Champions League
Dec 10, 2024 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Daouda Guindo 35' yellowcard
  • Lucas Gourna-Douath 53' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Capaldo 75' yellowcard
  • goal Goncalo Ramos 30'
  • goal Nuno Mendes 72'
  • goal Desire Doue 85'

Red Bull Salzburg vs Paris Saint-Germain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Red Bull Salzburg

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Nov 26, 2024 8.00pm
B. Leverkusen 5 - 0 Salzburg

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Nov 26, 2024 8.00pm
Bayern 1 - 0 PSG

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 52.11%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 25.97% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.28%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result

Red Bull Salzburg 25.97% (+0.07)
Draw 21.92% (+0.01)
Paris Saint-Germain 52.11% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.28% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.95% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 36.05% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 41.85% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 58.15% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 23.64% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 76.36% (-0.04)

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 0.5 73.63% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 26.37% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 38.48% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 61.52% (-0.10)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5 85.94% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 14.06% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 58.35% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 41.65% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Red Bull Salzburg 25.97%
Draw 21.92%
Paris Saint-Germain 52.11%
Red Bull Salzburg
2-1 @ 6.46% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 4.94%
2-0 @ 3.29% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.87% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.82% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.46% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 25.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.7% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.34% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.71% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.84% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 21.92%
Paris Saint-Germain
1-2 @ 9.51% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.28% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 7.14% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 6.22% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.67% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 4.15% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 3.05% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.29% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 2.03% (+0.01)
1-5 @ 1.2% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.59%
Total : 52.11%