0.94)
Under 1.5 40.54% (-0.95)

Score analysis

Montpellier HSC 24.3%
Draw 21.61%
Lyon 54.09%
Montpellier HSC
2-1 @ 6.17% (-0.05)
1-0 @ 4.8% (-0.19)
2-0 @ 3.08% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 2.64% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 2.64% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.32% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 24.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.62% (-0.21)
2-2 @ 6.18% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 3.74% (-0.20)
3-3 @ 1.76% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 21.61%
Lyon
1-2 @ 9.63% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 7.5% (-0.13)
0-1 @ 7.49% (-0.26)
1-3 @ 6.43% (+0.09)
0-3 @ 5.01% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 4.12% (+0.12)
1-4 @ 3.22% (+0.11)
0-4 @ 2.51% (+0.05)
2-4 @ 2.06% (+0.09)
1-5 @ 1.29% (+0.07)
0-5 @ 1% (-95.80)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 54.09%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 34
Apr 23, 2022 4.00pm
5
2
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Moussa Dembele 26' goal
  • Thiago Mendes 43' goal
  • Houssem Aouar 63' goal
  • Karl Toko Ekambi 68' goal
  • Jerome Boateng 75' yellowcard
  • Malo Gusto 89' yellowcard
  • Houssem Aouar 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Ambroise Oyongo 28'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Cozza 42'
  • goal Elye Wahi 45'+1'
  • goal Teji Savanier 45'+3'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 15
Nov 28, 2021 4.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jordan Ferri 68' yellowcard
  • goal Lucas Paqueta 17'
  • yellowcard Islam Slimani 29'
  • yellowcard Maxence Caqueret 40'
  • yellowcard Jerome Boateng 45'
  • yellowcard Emerson Palmieri 67'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 25
Feb 13, 2021 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Lucas Paqueta 45'+1' goal
  • goal Teji Savanier 20'
  • yellowcard Mihailo Ristic 49'
  • goal Elye Wahi 65'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 1
Sep 15, 2020 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade de la Mosson
  • Andy Delort 7' yellowcard
  • Teji Savanier 38' goal
  • Teji Savanier 59' goal
  • Jordan Ferri 62' yellowcard
  • Hilton 71' yellowcard
  • Hilton 81' redcard
  • yellowcard Bruno Guimaraes 36'
  • redcard Houssem Aouar 44'
  • yellowcard Karl Toko Ekambi 45'+2'
  • goal Memphis Depay 82'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 36
May 9, 2020 7.00pm
Groupama Stadium
Ligue 1 Gameweek 3
Aug 27, 2019 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade de la Mosson (Montpellier)
  • Arnaud Souquet 42' goal
  • Pedro Mendes 54' yellowcard
  • Arnaud Souquet 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joachim Andersen 36'
  • yellowcard Lucas Tousart 49'
  • redcard Youssouf Kone 51'
  • yellowcard Thiago Mendes 56'
  • yellowcard Kenny Tete 82'