Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 29.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.