Premier League Gameweek 12
Nov 24, 2024 2.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT St. Mary's Stadium
  • Adam Lallana 23' yellowcard
  • Adam Armstrong 42' goal
  • Mateus Fernandes 56' goal
  • Adam Armstrong 73' yellowcard
  • Jack Stephens 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Conor Bradley 13'
  • yellowcard Ibrahima Konate 16'
  • goal Dominik Szoboszlai 30'
  • yellowcard Cody Gakpo 49'
  • goal Mohamed Salah 65'
  • goal Mohamed Salah 83'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Salah 84'

Southampton vs Liverpool - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions
Last game
Nov 9, 2024 3.00pm
Wolves 2 - 0 Southampton
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Paul Onuachu

Liverpool

All competitions
Last game
Nov 9, 2024 8.00pm
Liverpool 2 - 0 Aston Villa
Goals scored
86
Top scorer
Mohamed Salah

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 52.44%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 24.94% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Southampton win was 2-1 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result

Southampton 24.94% (+0.37)
Draw 22.62% (-0.07)
Liverpool 52.44% (-0.30)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.63% (+0.64)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.64% (+0.66)
Under 2.5 40.36% (-0.67)
Over 3.5 37.26% (+0.68)
Under 3.5 62.73% (-0.68)
Over 4.5 19.98% (+0.52)
Under 4.5 80.01% (-0.52)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5 70.55% (+0.65)
Under 0.5 29.45% (-0.65)
Over 1.5 34.55% (+0.79)
Under 1.5 65.45% (-0.79)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5 84.53% (+0.14)
Under 0.5 15.47% (-0.14)
Over 1.5 55.66% (+0.25)
Under 1.5 44.34% (-0.25)

Score analysis

Southampton 24.94%
Draw 22.61%
Liverpool 52.45%
Southampton
2-1 @ 6.35% (+0.07)
1-0 @ 5.57% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 3.4% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.59% (+0.08)
3-2 @ 2.42% (+0.08)
3-0 @ 1.39% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 24.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.39% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.93% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 4.56% (-0.14)
3-3 @ 1.5% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.61%
Liverpool
1-2 @ 9.7% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 8.5% (-0.23)
0-2 @ 7.93% (-0.17)
1-3 @ 6.03% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.94% (-0.09)
2-3 @ 3.69% (+0.08)
1-4 @ 2.82% (+0.02)
0-4 @ 2.3% (-0.03)
2-4 @ 1.72% (+0.05)
1-5 @ 1.05% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 52.45%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Feb 28, 2024 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Anfield
  • Lewis Koumas 44' goal
  • Jayden Danns 73' goal
  • Jayden Danns 88' goal
  • yellowcard Ryan Manning 79'
Premier League Gameweek 38
May 28, 2023 4.30pm
4
4
HT : 2 2
FT
  • James Ward-Prowse 19' goal
  • Kamal Deen Sulemana 28' goal
  • Kamal Deen Sulemana 48' goal
  • Adam Armstrong 64' goal
  • goal Diogo Jota 10'
  • goal Roberto Firmino 14'
  • goal Cody Gakpo 72'
  • goal Diogo Jota 73'
Premier League Gameweek 16
Nov 12, 2022 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 1
FT
  • Roberto Firmino 6' goal
  • Darwin Nunez 21' goal
  • Darwin Nunez 42' goal
  • goal Che Adams 9'
Premier League Gameweek 37
May 17, 2022 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Nathan Redmond 13' goal
  • Nathan Tella 69' yellowcard
  • Jack Stephens 74' yellowcard
  • goal Takumi Minamino 27'
  • goal Joel Matip 67'
Premier League Gameweek 13
Nov 27, 2021 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Diogo Jota 2' goal
  • Diogo Jota 32' goal
  • Thiago Alcantara 37' goal
  • Virgil van Dijk 52' goal
  • yellowcard Jan Bednarek 11'
Premier League Gameweek 35
May 8, 2021 8.15pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Sadio Mane 31' goal
  • Thiago Alcantara 90' goal
  • yellowcard Nathan Redmond 61'

Build-up

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