La Liga Gameweek 30
Sevilla
Apr 6, 2025 3.15pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
Atletico
  • Lucien Agoume 7' goal
  • Kike Salas 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Julian Alvarez 25'
  • yellowcard Giuliano Simeone 51'
  • yellowcard Clement Lenglet 57'
  • yellowcard Robin Le Normand 85'
  • goal Pablo Barrios 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Alexander Sorloth 90'+6'

Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sevilla

All competitions
Last game
Mar 30, 2025 8.00pm
Betis 2 - 1 Sevilla
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Dodi Lukebakio

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Mar 29, 2025 3.15pm
Espanyol 1 - 1 Atletico
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Alexander Sorloth

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 52.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 23.32%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Sevilla win it was 1-0 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.

Result

Sevilla 23.32% ▲ (+0.12)
Draw 24.38% ▲ (+0.10)
Atletico Madrid 52.3% ▼ (-0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.95% ▼ (-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.33% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 2.5 49.67% ▲ (+0.29)
Over 3.5 28.31% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 3.5 71.68% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 4.5 13.52% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 4.5 86.48% ▲ (+0.17)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5 64.11% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 35.89% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 1.5 27.33% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 72.67% ▲ (+0.05)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 81.04% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 0.5 18.96% ▲ (+0.20)
Over 1.5 49.51% ▼ (-0.32)
Under 1.5 50.49% ▲ (+0.32)

Score analysis

Sevilla 23.32%
Draw 24.38%
Atletico Madrid 52.29%
Sevilla
1-0 @ 6.97% ▲ (+0.08)
2-1 @ 5.94% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 3.57% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 23.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.59% ▲ (+0.06)
0-0 @ 6.81% ▲ (+0.08)
2-2 @ 4.94% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 24.38%
Atletico Madrid
0-1 @ 11.31% ▲ (+0.07)
1-2 @ 9.64% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 9.41% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.34% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 5.22% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.04)
0-4 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.03)
2-4 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 52.29%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 16
Atletico
Dec 8, 2024 8.00pm
4
3
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Sevilla
  • Rodrigo De Paul 10' goal
  • Pablo Barrios 48' yellowcard
  • Antoine Griezmann 62' goal
  • Julian Alvarez 72' yellowcard
  • Samuel Lino 79' goal
  • Javi Galan 87' yellowcard
  • Antoine Griezmann 90'+4' goal
  • Antoine Griezmann 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Dodi Lukebakio 12'
  • goal Isaac Romero 32'
  • yellowcard Lucien Agoume 49'
  • goal Juanlu Sanchez 57'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Fernandez 67'
  • yellowcard Saul Niguez 76'
La Liga Gameweek 24
Sevilla
Feb 11, 2024 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
Atletico
  • Isaac Romero 15' goal
  • Suso 70' yellowcard
  • Youssef En-Nesyri 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Axel Witsel 26'
Copa del Rey
Atletico
Jan 25, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Sevilla
  • Jose Gimenez 63' yellowcard
  • Mario Hermoso 71' yellowcard
  • Koke 75' yellowcard
  • Memphis Depay 79' goal
  • Diego Simeone 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Oliver Torres 33'
  • yellowcard Sergio Ramos 39'
  • yellowcard Adria Pedrosa 62'
  • yellowcard Erik Lamela 73'
  • yellowcard Ivan Rakitic 82'
  • yellowcard Rafa Mir 90'+8'
La Liga Gameweek 4
Atletico
Dec 23, 2023 3.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Sevilla
  • Nahuel Molina 27' yellowcard
  • Jose Gimenez 38' yellowcard
  • Marcos Llorente 46' goal
  • Caglar Soyuncu 70' redcard
  • Axel Witsel 77' yellowcard
  • Angel Correa 77' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo De Paul 85' yellowcard
  • Cesar Azpilicueta 90' yellowcard
  • Marcos Llorente 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Suso 43'
  • yellowcard Kike Salas 68'
  • yellowcard Sergio Ramos 83'
Club Friendlies 1
Sevilla
Aug 6, 2023 3.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT AT&T Park
Atletico
  • Joan Jordan 57' yellowcard
  • Joan Jordan 57' yellowcard
  • Rafa Mir 66' goal
  • yellowcard Caglar Soyuncu 33'
  • goal Angel Correa 84'
  • goal Angel Correa 84'
La Liga Gameweek 24
Atletico
Mar 4, 2023 8.00pm
6
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Sevilla
  • Memphis Depay 23' goal
  • Memphis Depay 26' goal
  • Antoine Griezmann 53' goal
  • Yannick Carrasco 69' goal
  • Alvaro Morata 76' goal
  • Alvaro Morata 90'+2' goal
  • goal Youssef En-Nesyri 39'

Form Data

Betis 2 - 1 Sevilla
Sevilla 0 - 1 Athletic Bilbao
Real Sociedad 0 - 1 Sevilla
Rayo Vallecano 1 - 1 Sevilla
Sevilla 1 - 1 Mallorca
Valladolid 0 - 4 Sevilla
Atletico 0 - 1 Barcelona
Espanyol 1 - 1 Atletico
Atletico 2 - 4 Barcelona
Atletico 1 - 0 Real Madrid
Getafe 2 - 1 Atletico
Real Madrid 2 - 1 Atletico