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Bradley Barcola
4'
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Marco Asensio
24'
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Bradley Barcola
53'
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Ousmane Dembele
55'
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Achraf Hakimi
58'
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Warren Zaire-Emery
60'
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Lee Kang-in
82'
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Falaye Sacko
33'
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Joris Chotard
45'+2'
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Boubakar Kouyate
50'
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Wahbi Khazri
57'
Paris Saint-Germain vs Montpellier HSC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 72.43%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 11.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 3-0 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.97%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Montpellier HSC Goals
Score analysis
2-1 @ 9.17% ▲ (+0.40)
3-0 @ 8.14% ▲ (+1.53)
3-1 @ 8.04% ▲ (+0.06)
1-0 @ 7.06% ▲ (+1.74)
4-0 @ 5.35% ▲ (+0.84)
4-1 @ 5.29% ▼ (-0.17)
3-2 @ 3.97% ▼ (-0.86)
5-0 @ 2.82% ▲ (+0.36)
5-1 @ 2.78% ▼ (-0.20)
4-2 @ 2.61% ▼ (-0.68)
5-2 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.43)
6-0 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.12)
6-1 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 72.43%
2-2 @ 4.53% ▼ (-0.77)
0-0 @ 2.68% ▲ (+0.74)
3-3 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.64)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 15.73%
0-1 @ 2.65% ▲ (+0.30)
2-3 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.65)
0-2 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.12)
1-3 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.43)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 11.84%
Head to Head
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Arnaud Nordin
30'
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Teji Savanier
45'+2'
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Vitinha
14'
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Kylian Mbappe
22'
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Lucas Beraldo
38'
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Gianluigi Donnarumma
45'+2'
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Kylian Mbappe
50'
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Lee Kang-in
53'
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Kylian Mbappe
63'
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Nuno Mendes
72'
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Nuno Mendes
89'
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Lee Kang-in
10'
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Warren Zaire-Emery
58'
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Vitinha
66'
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Nordi Mukiele
82'
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Arnaud Nordin
89'
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Fabian Ruiz
55'
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Lionel Messi
72'
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Warren Zaire-Emery
90'+2'
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Falaye Sacko
39'
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Neymar
43'
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Neymar
51'
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Presnel Kimpembe
60'
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Vitinha
66'
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Kylian Mbappe
69'
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Renato Sanches
87'
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Wahbi Khazri
58'
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Elye Wahi
63'
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Enzo Tchato Mbiayi
90'+1'
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Arnaud Souquet
41'
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Jordan Ferri
89'
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Lionel Messi
6'
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Lionel Messi
20'
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Angel di Maria
26'
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Ander Herrera
34'
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Kylian Mbappe
60'
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Xavi Simons
70'
-
Kylian Mbappe
85'
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Marquinhos
90'+2'
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Idrissa Gueye
14'
-
Julian Draxler
88'
-
Beni Makouana
90'+1'
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