Liga MX
May 26, 2025 2.00am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
  • Luan Garcia 65' goal
  • Luan Garcia 65' goal
  • Alexis Vega 82' goal
  • Alexis Vega 82' goal
  • Luis Garcia 90' yellowcard
  • Luis Garcia 90' yellowcard
  • Alexis Vega 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Alexis Vega 90'+3' yellowcard
  • 90'+4' yellowcard
  • 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sebastian Caceres 78'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Caceres 78'

Toluca vs Club America - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions
Last game
May 23, 2025 3.00am
America 0 - 0 Toluca
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Paulinho

Club America

All competitions
Last game
May 23, 2025 3.00am
America 0 - 0 Toluca
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
Rodrigo Aguirre

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 46.77%. A win for Club America had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Club America win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result

Toluca 46.77% (-0.04)
Draw 24.89% (+0.18)
Club America 28.34% (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.99% (-0.69)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.12% (-0.86)
Under 2.5 47.88% (+0.86)
Over 3.5 29.94% (-0.80)
Under 3.5 70.06% (+0.80)
Over 4.5 14.63% (-0.56)
Under 4.5 85.37% (+0.56)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 79.48% (-0.37)
Under 0.5 20.52% (+0.37)
Over 1.5 46.98% (-0.58)
Under 1.5 53.02% (+0.58)

Club America Goals

Over 0.5 69.19% (-0.56)
Under 0.5 30.81% (+0.55)
Over 1.5 32.91% (-0.66)
Under 1.5 67.09% (+0.66)

Score analysis

Toluca 46.77%
Draw 24.88%
Club America 28.34%
Toluca
1-0 @ 10.01% (+0.25)
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.93% (+0.11)
3-1 @ 4.93% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 4.19% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.09)
4-1 @ 1.95% (-0.05)
4-0 @ 1.66% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 46.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.78% (+0.11)
0-0 @ 6.32% (+0.23)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.10)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.88%
Club America
0-1 @ 7.44% (+0.16)
1-2 @ 6.94% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.38% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.72% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 1.72% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 28.34%

Head to Head

Liga MX
May 23, 2025 3.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Azteca
  • Sebastian Caceres 29' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Caceres 29' yellowcard
  • Victor Davila 48' yellowcard
  • Victor Davila 48' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luan Garcia 11'
  • yellowcard Luan Garcia 11'
  • yellowcard Federico Pereira 55'
  • yellowcard Federico Pereira 55'
Liga MX Gameweek 10
Mar 1, 2025 11.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Azteca
  • Alvaro Fidalgo 6' goal
  • Brian Rodriguez 16' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Zendejas 51' goal
  • Ramon Juarez 57' yellowcard
  • Cristian Borja 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Paulinho 57'
Liga MX
Nov 30, 2024 11.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
  • Federico Pereira 80' yellowcard
  • Federico Pereira 84' redcard
  • Helinho 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal 0'
  • goal 0'
  • yellowcard Ramon Juarez 29'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Aguirre 32'
  • goal Marcel Ruiz 49' (OG)
  • goal Henry Martin 72'
Liga MX
Nov 28, 2024 1.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Azteca
  • <TBD> 29' goal
  • Rodrigo Aguirre 67' goal
  • Rodrigo Aguirre 67' goal
  • Rodrigo Aguirre 82' goal
  • Rodrigo Aguirre 82' goal
  • yellowcard Isaias Violante 21'
  • yellowcard Isaias Violante 21'
Liga MX Gameweek 17
Nov 10, 2024 1.00am
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
  • Jesus Gallardo 9' goal
  • Jesus Gallardo 9' goal
  • Claudio Baeza 35' yellowcard
  • Claudio Baeza 35' yellowcard
  • Jesus Angulo 58' goal
  • Jesus Angulo 58' goal
  • Paulinho 72' goal
  • Paulinho 72' goal
  • Luan Garcia 77' goal
  • Luan Garcia 77' goal
Liga MX Gameweek 15
Apr 14, 2024 2.05am
5
1
HT : 6 2
FT Estadio Azteca
  • Diego Valdes 9' goal
  • Diego Valdes 9' goal
  • Henry Martin 15' goal
  • Henry Martin 15' goal
  • Cristian Calderon 19' yellowcard
  • Cristian Calderon 19' yellowcard
  • Diego Valdes 24' goal
  • Diego Valdes 24' goal
  • Igor Lichnovsky 50' yellowcard
  • Igor Lichnovsky 50' yellowcard
  • Julian Quinones 73' goal
  • Julian Quinones 73' goal
  • Julian Quinones 82' goal
  • Julian Quinones 82' goal
  • Alvaro Fidalgo 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Julian Quinones 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Fidalgo 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Julian Quinones 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Juan Dominguez 14'
  • goal Juan Dominguez 14'
  • yellowcard Juan Escobar 49'
  • yellowcard Juan Escobar 49'
  • yellowcard Marcel Ruiz 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Marcel Ruiz 90'+2'