Champions League

Champions League | League Stage

Dec 10, 2024 at 8pm UK

Red Bull Arena

Salzburg
0 - 3
PSG

Guindo (35'), Gourna-Douath (53'), Capaldo (75')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ramos (30'), Mendes (72'), Doue (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Red Bull Salzburg and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Red Bull Salzburg

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Salzburg 2-2 Rapid Vienna
Saturday, December 7 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Goals
for

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Auxerre 0-0 PSG
Friday, December 6 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 52.11%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 25.97% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.28%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Red Bull Salzburg	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
25.97% ( 0.07)	21.92% ( 0)	52.11% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 63.28% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.95% (

0.04)

36.05% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.85% (

0.04)

58.15% (

-0.05)

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.63% (

0.07)

26.37% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.48% (

0.09)

61.52% (

-0.09)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.94% (

-0.01)

14.06% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.35% (

-0.02)

41.65% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Red Bull Salzburg 25.97%

Paris Saint-Germain 52.11%

Draw 21.92%

Red Bull Salzburg	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.94% 2-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.87% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.23% Total : 25.97%	1-1 @ 9.7% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.84% ( 0) Other @ 0.33% Total : 21.92%	1-2 @ 9.51% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 6.22% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.67% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 4.15% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.05% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.29% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 2.03% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.2% ( -0) 3-4 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 3.69% Total : 52.11%