Primeira Liga
Gameweek
34
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May 18, 2024 6.00pm
2
1
HT :
1
0
FT
Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
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-
Vinicius Mingotti
5'
-
Goncalo Franco
66'
-
Joao Carlos
49'
Moreirense vs Estoril Praia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Moreirense would win this match.
Result
Moreirense
38.61%
▼
(-1.36)
Draw
25.37%
▼
(-0.38)
Estoril Praia
36.02%
▲
(+1.74)
Both Teams to Score:
56.4%
▲
(+1.57)
Goals
Over 2.5
52.61%
▲
(+1.90)
Under 2.5
47.39%
▼
(-1.90)
Over 3.5
30.4%
▲
(+1.74)
Under 3.5
69.6%
▼
(-1.74)
Over 4.5
14.94%
▲
(+1.20)
Under 4.5
85.05%
▼
(-1.19)
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5
75.81%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 0.5
24.19%
▼
(-0.15)
Over 1.5
41.48%
▲
(+0.21)
Under 1.5
58.52%
▼
(-0.21)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5
74.39%
▲
(+1.93)
Under 0.5
25.61%
▼
(-1.93)
Over 1.5
39.51%
▲
(+2.56)
Under 1.5
60.49%
▼
(-2.56)
Score analysis
Moreirense
38.61%
Draw
25.36%
Estoril Praia
36.02%
Moreirense
1-0
@
8.79%
▼
(-0.68)
2-1 @ 8.5% ▼ (-0.14)
2-0 @ 6.24% ▼ (-0.46)
3-1 @ 4.02% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.21)
3-2 @ 2.74% ▲ (+0.12)
4-1 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 38.61%
2-1 @ 8.5% ▼ (-0.14)
2-0 @ 6.24% ▼ (-0.46)
3-1 @ 4.02% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.21)
3-2 @ 2.74% ▲ (+0.12)
4-1 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 38.61%
Draw
1-1
@
11.97%
▼
(-0.25)
0-0 @ 6.19% ▼ (-0.51)
2-2 @ 5.79% ▲ (+0.23)
3-3 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.36%
0-0 @ 6.19% ▼ (-0.51)
2-2 @ 5.79% ▲ (+0.23)
3-3 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.36%
Estoril Praia
0-1
@
8.44%
▼
(-0.21)
1-2 @ 8.16% ▲ (+0.29)
0-2 @ 5.75% ▲ (+0.18)
1-3 @ 3.7% ▲ (+0.32)
2-3 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.24)
0-3 @ 2.61% ▲ (+0.22)
1-4 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.17)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 36.02%
1-2 @ 8.16% ▲ (+0.29)
0-2 @ 5.75% ▲ (+0.18)
1-3 @ 3.7% ▲ (+0.32)
2-3 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.24)
0-3 @ 2.61% ▲ (+0.22)
1-4 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.17)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 36.02%
Head to Head
Primeira Liga
Gameweek
17
-
Rodrigo Gomes
25'
-
Mateus Fernandes
83'
-
Joao Carlos
90'
-
Pedro Aparicio
30'
-
Marcelo
33'
-
Ruben Ramos
39'
-
Alan
45'+2'
-
Jeremy Antonisse
73'
-
Alan
74'
Primeira Liga
Gameweek
33
-
Jordi Mboula
44'
-
Andre Franco
64'
-
Bernardo Vital
81'
-
Bernardo Vital
84'
-
Lucho Vega
90'+3'
-
Rui Fonte
90'+4'
-
Joaozinho
90'+5'
-
Sori Mane
53'
-
Pedro Amador
74'
-
Andre Luis
81'
Primeira Liga
Gameweek
16
-
Rafael Martins
28'
-
Filipe Soares
47'
-
Yan
84'
-
David Carneiro Dias Resende Bruno
21'
-
Patrick
63'
-
Arthur
78'
-
Chico Geraldes
87'
Primeira Liga
Feb 12, 2018 8.00pm
1
2
HT :
1
0
FT
Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas (Moreira de Cónegos)
-
Toze
10'
-
Alfa Semedo
60'
-
Hichem Belkaroui
86'
-
Pierre Sagna
89'
-
Ailton
19'
-
Charis Kyriakou
54'
-
Allano
72'
-
Eduardo
81'
Primeira Liga
-
Abner
53'
-
Allano
83'
-
Rafael Costa
26'
-
Mohamed Abarhoun
34'
-
Iago Santos
63'
-
Mohamed Zizo
75'
-
Ronaldo Pena
79'
Primeira Liga
-
Tiago Almeida
28'
-
Pape Sougou
53'
-
Caue
57'
-
Alex
63'
-
Pedro Rebocho
66'
-
Alfonso Taira
59'
-
Pedro Rebocho
85'
(OG)