Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26

Mar 5, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier
5 - 0
Angers

Khazri (2'), Savanier (25' pen., 51'), Maouassa (45+3'), Wahi (73')

FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Angers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Last Game: Montpellier 1-1 Lens
Saturday, February 25 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Angers

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Angers 1-3 Lyon
Saturday, February 25 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Angers had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Angers win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Angers
40.25% ( 0.15)	25.79% ( -0.03)	33.96% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 54.61% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.46% (

0.09)

49.53% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.44% (

0.08)

71.56% (

-0.08)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.7% (

0.12)

24.3% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.32% (

0.17)

58.67% (

-0.17)

Angers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.15% (

-0.04)

27.85% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.55% (

-0.05)

63.45% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 40.25%

Angers 33.96%

Draw 25.78%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Angers
1-0 @ 9.57% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.08% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.86% Total : 40.25%	1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.78%	0-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.82% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 33.96%