Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 59.74%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 18.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.