/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fstolog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fswalog.png)
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Ben Pearson
41'
-
Wouter Burger
64'
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Joon-Ho Bae
73'
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Lewis Baker
78'
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Andy Moran
85'
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Andy Moran
85'
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Lewis Baker
90'+3'
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Josh Tymon
61'
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Ben Cabango
63'
Stoke City vs Swansea City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.
Result
Stoke City
40.53%
▼
(-0.05)
Draw
26.96%
▼
(-0.01)
Swansea City
32.5%
▲
(+0.05)
Both Teams to Score:
50.46%
▲
(+0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5
45.31%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 2.5
54.69%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 3.5
23.98%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 3.5
76.02%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 4.5
10.72%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 4.5
89.28%
▼
(-0.02)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5
73.5%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
26.5%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
38.31%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
61.69%
▲
(+0.01)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5
68.64%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 0.5
31.35%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 1.5
32.28%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 1.5
67.72%
▼
(-0.07)
Score analysis
Stoke City
40.52%
Draw
26.96%
Swansea City
32.51%
Stoke City
1-0
@
11.03%
▼
(-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.5% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.33% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.24% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 40.52%
2-1 @ 8.5% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.33% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.24% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 40.52%
Draw
1-1
@
12.79%
▼
(-0.02)
0-0 @ 8.31% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.93% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.96%
0-0 @ 8.31% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.93% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.96%
Swansea City
0-1
@
9.64%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.42% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.59% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.16% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 32.51%
1-2 @ 7.42% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.59% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.16% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 32.51%
Ryan Bennett
58'