European Championship
Romania
Jul 2, 2024 5.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Allianz Arena
Netherlands
  • Marius Marin 67' yellowcard
  • Nicolae Stanciu 81' yellowcard
  • goal Cody Gakpo 20'
  • yellowcard Denzel Dumfries 78'
  • goal Donyell Malen 83'
  • goal Donyell Malen 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Donyell Malen 90'+4'

Romania vs Netherlands - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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Match Analysis
Feature

The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Romania

All competitions

Netherlands

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 47.07%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Romania had a probability of 26.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.11%) and 1-2 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Romania win it was 1-0 (8.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.

Result

Romania 26.11% ▼ (-0.46)
Draw 26.82% ▼ (-0.11)
Netherlands 47.07% ▲ (+0.56)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.48% ▼ (-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.13% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 2.5 56.87% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 22.21% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 77.79% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 4.5 9.64% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 4.5 90.36% ▼ (-0.05)

Romania Goals

Over 0.5 62.62% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 0.5 37.38% ▲ (+0.34)
Over 1.5 25.83% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 1.5 74.17% ▲ (+0.34)

Netherlands Goals

Over 0.5 75.83% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 0.5 24.17% ▼ (-0.31)
Over 1.5 41.5% ▲ (+0.44)
Under 1.5 58.5% ▼ (-0.44)

Score analysis

Romania 26.11%
Draw 26.81%
Netherlands 47.07%
Romania
1-0 @ 8.89% ▼ (-0.12)
2-1 @ 6.21% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 4.38% ▼ (-0.10)
3-1 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 26.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.62% ▼ (-0.06)
0-0 @ 9.04% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.41% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 26.81%
Netherlands
0-1 @ 12.83% ▲ (+0.08)
0-2 @ 9.11% ▲ (+0.13)
1-2 @ 8.96% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 4.31% ▲ (+0.10)
1-3 @ 4.24% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.05)
1-4 @ 1.51% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 47.07%

Head to Head

World Cup
Netherlands
Mar 26, 2013 7.30pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT
Romania
  • Rafael van der Vaart 0' goal
  • Robin van Persie 0' goal
  • Jeremain Lens 0' goal
World Cup
Romania
Oct 16, 2012 7.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 4
FT
Netherlands
  • Ciprian Marica 0' goal
  • goal Jeremain Lens 0'
  • goal Bruno Martins Indi 0'
  • goal Rafael van der Vaart 0'
  • goal Robin van Persie 0'

Form Data

Slovakia 1 - 1 Romania
Belgium 2 - 0 Romania
Romania 3 - 0 Ukraine
Romania 0 - 0 Liechtenstein
Romania 0 - 0 Bulgaria
Colombia 3 - 2 Romania
Netherlands 2 - 3 Austria
Netherlands 0 - 0 France
Poland 1 - 2 Netherlands
Netherlands 4 - 0 Iceland
Netherlands 4 - 0 Canada
Germany 2 - 1 Netherlands

Build-up

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