Ligue 1
Gameweek
8
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-
Rabby Nzingoula
28'
-
Stefan Dzodic
64'
-
Elye Wahi
1'
-
Derek Cornelius
19'
-
Amine Harit
36'
-
Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg
40'
-
Jon Rowe
51'
-
Mason Greenwood
58'
-
Luis Henrique
73'
-
Enzo Sternal
90'
Montpellier HSC vs Marseille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result
Montpellier HSC
29.71%
▼
(-1.31)
Draw
24.72%
▼
(-0.23)
Marseille
45.57%
▲
(+1.53)
Both Teams to Score:
56.44%
▲
(+0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5
53.62%
▲
(+0.38)
Under 2.5
46.38%
▼
(-0.38)
Over 3.5
31.33%
▲
(+0.36)
Under 3.5
68.66%
▼
(-0.36)
Over 4.5
15.6%
▲
(+0.25)
Under 4.5
84.39%
▼
(-0.26)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5
70.93%
▼
(-0.70)
Under 0.5
29.07%
▲
(+0.70)
Over 1.5
35.01%
▼
(-0.87)
Under 1.5
64.98%
▲
(+0.87)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5
79.57%
▲
(+0.84)
Under 0.5
20.43%
▼
(-0.84)
Over 1.5
47.13%
▲
(+1.31)
Under 1.5
52.87%
▼
(-1.31)
Score analysis
Montpellier HSC
29.71%
Draw
24.72%
Marseille
45.57%
Montpellier HSC
1-0
@
7.34%
▼
(-0.27)
2-1 @ 7.2% ▼ (-0.22)
2-0 @ 4.53% ▼ (-0.26)
3-1 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.15)
3-2 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 29.71%
2-1 @ 7.2% ▼ (-0.22)
2-0 @ 4.53% ▼ (-0.26)
3-1 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.15)
3-2 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 29.71%
Draw
1-1
@
11.65%
▼
(-0.11)
0-0 @ 5.94% ▼ (-0.10)
2-2 @ 5.72% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.72%
0-0 @ 5.94% ▼ (-0.10)
2-2 @ 5.72% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.72%
Marseille
0-1
@
9.43%
▲
(+0.09)
1-2 @ 9.25% ▲ (+0.15)
0-2 @ 7.49% ▲ (+0.26)
1-3 @ 4.9% ▲ (+0.20)
0-3 @ 3.97% ▲ (+0.24)
2-3 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.07)
1-4 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.13)
0-4 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.13)
2-4 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 45.57%
1-2 @ 9.25% ▲ (+0.15)
0-2 @ 7.49% ▲ (+0.26)
1-3 @ 4.9% ▲ (+0.20)
0-3 @ 3.97% ▲ (+0.24)
2-3 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.07)
1-4 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.13)
0-4 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.13)
2-4 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 45.57%
Head to Head
Ligue 1
Gameweek
23
-
Iliman Ndiaye
31'
-
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
32'
-
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
43'
-
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
62'
-
Amine Harit
65'
-
Falaye Sacko
82'
-
Moussa Al Tamari
5'
-
Issiaga Sylla
32'
-
Silvan Hefti
48'
-
Modibo Sagnan
75'
-
Boubakar Kouyate
87'
Ligue 1
Gameweek
17
-
Khalil Fayad
14'
-
Christopher Jullien
44'
-
Teji Savanier
90'+3'
-
Jordan Veretout
52'
-
Samuel Gigot
55'
Ligue 1
Gameweek
29
-
Matteo Guendouzi
44'
-
Arnaud Nordin
12'
Ligue 1
Gameweek
17
-
Teji Savanier
90'+1'
-
Nuno Tavares
47'
-
Maxime Esteve
61'
(OG)
Ligue 1
Gameweek
31
-
Bamba Dieng
9'
-
Cengiz Under
19'
-
Jordan Ferri
18'
-
Leo Leroy
66'
-
Jonas Omlin
90'
Coupe de France
-
Arkadiusz Milik
74'
-
Boubacar Kamara
90'+1'
-
Beni Makouana
80'