Club Friendlies 3
Leeds
Aug 8, 2026 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Elland Road
RB Leipzig
  • Dominic Calvert-Lewin 7' goal
  • Lukas Nmecha 90'+10' goal

Leeds United vs RB Leipzig - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 31, 2026 12.30am
Sunderland 0 - 1 Leeds

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Aug 1, 2026 10.30am
RB Leipzig 4 - 0 Verl

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (5.84%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (8.71%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result

Leeds United 39.7% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 24.27% ▼ (-0.04)
RB Leipzig 36.02% ▲ (+0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.66%

Goals

Over 1.5 79.29% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 20.71% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 57.1% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 42.9% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 33.52% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 66.48% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 4.5 19.41% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 80.59% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Leeds United 31.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 42.28% ▼ (-0.05)
RB Leipzig 26.66% ▲ (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Leeds United 50.72%
No Goal 5.56%
RB Leipzig 43.72%

Corners

Over 8 61.91% ▼ (-0.10)
Equal 8 11.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 26.94% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 9 50.16% ▼ (-0.09)
Equal 9 11.75% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 38.09% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 10.5 38.84% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 10.5 61.16% ▲ (+0.06)

Leeds United Goals

Over 1.5 42.25% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 57.75% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 18.3% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 81.7% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 6.96% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 93.04% ▲ (+0.03)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5 70.75% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 29.25% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 39.03% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 60.97% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 16.49% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 83.51% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 5.55% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 94.45% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Leeds United 39.71%
Draw 24.28%
RB Leipzig 36.02%
Leeds United
2-1 @ 9.08% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.98%
2-0 @ 5.84%
3-1 @ 4.25% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.06% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.68% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 6.82% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 39.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.21% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.02%
0-0 @ 5.56%
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.28%
RB Leipzig
1-2 @ 8.71% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 7.18% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.13% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.84% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.74%
Other @ 5.41% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 36.02%

Form Data

Liverpool 2 - 4 Leeds
Sunderland 0 - 1 Leeds
Wrexham 0 - 0 Leeds
West Ham 3 - 0 Leeds
Leeds 1 - 0 Brighton
Spurs 1 - 1 Leeds
RB Leipzig 4 - 0 Verl
RB Leipzig 1 - 0 Ingolstadt
Altglienicke 1 - 2 RB Leipzig
Mamelodi Sundowns 3 - 1 RB Leipzig
Freiburg 4 - 1 RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig 2 - 1 St Pauli

Build-up

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