Ligue 1 Gameweek 32
Toulouse
May 3, 2024 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
Montpellier
  • Thijs Dallinga 34' goal
  • Rasmus Nicolaisen 54' yellowcard
  • Moussa Diarra 60' yellowcard
  • Rasmus Nicolaisen 83' redcard
  • yellowcard Teji Savanier 26'
  • goal Teji Savanier 27'
  • yellowcard Leo Leroy 44'
  • redcard Teji Savanier 65'
  • goal Khalil Fayad 81'
  • yellowcard Yann Karamoh 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Khalil Fayad 90'+6'

Toulouse vs Montpellier HSC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Last game
Apr 28, 2024 2.00pm
Lorient 1 - 2 Toulouse
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Thijs Dallinga

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last game
Apr 26, 2024 8.00pm
Montpellier 1 - 1 Nantes
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Teji Savanier

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 37.67%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 37.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.

Result

Toulouse 37.1% ▼ (-0.74)
Draw 25.23% ▲ (+0.19)
Montpellier HSC 37.67% ▲ (+0.55)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.95% ▼ (-0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.3% ▼ (-0.86)
Under 2.5 46.7% ▲ (+0.86)
Over 3.5 31.03% ▼ (-0.81)
Under 3.5 68.96% ▲ (+0.81)
Over 4.5 15.39% ▼ (-0.57)
Under 4.5 84.6% ▲ (+0.57)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5 75.31% ▼ (-0.79)
Under 0.5 24.69% ▲ (+0.79)
Over 1.5 40.77% ▼ (-1.11)
Under 1.5 59.22% ▲ (+1.11)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5 75.62% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 0.5 24.38% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 1.5 41.21% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 1.5 58.78% ▲ (+0.14)

Score analysis

Toulouse 37.1%
Draw 25.22%
Montpellier HSC 37.67%
Toulouse
1-0 @ 8.42% ▲ (+0.12)
2-1 @ 8.31% ▼ (-0.11)
2-0 @ 5.89% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 3.88% ▼ (-0.14)
3-0 @ 2.75% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.11)
4-1 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 37.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.88% ▲ (+0.14)
0-0 @ 6.02% ▲ (+0.22)
2-2 @ 5.87% ▼ (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.22%
Montpellier HSC
0-1 @ 8.5% ▲ (+0.28)
1-2 @ 8.39% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 6% ▲ (+0.19)
1-3 @ 3.95% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.82% ▲ (+0.08)
2-3 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.05)
1-4 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 37.67%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 10
Montpellier
Oct 29, 2023 2.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stade de la Mosson
Toulouse
  • Akor Adams 13' goal
  • Akor Adams 13' goal
  • Khalil Fayad 30' yellowcard
  • Boubakar Kouyate 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Khalil Fayad 63' goal
  • Akor Adams 72' goal
  • yellowcard Gabriel Suazo 34'
  • yellowcard Frank Magri 38'
  • yellowcard Niklas Schmidt 63'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 30
Montpellier
Apr 9, 2023 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Toulouse
  • Elye Wahi 88' goal
  • goal Thijs Dallinga 31'
  • goal Fares Chaibi 85'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 9
Toulouse
Oct 2, 2022 2.00pm
4
2
HT : 3 1
FT
Montpellier
  • Stijn Spierings 18' goal
  • Zakaria Aboukhlal 24' goal
  • Fares Chaibi 31' goal
  • Brecht Dejaegere 48' goal
  • goal Nicolas Cozza 7'
  • goal Elye Wahi 68'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 38
Toulouse
May 23, 2020 7.00pm
Stadium de Toulouse
Montpellier
Ligue 1 Gameweek 13
Montpellier
Nov 10, 2019 4.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade de la Mosson (Montpellier)
Toulouse
  • Joris Chotard 34' yellowcard
  • Gaetan Laborde 43' goal
  • Damien Le Tallec 59' goal
  • Teji Savanier 75' goal
  • Solomon Sambia 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Sangare 39'
  • yellowcard William Vainqueur 41'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 32
Montpellier
Apr 14, 2019 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade de la Mosson (Montpellier)
Toulouse
  • Pedro Mendes 51' yellowcard
  • Ellyes Skhiri 54' goal
  • Florent Mollet 63' yellowcard
  • Souleymane Camara 77' goal
  • goal Kalidou Sidibe 67'
  • yellowcard Christopher Jullien 86'

Form Data

Lorient 1 - 2 Toulouse
Toulouse 2 - 2 Marseille
Rennes 1 - 2 Toulouse
Toulouse 0 - 0 Strasbourg
Clermont 0 - 3 Toulouse
Toulouse 2 - 3 Lyon
Montpellier 1 - 1 Nantes
Reims 1 - 2 Montpellier
Clermont 1 - 1 Montpellier
Montpellier 2 - 0 Lorient
Le Havre 0 - 2 Montpellier
Montpellier 2 - 6 PSG