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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Salford City |
| 44.94% ( | 26.47% ( | 28.59% |
| Both teams to score 50.22% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.83% ( | 54.17% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.42% | 75.58% ( |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.99% ( | 24.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.74% ( | 58.26% ( |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.09% ( | 33.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.41% | 70.58% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Port Vale | Draw | Salford City |
| 1-0 @ 11.61% 2-1 @ 8.96% 2-0 @ 8.29% 3-1 @ 4.26% 3-0 @ 3.94% ( 3-2 @ 2.31% 4-1 @ 1.52% 4-0 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.64% Total : 44.94% | 1-1 @ 12.56% 0-0 @ 8.14% 2-2 @ 4.85% Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.46% | 0-1 @ 8.8% 1-2 @ 6.79% 0-2 @ 4.76% 1-3 @ 2.45% 2-3 @ 1.75% 0-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.32% Total : 28.59% |