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Joe Thomas
8'
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Cameron Antwi
47'
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David Ajiboye
82'
-
David Tutonda
44'
-
Gwion Edwards
79'
Newport County vs Morecambe - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 41.12%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Newport County Goals
Morecambe Goals
Score analysis
2-1 @ 8.66% ▲ (+0.17)
2-0 @ 7.26% ▲ (+0.39)
3-1 @ 3.97% ▲ (+0.15)
3-0 @ 3.33% ▲ (+0.24)
3-2 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.08)
4-0 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 41.12%
0-0 @ 7.66% ▲ (+0.15)
2-2 @ 5.16% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 26.44%
1-2 @ 7.5% ▼ (-0.27)
0-2 @ 5.44% ▼ (-0.29)
1-3 @ 2.98% ▼ (-0.22)
0-3 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.20)
2-3 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 32.43%
Head to Head
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Aaron Wildig
12'
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Adam Lewis
18'
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Aaron Wildig
33'
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Will Evans
40'
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Aaron Wildig
54'
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Kyle Jameson
67'
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Harry Charsley
78'
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Seb Palmer-Houlden
90'+7'
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David Tutonda
23'
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Gwion Edwards
31'
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Chris Stokes
70'
-
Gwion Edwards
74'
