Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 52.11%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 25.97% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.28%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.