Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 46.77%. A win for Club America had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Club America win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result
Toluca	Draw	Club America
46.77% ( -0.03)	24.89% ( 0.18)	28.34% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 54.99% (

-0.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.12% (

-0.86)

47.88% (

0.86)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.94% (

-0.8)

70.06% (

0.8)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.48% (

-0.36)

20.52% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.98% (

-0.58)

53.02% (

0.57)

Club America Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.19% (

-0.55)

30.81% (

0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.91% (

-0.65)

67.09% (

0.65)

Score Analysis

Toluca 46.77%

Club America 28.34%

Draw 24.88%

Toluca	Draw	Club America
1-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.72% Total : 46.77%	1-1 @ 11.78% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.88%	0-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.98% Total : 28.34%