Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 7
Aug 30, 2024 7.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stadion MOSiR
  • Adrian Bukowski 39' yellowcard
  • Mateusz Matras 86' yellowcard
  • Bert Esselink 90' redcard
  • goal Dino Hotic 32'
  • goal Mikael Ishak 37'
  • yellowcard Antoni Kozubal 83'

Stal Mielec vs Lech Poznan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Stal Mielec

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Aug 26, 2024 6.00pm
Korona Kielce 2 - 1 Stal Mielec
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Piotr Wlazlo

Lech Poznan

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Aug 25, 2024 4.30pm
Lech Poznan 2 - 0 Szczecin
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Mikael Ishak

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 47.42%. A win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Stal Mielec win was 1-0 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.

Result

Stal Mielec 27.28% (+0.03)
Draw 25.3% (+0.02)
Lech Poznan 47.42% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.9% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.74% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 50.26% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 27.79% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 72.21% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 13.17% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 86.83% (+0.04)

Stal Mielec Goals

Over 0.5 67.14% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 32.86% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 30.57% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 69.43% (+0.02)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5 78.79% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 21.21% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 45.9% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 54.1% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Stal Mielec 27.28%
Draw 25.29%
Lech Poznan 47.41%
Stal Mielec
1-0 @ 7.76% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 6.69% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.32% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.48%
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.6% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 27.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.02% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.97% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 25.29%
Lech Poznan
0-1 @ 10.8% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 9.33% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.38% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.82% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.33% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.68% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.87% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.68% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 47.41%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 26
Apr 1, 2024 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion MOSiR
  • Bert Esselink 87' yellowcard
  • Ion Gheorghe 90'+3' yellowcard
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 9
Sep 23, 2023 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT INEA stadion
  • Kristoffer Velde 37' goal
  • Filip Marchwinski 40' goal
  • Kristoffer Velde 44' yellowcard
  • goal Maciej Domanski 23'